Raiders22

BOL Scroop 

@Rush51

 I do not know how much reading you like to do.  Or if you are even interested.  
But if you ever get time speed read his paper.  
If you get a chance I would be interested I what you think.  It actually have no issue with him and agree with a lot of what he proposes.  
But he and Trump have been friends forever.  Sometimes that might cloud a person’s assessment of the situation.  Maybe Trump is solidly behind his ideas no matter what.  He says he is. 
The media and even the business shows are rarely interviewing anyone but complete doomsayers.  There a couple of the known gurus that they let on, but the panel over talks them. 
But it will be interesting to see how it transpires as the pressure mounts. 

@cd329

 Huh?  I am not defending anyone.  Trump just happens to be in office. 
I am simply pointing out that even democrats noticed it back then.  
But now they do not want to attempt to fix it just because Trump is the one doing it. 
What are you blaming on Reagan?

It is not about being out of touch.  It is about paying attention to what has been going on for decades and decades. 
Who says it is too hard to fix? You?

BOL 

@Resabiado

BOL tonight 

@Resabiado

 Lo escribiré todo. La principal diferencia es que divido la mitad de una apuesta en Minnesota en la línea de dinero y la mitad de una apuesta en Minnesota en la línea de disco. El resto son todas jugadas de una unidad.

1 unit play on CAROLINA -1 +110 Necesitan ganar por más de un gol

1 unit play on CAROLINA Team Total O3 -134 El equipo tiene que marcar más de tantos goles

1 unit on WASHINGTON -2 -112 Necesitan ganar por más de dos goles

.5 unit on MINNESOTA +114 Solo necesito ganar

.5u MINNESOTA -1.5 +286 Necesitan ganar por más de dos goles

MINN Team Total  O2.5 -122  El equipo tiene que marcar más de tantos goles

buena suerte

425-392   +3038

CAR -1 +110

CAR TT O3 -134

WAS -2 -112

.5u MN +114

.5u MN -1.5 +286

MN TT O2.5 -122

@SarasotaSlim

 Watch the video clip of Pelosi from 1996 talking about it.  
Then ask what changed.  She points the issue out back then.  But now that someone is trying to fix it, where is the support for fixing it. 

@joe pockets

I think you are right.  I hope not for everyone’s sakes.  But hard to see otherwise. 

But I think Trump is not really that concerned about the market.  I think he realizes there would be some overreaction from it while things take shape with the trade.  Some are countering, some are canceling, and some are going to negotiate.  
It will be interesting to see if Trump gets as much as he wants from most of them.  
But the market never ever likes uncertainty.  

I really think more of this is coming from Lutnick than people think. I get that a Trump has talked about this since the ‘80s, or whenever.  But I think now he has someone in his ear that he feels is on the same page and that he trusts.  

CLB +1.5 -181

ANA +1.5 -182

BOL tonight 

@wallstreetcappers

 I was not condescending.  You always choose to take it that way.  I just try to keep you focused on the topic.  
That is why I usually break it up and reply separately to each of your points.  Instead of just answering you post a convoluted post that really does not address what I am interested in reading your stance or view on.  

@wallstreetcappers

 No sir.  Not a dead end question.  
I get you can’t stand Musk.  
So, would you rather Congress try?  

I did not see if you even admitted there was a problem?  Did I miss that answer?

I did not see if you answered if you agreed with what previous presidents had tried to do.  Did I miss that answer?

@wallstreetcappers

Yessir.  Maybe time to ease back in and if it drops even more DCA back in. 

I always advocate for folks not to try to time it but ride it out.  But if you are worried about something like what is going on it is nice to have a solid plan in place.   

@Rush51

Yessir. That is partly true.

But there are several other factors that lead up to that negative GDP that would propose that we are already in a recession.

A lot of times recessions will be more clearly seen in hindsight or well into the midst of it.

For example, retail sales falling off, unemployment rising, income contracting, or a drop in manufacturing.  These can be some of the leading indicators.

Then those numbers would catch up and be reflected in the GDP growth numbers.

Of course, all economists and financial folks (like investors) will not agree on when it started, ended, or what its worst point was.  This is especially true for the average citizen.  Because different things affect different folks at different times and to a different degree.

That is the most popular definition.  But I would not call it the ‘classical one’.  For example, The NBER is the one that sets the ‘official’ entry and exit dates for them.  Their definition is a bit more nuanced.  They simply say it a a period over a few months where there is a significant decline in economic activity.  But they couch it by saying it is normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production and sales.   

That is why I say at this time it is difficult to say for sure because of the various factors. But it would not be surprising to see that we are in one or about to be in one.

@wallstreetcappers

I am not poor at making conversation. You are. 

I answered your question about have people looked at the government workers and cited what they concluded. 
You ignored that and wondered around like you do. 
That is not good discussion. 

Then I asked if you thought there was a problem. 
You ignored this and wondered around again 

That is not good discussion. 

I also asked what would do differently and you could only say improve the people.  How?  Why is it not being done?  What should be done to the managers that have not been doing that?

Nothing from you. 

I asked if not Musk, who should try to fix it?

Nothing from you.  

That is why it is not a good discussion to you. 
You simply have you mind made up against anything Trump or Musk wants to do and refuse to acknowledge that there is even a problem. 
So, naturally you can’t discuss things with folks when they ignore facts when they are presented and refuse to answer questions but want theirs answered.  Then get upset when theirs are answered with information they do not like.  
If you want a discussion there has to be a starting point to enter a discussion.   
Not all of this long posting you do with wondering around topics. 

So, please just use ladder logic and start with the first question.  
Is there a problem?

@wallstreetcappers

Again, post #193 was a standalone post.  
It was NOT in answer to ANY question from you. 
It was a question TO YOU that you have not answered yet. 

@wallstreetcappers

 For someone who types so much you really do a mediocre job regarding discord and discussion,

Then yours is far worse than mediocre.  You still haven’t answered of the questions posed to you.  A few generalities.  But mostly wondering all around to different topics.  

@wallstreetcappers

 If you are referring to the study that they did on workers.  It is directly from the abstract and is very qualified data.  
There are many other studies you can look up.  

Just because you do not agree with theirs studies does not make them unqualified studies.  That is what the study sets out and explains and the folks doing it do this for a living.  

You cannot use just your opinion or your ‘good’ experiences with the workers.  
The overwhelming perception from folks is that government workers are less efficient and work less.  
So, that is why they did the studies.  

Have you done your own study to prover your perception that it is not true.  

Sometimes it has to be you that is wrong; it cannot be everyone else, including experts that have studied it and given ‘qualified’ data.  

That is the only question i answered and used data.  So, I never considered you did not consider it a ‘qualified’ study.