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@LonghornHoosier Certainly was a big hit early on, but the emergence of Jerome Hunter (he had a career high 24? Points in this tournament already) with increased minutes has helped offset it. And defensively, Hunter has been a massive upgrade. I’m a fan of Freemantle, but he was routinely the guy who other teams circled to exploit on the defensive end. He’s not big enough to handle true 5s and can’t move with PFs/wings. He really was a massive part of the reason X had to simply outscore teams early on, but things have really picked up on that end of the floor. We aren’t as good defensively as Texas, but it’s been a huge improvement. I think a couple keys will be how tightly the game is officiated (we aren’t deep) and whether we can shoot around our normal percentages from deep. Nunge is a mismatch down low for Texas’ bigs, but ultimately we will have to make some long balls to pull it off. Seems like 75-80% of the money is on Texas, yet the line is moving the other way. I expect this one to go all the way to the wire. It’s March, and I think casual fans are going to have a lot of fun watching while those of us who are fans of either team will be sweating. |
LonghornHoosier | 7 |
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Freemantle is not Xavier’s best player. Maybe 4th best. X defense has significantly improved since Freemantle went out a month and a half ago. Offensively, it’s a bit of a hit, but it’s still an elite offense. I expect a battle. Foul trouble would be worrisome for Xavier, as they want to basically play 6 deep. But Xavier’s length inside is going to give Texas trouble. Should go down to the wire. |
LonghornHoosier | 7 |
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@BGr8ful Xavier is cutting down the nets in MSG tonight. Hedge hard. |
BGr8ful | 18 |
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As someone who watches more Big East basketball than I care to admit, I wouldn't be nearly as confident in Butler. Their defense has been absolutely atrocious lately and frankly, they were playing better than the sum of their parts when they were at their best earlier in the year. Marquette is a good offensive team and will have a ton of incentive tonight as they really need this win for their tournament resume. They are just inside the bubble right now and that place will be rocking. I personally won't be touching this game because MU's defense is also not very good and Butler is always tough to predict. But based on the line, I think Vegas is asking for BU supporters and I wouldn't feel very comfortable being one.
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chungnuoc | 20 |
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I think you are greatly exaggerating as it relates to Whitman. The Wizards lost because they literally couldn't hit a shot. It's no secret that they are a perimeter team offensively. To me, the Pacers have been pretty unimpressive offensively even in their last two wins. Washington's defense has not suffered despite its unbelievable offensive struggles. The coaching isn't costing the Wizards right now. I would actually argue Vogel might be the worst coach left in the playoffs, but I'm of the opinion that coaching is not as much a factor in the NBA playoffs as it is in, say, the NFL. I see the Wizards holding on to tie the series up tonight. Just no way they can shoot that poorly again and I still like their match ups overall. I wouldn't take the spread though, as I see it going down to the wire. It should be a good one and I expect this series to go 7 at this point. Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:
After watching the last couple games, it's pretty apparent that Whitman is the worse coach in the 2014 playoffs. If his team is not hitting outside jumpers, he has absolutely no plan on how to generate more sets, and mess with different lineups. His team is also playing against a team with a center who was mentally falling apart yet they've managed to let him get on track, and get his confidence back. They also played right into the Pacers hands by playing a "knock down, drag out fight" style last game as opposed to trying to use their speed. I knew Whitman was bad, but I can't believe how much he's contributed to giving away the last couple games. Normally it's tough to keep coaching in mind when capping games, but this guy makes a difference. I'll sprinkle a little bit on the Pacers +4.5 for this game as I don't see how Whitman figured out any adjustments or game plans for this pivotal game 3. My guess is this will be a close game coming down to the last minute. |
alangrrbs | 216 |
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Weeble, you're the man. These threads you do daily are much appreciated, especially for my fantasy leagues.
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weeble5672 | 22 |
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He whines as much as any star there is.
He was spoiled before earning his star status (although he obviously has.) He can come across as very douchey. He is fragile. He is good, and thus isn't going to be liked by non-Pens fans. Honestly, Ovechkin seems far more likable and far less phony, and gets as much unfair criticism as anyone in the league. It's part of being a big name star.
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daveyt25 | 11 |
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Rangers were VERY fortunate with many calls last night, the last questionable high stick on Ovi notwithstanding. I've never, ever seen a team have NINE guys on the ice and then see the OTHER team get a too many men call! Either way, the Caps have outplayed the Rangers from start to finish this series. The Rags went 7 and a half periods between full strength goals, and required some serious favoritism from the referees to finally come up with a respectable offensive game. Being up 2-1 is certainly still a fine spot to be in.
The last power play for Washington was definitely disappointing though. Nobody was taking shots. I'm not worried though. Oates is coaching circles around that douchebag crybaby Tortorella and the Caps will crush their spirit tomorrow night. It will be over in 5.
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IHIOUSE | 20 |
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That wasn't senior night. X has two more home games. But the point remains, Cintas is a very tough place to leave with a W.
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moho | 7 |
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I wouldn't touch the O/U one way or another. Xavier, for as bad as they've been compared to usual, is a very good defensive and rebounding team. I would lean under but would not put any of my money on it.
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CrusCrnshw | 7 |
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Davis actually matters quite a bit. He is frustrating on offense but he's Xavier's best perimeter defender and there is absolutely nobody else who can be relied on to handle the ball on the bench. He's also the only reliable 3 point shooter other than Redford, who will be hard pressed to get a shot off tonight. I actually thought Xavier could've had a chance to win with a healthy Davis, as Pastnor is a poor in game coach and Cintas is a tough place to win (albeit a lot easier in this awful down year) but I think Memphis covers tonight, barring an absolute explosion by Semaj.
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Hypnos2004 | 25 |
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These threads are lifesavers for my fantasy league. You da man weeble.
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weeble5672 | 31 |
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I don't care about how it affects the long run for betting. I'm a Xavier fan.
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pmi2311 | 6 |
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All I can honestly say is that was THE most one-sided officiated game I've seen all year in college basketball. Bar none. I hate being the guy who complains about the refs, but that was as bad as I've ever seen. Charlotte has some pinstripes to thank for that. There was no way those refs were letting Xavier win that game, and they still toilet-bowled a three out at the buzzer for the cover.
That was rape.
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pmi2311 | 6 |
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Quote Originally Posted by JohnnyCash78: Tough call x has played better competition but Charlotte plays very well at home Do they though? They just beat Fordham, the bottom dweller of the league, by 6. Their best home win is LaSalle, who is solid, but exploitable for sure as X proved Saturday. To me, it's much more who they have played than how they have played. Xavier has some bad losses too, but they've been by one possession and have mostly included Semaj Christon, the team's best player, missing the ends of games with cramping, which he was suffering with earlier in the year. He's been on a tear though since he got that under control, and I don't see any guard on Charlotte who is capable of slowing him down.
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ATSwinner510 | 27 |
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Quote Originally Posted by EZMONEYWINS: Says the man from Xavier lolol good luck Yes, says the man who watches more A10 hoops than most. I'm not trying to be a person, but far too many people on this site rely on betting without any real information. If you care to hear my objective thoughts on this matchup, read my Xavier +4 thread. I've yet to hear ONE legitimate reason why Charlotte is a good play tonight. Simply put, I don't think they are. Just my opinion, but I only post occasionally on this board, when I'm most confident, and when I do, I've almost always been right. I bet on X 4-5 times a year, only when I LOVE their lines, and I haven't missed on them in a couple years. That could change tonight, but I strongly doubt it.
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shadyejr | 9 |
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Quote Originally Posted by ATSwinner510: French Fries Xaviers had their nice little run on the wins and covering their spread .. they'll go down by at least 10 points tonight .. the way everybody's riding on Xaviers .. that's an easiest pick I ever made my entire life Ha, I think you're way, way off. I'd be interested to hear your reasoning though, if there is any other than blind guessing. X is the best play on the card tonight.
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ATSwinner510 | 27 |
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If you're going strictly on lien movements and the public, be very careful. I think you're on the wrong side and this is the best value Xavier will get the rest of the year...
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shadyejr | 9 |
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One more thing I would add is that Charlotte is awful in virtually every offensive category against a horrible schedule, while X has been very good defensively against a solid schedule. Xavier brings a walk-on in for stretches, Landon Amos, who has no offensive ability at all, but who is one of the best on-ball defenders I've ever seen at X. The guy is glue. The team defense overall is very strong. I just don't see how Charlotte is going to score without getting Xavier into foul trouble or something. Charlotte's defense and rebounding is good if you look at the numbers, but they've been able to outmatch all the low majors they have played so far. Tonight, that will not be the case. I know the line movement might suggest otherwise, but I think Xavier is truly the best play on the card tonight.
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pmi2311 | 6 |
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Interesting line for sure. Butler has obviously been playing really well. I was at the LaSalle/Xavier game and X was able to handle their two excellent guards with great on ball defense. Galloway is one of the best players in the conference and he was forced to take a lot of tough shots. I noticed that LaSalle is great at forcing steals and getting out in transition, but their biggest weakness has to be their inability to stop dribble penetration. I would think Roosevelt Jones would be able to really work against that defense. To be getting 3 points, even at home, seems a little fishy to me. I don't think Butler is quite as bad a matchup for them as Xavier, but I don't think it's necessarily a favorable one either. The one thing I can think of that Vegas may see as a huge advantage for LaSalle is that Butler doesn't really have a true point guard, and LaSalle can force turnovers and get up and down quickly. I suppose that's how they see this one going.
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Alien-1 | 13 |
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