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replied to
Applying econometrics and statistical learning to NHL betting (5-1) - 5.61% RETURN
in NHL Betting TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS ML (x1.45) - 20$ |
QuebecApple | 8 |
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replied to
Applying econometrics and statistical learning to NHL betting (5-1) - 5.61% RETURN
in NHL Betting @Mike_32654 My bet on Colorado was westerday! :)
BOL to you guys |
QuebecApple | 8 |
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created a topic
Applying econometrics and statistical learning to NHL betting (5-1) - 5.61% RETURN
in NHL Betting Great wins yesterday! TAMPA BAY LIGHTNINGS ML (x1.54) - 30.92$ +16.70$ TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS ML (x1.67) - 10$ -10.00$ COLORADO AVALANCHES ML (x2.00) - 11$ +11.00$
14-01-2021 CAROLINA HURRICANES ML (x1.67) - 30$ +20.10$ EDMONTON OILERS ML (x2.15) - 10$ +11.50$ VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS ML (x1.68) - 10$ +6.80$
Total value of the fund : 1056.10$ Betting amount today (5%) = 52.80$
Today (16-01-2021) , my statistical model gave me the following 3 signals : COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS ML (x2.00) - 20$ TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS ML (x1.45) - 20$ VANCOUVER CANUCKS ML (x2.15) - 12.80$ --------
Best of luck to eveyone! |
QuebecApple | 8 |
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Looking great tonight |
QuebecApple | 11 |
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I got the 2.00 line on the canadian bookie I presented on my other thread.
BOL to everyone ! :) |
QuebecApple | 11 |
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Thank you everyone, BOL to everyone one of you! :) |
QuebecApple | 11 |
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@bigdogz_ca Yes I like the bets they offer! |
QuebecApple | 20 |
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@GoodbyeMoonmen Hi! I use SELECTBET.COM |
QuebecApple | 20 |
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created a topic
Applying econometrics and statistical learning to NHL betting (3-0-0)
in NHL Betting Great wins yesterday! CAROLINA HURRICANES ML (x1.67) - 30$ +20.10$ EDMONTON OILERS ML (x2.15) - 10$ +11.50$ VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS ML (x1.68) - 10$ +6.80$
Total value of the fund : 1038.40 $ Betting amount today (5%) = 51.92 $
Today (15-01-2021) , my statistical model gave me the following 3 signals : TAMPA BAY LIGHTNINGS ML (x1.54) - 30.92$ TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS ML (x1.67) - 10$ COLORADO AVALANCHES ML (x2.00) - 11$ --------
Best of luck to eveyone!
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QuebecApple | 11 |
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CAROLINA HURRICANES ML (x1.67) - 30$ EDMONTON OILERS ML (x2.15) - 10$ VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS ML (x1.68) - 10$ |
QuebecApple | 20 |
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Quote Originally Posted by QuebecApple:
Hi everyone, My name is Félix and i'm a PHD student in economics. I've created a model using econometrics and statistical learning (logit model) to predict the probability of winning for every NHL team for every matchup. The probability is updated every day by using the data from the past day. I will begin with 1000$ and bet 5$ each day by splitting the 5$ in differents bets. The optimal bets are choose with a variable which maximise the possible return, which is the ratio of the odd offered by the bookie and the probability of winning that the model calculated. I will update my results every day in this thread. PICK 14-01-2021 CAROLINA HURRICANES ML (x1.67) - 3$ EDMONTON OILERS ML (x2.15) - 1$ VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS ML (x1.68) - 1$
Looking great tonight |
QuebecApple | 20 |
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@Mike_32654 I’m going to bet 5% of my total fund |
QuebecApple | 20 |
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@Anonyme Merci, à toi aussi! :) |
QuebecApple | 20 |
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@powercore Good luck to you as well! |
QuebecApple | 20 |
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@BooBunny Thank you! Yes it's a different strategy haha |
QuebecApple | 20 |
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Hi everyone, My name is Félix and i'm a PHD student in economics. I've created a model using econometrics and statistical learning (logit model) to predict the probability of winning for every NHL team for every matchup. The probability is updated every day by using the data from the past day. I will begin with 1000$ and bet 5$ each day by splitting the 5$ in differents bets. The optimal bets are choose with a variable which maximise the possible return, which is the ratio of the odd offered by the bookie and the probability of winning that the model calculated. I will update my results every day in this thread. PICK 14-01-2021 CAROLINA HURRICANES ML (x1.67) - 3$ EDMONTON OILERS ML (x2.15) - 1$ VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS ML (x1.68) - 1$ |
QuebecApple | 20 |
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Win by Coric
BOL TO ALL |
QuebecApple | 1 |
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Quote Originally Posted by habsforlife1:
bonne chance
Merci Habs !
Bonne saison à toi aussi :) |
QuebecApple | 4 |
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TOR - MTL Over 6 1.89 TOR in regulation 1.66 |
QuebecApple | 4 |
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Quote Originally Posted by QuebecApple: Hi guys, I finally finished my econometric model for my master in economics and maths. My goal was to make a model who is able to predict the best way possible the results of NFL games before they're played. I use a lot of statistics from last year and this year games to be able to come up with this linear regression who has as explicated variable the points scored by both teams. Here's my predictions for the weekend games , I will love if you guys give me some feedback about these predictions because I know nothing about american Football.
TEN 21 - PHI 18 ------ BET MADE : TEN +3.5 CIN 25 - ATL 27 ------ BET MADE : UNDER 53.5 TB 35 - CHI 22 ------ BET MADE : TB +3.0 HOU 17 - IND 20 ------ BET MADE : UNDER 47 MIA 27 - NE 20 ------ BET MADE : MIA +6.5 CLE 21 - OAK 24 ------ BET MADE : OAK ML BAL 25 - PIT 33 ------ BET MADE : PIT - 3 DET 26 - DAL 16 ------ BET MADE : DET + 3 BUF 17 - GB 27 ------ BET MADE : GB -9.5 NYJ 18 - JAX 23 ------ BET MADE : OVER 38.5 SEA 17 - ARI 11 ------ BET MADE : SEA -3 NO 33 - NYG 19 ------ BET MADE : NO -3.5 KC 36 - DEN 26 ------ BET MADE : KC -4.5 6-5-1 !
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QuebecApple | 21 |
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