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@ohmyyikes Yeah similar story when the played in Mexico earlier this year. As soon as Djere had a chance he collapsed. Pretty frustrating Laaksonen pulled out too. Delbonis came through for me at least. So. win loss push lol. Pretty much how the last few weeks have gone. Everything just balancing out. |
Rangerglass | 7 |
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Plays for 6/4 Nishikori vs Laaksonen U36.0 -110 Nishikori 3-0 +160 I see this being a classic letdown for Laaksonen after his win against RBA. Agut didn't play great in Rome and continued that form into the FO. His balls had little impact into the court. Far too central and short for the majority of the match letting Laaksonen stay on top of the baseline. Agut was playing far behind the baseline in much of the match. Nishikori should be hitting from the baseline in this match and putting Laaksonen on the defensive. Delbonis +4.0 and ML +160 Djere +7.0 and ML +450 Fading Zverev today. I feel the 5 set comeback win vs Kecmanovic was just what Djere needed to play into this tournament.
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Rangerglass | 7 |
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Osaka futures bets void but my book had a goodwill push back on all those bets :) Plays for 6/2 Medvedev 3-0 +135 Medvedev -6 -110 Mcdonald +6 -120 Mcdonald ML +295 Nishikori ML +115 Opelka ML -135 Krajinovic ML -120 Nishikori + Opelka + Krajinovic Parlay +586 |
Rangerglass | 7 |
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Early bet on Tsitsipas to win title @+1600 Karatsev to win 2nd Quarter (+1000) and reach Final (+2500) Tsitsipas to beat Karatsev in final @+10000 Osaka to win 4th Quarter @+260 Gauff to win 1st Quarter @+1000 Gauff to reach final @+2500 Osaka to reach final @+550 Gauff to win title @+6600 Osaka to win title @+1200 |
Rangerglass | 7 |
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Parlay J. Brooksby + L. Sonego @ +100 |
Rangerglass | 1 |
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@handycat nah... Holger Rune |
Bjorn_Borg | 172 |
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Yeah pretty funny. If you want to make picks that you don't play make a protipster account and do it there. That way at least you can easily track your data. This just isn't the place for posting your hypothetical bets on anyway. Also, being more selective isn't necessarily the mindset you need to have. In my experience spreading my plays out is the most consistent way for me to build a profit. Instead of being selective you need to search for value somewhere else in the match. If you have any sort of confidence in a dog for instance (which is often heavily dependent on matchup and conditions). Instead of taking the simple offerings look for alternate plays that are likely to occur based on all the conditions of the match. |
Bjorn_Borg | 172 |
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Definitely excited for this years FO! Hopefully we can collectively help each other with winning plays throughout the tournament! There are 4 guys in my mind realistically gunning for the title right now. Nadal, Djokovic, Tsitsipas, Zverev. Throw Thiem in there sure but he's completely out of sorts with no confidence and even he doesn't know how to fix it right now. Things could start clicking for him all of a sudden though, who knows. I have futures $ on Tsitsipas @+1600 (just happy to have those odds, even if he doesn't win) My dark horse for the tournament is Shapovalov. I have him to win Geneva @+500 and I threw some pocket change on a fun parlay, Shapo to win Geneva+FO @+26360. Haha pray for me. I know he's got issues, especially with his ball toss, but ever since he took on Youzhny as coach he's been finding a better balance in his game. He's got the ability to compete with anyone and a title win in Geneva would be great for his confidence going into the FO with the habit of winning. You could throw some other usual suspects into the mix too with Berrettini, Rublev, Ruud, and Karatsev. Garin out of sorts right now too. I don't expect much from him. Sonego could be in the mix for a good run. Don't even talk about Medvedev haha.
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Bjorn_Borg | 172 |
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Bedene +2.0 -110 and ml +135 (He should be favorite. Simple as that.) Thiem -4.0 -105 (Norrie has played a lot of tennis and this is a bad match up. Thiem knows he needs wins before FO.) small plays on Paul (+5.0 +110) (ml +600) and Koepfer (+5.0 -120) (ml +450). These are mostly situational plays.
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Rangerglass | 37 |
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Quote Originally Posted by rutek44:
Sonego +1,5 sets Nice pick |
Wolverine73 | 9 |
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@packersbackers
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
Quote Originally Posted by Rangerglass: Opelka +5 -125 If Nadal does what no one has come close to doing this tournament so be it but I don't see how Opelka doesn't cover this spread. He's been efficient and should have plenty of gas left in the tank to continue serving well. I think Rafa rolls here 64 62 type...Opelka has served his way to the semis like Mr. Cinderella...on clay, Nadal knows how to dismantle big boom servers...i will be wagering Rafa -4.5 most likely if the juice is reasonable...anything can happen though I'm seeing this play out like you now. Hedged my Opelka +5.0 with Nadal live -4.5 @ even |
Rangerglass | 37 |
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Quote Originally Posted by nattyorange:
Good call much appreciated |
Rangerglass | 37 |
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@Wolverine73 I put a small play on Sonego +5.5 -110 simply because Sonego has beaten Djoker (totally different conditions), and the fact that Sonego has passed a lot of tough tests this week. This ones tricky though because of all the factors. Crowd, second match of the day, the fact that its Djoker were talking about. Sonego might have a let down after the adrenaline wears off from his win this morning. Djokovic has so much more experience handling situations like this. But Sonego is loving the competition and the crowd here. There isn't a large enough sample size from Sonego for me to know how he's going to handle it. Djokovic has had rough patches during recent matches though we'll see. It will be fun to watch. |
Wolverine73 | 9 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Rangerglass:
Sonego +4.0 -105 and ml +295 Rublev was getting annoyed yesterday and I didn't like his focus. He had two bp's to go up 5-2 and let RBA back into the set with some poor errors. Again he got up an early break in the second set only to let RBA back in again. Rublev did well to level the score at 4-4 in the second and was able to break RBA after the crowd left the stands (the crowd was definitely giving RBA some energy) and then serve out the match relatively comfortably. Sonego thoroughly impressed me with his comeback win against Thiem. He has used the dropshot well this tournament, and has been attacking the net when the opportunity comes. Rublev can struggle moving forward when it's not on his own terms, and I actually noticed a few times Rublev could have come in and taken the ball out of the air against RBA but chose not to. If Sonego can serve well again Rublev won't be able to break as easy as he did RBA. The crowd has potential to play a roll here with spurring Sonego on and even getting under Rublevs skin here (not putting too much weight here but its definitely a factor) Rublev definitely struggled moving forward on Sonego's drop shots. Even when they weren't great. |
Rangerglass | 37 |
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@BIGDTITLE Yeah! I've got some $ on Tsitsi @+1600 for the French as well. Awesome to get those odds earlier in the clay swing. I see him having a big advantage in best of 5 set matches compared to most everyone right now. |
BIGDTITLE | 196 |
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@nattyorange I just rewatched some of Rublev's match vs RBA. There is NO way you can call that zoned in. He was up 4-1 serving to go up 5-1 and he gave away a very cheap break. Next game he's hitting returns into the net off very average serves from RBA and hitting numerous rally balls wide including an incredibly simple sitter at the net. I get it, sometimes a player will build a sizeable lead and maybe get a little relaxed, lose a little focus, whatever it happens. But serving up a break at 2-1 in the second he was hitting a lot of balls too central in the court (probably due to the fact he was missing so many wide in the 1st set) and allowed RBA back into the set, this time without the insurance break. These kinds of things cause me to feel he's vulnerable against Sonego. I don't think he's going to build a lead as easily vs Sonego and he can't afford these rough patches tomorrow. |
Rangerglass | 37 |
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Opelka +5 -125 If Nadal does what no one has come close to doing this tournament so be it but I don't see how Opelka doesn't cover this spread. He's been efficient and should have plenty of gas left in the tank to continue serving well. |
Rangerglass | 37 |
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Alright players coming out for warm up |
justlol | 11 |
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Yep they are covering the courts again. |
justlol | 11 |
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@justlol Hard to say if that will last though. light rain still falling. officials are assessing it still. |
justlol | 11 |
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