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First time I've watched UConn this season and I thought I was watching their football team trying to play basketball. They are terrible and I can't figure out how they've won 11 games. I took the over 129 which I'm happy about but UConn's defense is abysmal, and their offense is even worse. |
RoagBettor | 13 |
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Quote Originally Posted by OverAmbassador:
LAST YEAR ODU BEAT CHARLOTTE AT HOME BY 25+ THEN CAME TO CHARLOTTE AND LOST BY 2 I hope this hits for you, but this is backwards. On 1/21/17 Charlotte beat ODU at Charlotte 74-72, then on 2/18/17 ODU beat Charlotte 74-48 at ODU. Good luck. |
OverAmbassador | 47 |
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Keep up the good work Stan. I had 2 really bad beats, one on 4 missed FT's in the last 10 seconds, and one on a missed FT followed by a meaningless 3 at the buzzer. By the way, is Sharpie that poolie guy? |
SystemStan | 667 |
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Yeah, just like Vegas "knew something" with VMI, Missouri, etc. Betting on reverse line movement is a long-term losing strategy. Sometimes it works (like Richmond tonight), but in all my years of capping it hits 50% at best. That being said, I'll just wait for a live bet on this game because of the line movement. Good luck with whatever bet y'all decide to make. |
SaiB | 33 |
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Quote Originally Posted by El_Terrible:
QUOTE Originally Posted by Tjtorok11: 75% of public are on Duquesne and the line went from -3 down to -2. Why? Books don't catagorize bettors and report who bets on what- so your "75% of public" contention is ridiculous.The line move is the only true indication of which team is getting more action.. This is correct. The %'s you see on SBR, VegasInsider, et al are based on the NUMBER of bets placed, not the dollar amount. Money moves lines, period. |
Tjtorok11 | 40 |
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Follow the money. Big bets on JM for whatever reason and the books were begging for W&M money to offset it. |
Red_Stockings | 13 |
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Tough beat on Oakland. Youngstown with an 8-0 run in the last 1:26 - 3 FT's on a foul, a made 3, and a layup with 26 seconds left. Crazy. |
SystemStan | 667 |
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Quote Originally Posted by SystemStan:
@bbs6183My system is based off opening lines. Oakland opened at -16 so any number better than that is great value to me. I still love them at -14. Missouri opened at -4 I believe so -5.5 is a significant enough jump to give me pause. Maybe wait it out a bit longer and see where it goes. I'd pounce if you can get -4.5 or maybe even -5. GL Bingo! The opening line is THE most important factor in my handicapping over the years. Keep up the good work. |
SystemStan | 667 |
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That dude is the real deal with nerves of steel! |
Dead_Presidents | 38 |
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Couldn't resist betting this over just before gametime after the total opened at 48, even though it should have lost. So many bad beats over the years that I won't apologize for this win! 01/08/2018
07:04 PM TOTAL O45-120 (ALABAMA VRS GEORGIA)
1909.00
1590.83
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RoagBettor | 1 |
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Georgia and the under were definitely the right plays. Bama looks like sh*t. |
RoagBettor | 8 |
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I remember the Fade Brandon Lang thread at SBR years ago. A lot of us made a ton of money fading every single play he put out. |
Trumpinator2020 | 9 |
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Quote Originally Posted by mugz:
Honestly this looks like an easy under. Hurts sucks and Georgia will be slowed down. I took a lot of wagers and every single person is on the under between 45.5 and 46. I’m probably screwed but there’s always a chance smh Agree, which is why that total opening at 48 makes me want to take the over. But as I said, I'll wait for a live bet because in these games anything can happen. |
RoagBettor | 8 |
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I meant The Greek has Bama -3.5 +100 |
RoagBettor | 8 |
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The Greek has Georgia +3.5 +100 now and Bama ML on Bookmaker dropped to -175. Hmmm.... |
RoagBettor | 8 |
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My gut tells me Bama but the line is saying a Georgia cover of 3.5. That total seems high also, opened at 48 went down to 44 and now The Greek and Pinny are sitting at 46.5. Tells me the books are expecting some turnovers because on paper this should be an easy under. Just can't decide what to do pre-game so going to wait for an in-game play. Good luck with whatever you bet! |
RoagBettor | 8 |
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11-1 tells me he's due for some losses. But that's an impressive record and there's no way to predict when the inevitable variance will kick in. |
bbs6183 | 23 |
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Quote Originally Posted by FlashCap:
Which online book is the best/most reliable, especially regarding payouts?Has anyone had experience with:-MyBookie-Betonline-BetUS None of the above. Here in the states, use 5Dimes, Heritage, and Bovada. They pay in Bitcoin, check, wire, debit card, etc. and never have had a problem. |
FlashCap | 2 |
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Yeah it's brutal but it happens often with these types of schools. You would think ESPN would have the correct score after all these years but their scoreboard sucks. I usually try to listen to one of the school's live radio broadcasts on the internet, or check their Twitter feeds for the score. |
joeythetuna | 6 |
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Quote Originally Posted by RoagBettor:
Pinnacle already at -2.5. Either the books are giving all of the Morehead backers here a gift tonight, or they know something we don't. I'll take Eastern Illinois at 3.5 at Bovada now because I trust the linemaker. Easy money. When something seems too good to be true, it usually is (especially in sports betting). Congrats to all EI backers. |
Morrissey | 17 |
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