rybis087

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created a topic Picks for week 2. 2-1 ATS YTD in NFL Betting Hey guys, figured I'd start a forum and get some discussion going. This year I'm going to be betting a 3 team parlay ATS every week for $200. Hopefully I can hit 3 or more times throughout the season and I'll end up profitable. Hit 7 last year, so hopefully I can come out on top again. I'll post my picks and results every week. Week 1 Chiefs +1 Bengals -3.5 Vikings -2.5 Result: Loss. Two pretty stress free covers yesterday had me feeling good. Unfortunately, the Minnesota bet never had a chance after their missed FG in the first. That was just an ugly game to watch. On to next week. Week 2 Texans +3 Dolphins - 6 Patriots - Pick em View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	1	September 15, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to ARIZONA +6.5 BIGGEST TRAP OF THE YEAR??!!! in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by DarthHambly: Cardinals have been covering much better than Seattle this year. Arizona beat the Seahawks in Seattle last year when the Cardinals were not as good and the Seahawks were better. The fact the public logically likes the Cardinals is irrelevant to handicapping. The public was all over the Pats as dogs this past Sunday night and the public creamed Vegas. Vegas bookies are not psychics, as their play in the Gaming Today bookies challenge attests. If you don't think that public perception plays a role in how the lines are made, moved, and effected, I imagine you must lose more bets than you win. Certainly, they're not psychics, but they have access to advanced statistics, metrics and computer generated likelihoods and outcomes, that stretch far beyond the knowledge of the casual fan and bettor. You're naive if you think that they don't use these numbers to their advantage when creating a line, and attempting to influence the public to bet in a certain way. View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	15	November 20, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 57-26 ATS this year. Week 12 picks in NFL Betting I believe that the mindset of a team, or specific key players has a more significant impact on the outcome of games than people believe. I just think that it is highly likely that Denver is sitting in 2nd place in their division by the time they play Miami on Sunday, so I imagine everyone on both sides of the ball will be going as hard as they can to right the ship and get a win. Not to say that Miami, who is in the thick of the playoff race, won't be as well. Basically, for me, it comes down to that middling, inconsistent office of the Dolphins. They haven't beat one quality opponent on the road yet this year, let alone in freezing cold temperatures that they are surely not used to in Denver. View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	7	November 20, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 57-26 ATS this year. Week 12 picks in NFL Betting Sorry guys, San Fran -8 not +8 View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	7	November 20, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 57-26 ATS this year. Week 12 picks in NFL Betting Sorry guys, San Fran -8 not +8 View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	7	November 20, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 57-26 ATS this year. Week 12 picks in NFL Betting Sorry guys, San Fran -8 not +8 View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	7	November 20, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic 57-26 ATS this year. Week 12 picks in NFL Betting I've only started posting my plays on the forums the past two weeks, going 9-4. I know lots of people on here love to chirp without proof, and so be it, but I've had a fantastic run so far this year, going 57-26 ATS. Now unfortunately, it hasn't amounted to much profit, because I'm a student and just don't have the bankroll to make individual bets. Instead I've been making parlays, and I think we all know how those generally turn out. Nonetheless, pretty tough week this week, but here are my plays. Would love to get the discussion going. Best of luck to everybody Denver -7.5 Coming off two straight losses, I just don't see Denver coming out and laying an egg. Manning is probably steamin' hot looking for vengeance. Miami's pass rush is fantastic, but Peyton has only taken 11 sacks this year, due in large part to the fact that he gets the ball out so fast, generally negating even the best pass rushes. Ryan Tannehill and his dink and dunk offense won't be able to keep up with the Broncos explosive plays, especially in the cold weather that they're not used to playing in. This is a strong play for me. San Fran +8 Utter disarray in the Redskins locker room. RG3 acting like a clown, calling out his teammates publicly after playing horribly, coach calling out the QB to the media, just can't see how these guys can be playing cohesively. Can't see 100 percent effort from all 22 guys on the field for an entire game given the current state of the team. San Fran somehow covered last week with just an atrocious offensive performance. When your D gets 5 picks, you should win in a landslide, not a goal line stand due to some of the worst offensive playcalling you'd ever witness from the other team. Nonetheless, with Seattle playing Arizona, this is a big spot for San Fran. They know that one of their divisional rivals, with whom they are competing for a playoff spot is almost assured a loss (barring the extremely rare tie) so a win would go a long way in helping their playoff and division title hopes. Washington, who seems to be mailing it in vs. the 49ers whose defense is starting to turn it on, and an offense (while inconsistent) that is loaded with game breaking talent in a contest with massive implications for the home team? Give me the 49ers in a complete dismantling on both sides of the ball. Those are the only two picks that I would feel extremely confident in, but on a four team parlay give me the Jets +4.5 and the Eagles -11 as well. Good luck everybody! View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	7	November 20, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to First thread ever! Week 12 NFL Picks in NFL Betting Great picks and write ups. Good read. I disagree with the Atlanta pick, and would take Cleveland, but certainly not confident enough to put any dough on it. Both teams have a ton to play for, I just think Josh Gordon makes a bigger impact than people expect vs. the pylons in the Atlanta secondary. View Post \| View Thread	ZeusPicks	7	November 20, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic ARIZONA +6.5 BIGGEST TRAP OF THE YEAR??!!! in NFL Betting Anybody else feel like there's something real shady about Arizona getting 6.5 points against Seattle? With the way these two teams have been playing, I don't know of many people who wouldn't take the points, especially given how well Arizona is playing as a team. I'm not touching this game, but if I were, I think I'd have to take Seattle because I would imagine there's a hell of a lot more money on Arizona and the line hasn't moved at all. I think Seattle goes at 100 percent for 60 minutes in full out desperation mode, and Stanton, while making some nice plays, goes for long stretches playing poorly in this one, just as he did last week. I'd love to know what some of you guys think. Good luck this week! View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	15	November 20, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Losers Pool Help in NFL Betting I think Cinci is a safe play. They will probably cover the spread, but lose the game. I truly believe there is no way New England loses to Indy, so that would be a sneaky play using a good team as a pick View Post \| View Thread	wolffer12	5	November 12, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic 51-24 THIS YEAR ATS! THIS WEEK'S PICKS in NFL Betting Hey guys, here are my picks for this week's games. I'm having great success as far as picks go this year. 51-24 so far ATS. Wish I had a larger bankroll to make single game bets a profitable enterprise. Unfortunately I've had to resort to making parlays every week and hoping for the huge windfall, so the profit hasn't come with the successful picking. Anyways, here are my picks, let's start the discussion. Good luck to all. Buffalo +5.5 Houston +3 New England +3 Cincinnati +7 Tampa +7 Seattle +2 I think the dogs will be barking this week! View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	4	November 12, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic COMPLETE WEEK 9 LOCKS!!! in NFL Betting Here are some bonafide chalks this week. If I had a farm, I'd mortgage it on these picks NO -2.5 NYJ +10 Philly -2 San Diego +1.5 Tampa +6.5 New England +3.5 Pittsburgh +1 View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	1	October 29, 2014 View Post \| View Thread

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
created a topic Picks for week 2. 2-1 ATS YTD in NFL Betting Hey guys, figured I'd start a forum and get some discussion going. This year I'm going to be betting a 3 team parlay ATS every week for $200. Hopefully I can hit 3 or more times throughout the season and I'll end up profitable. Hit 7 last year, so hopefully I can come out on top again. I'll post my picks and results every week. Week 1 Chiefs +1 Bengals -3.5 Vikings -2.5 Result: Loss. Two pretty stress free covers yesterday had me feeling good. Unfortunately, the Minnesota bet never had a chance after their missed FG in the first. That was just an ugly game to watch. On to next week. Week 2 Texans +3 Dolphins - 6 Patriots - Pick em View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	1	September 15, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to ARIZONA +6.5 BIGGEST TRAP OF THE YEAR??!!! in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by DarthHambly: Cardinals have been covering much better than Seattle this year. Arizona beat the Seahawks in Seattle last year when the Cardinals were not as good and the Seahawks were better. The fact the public logically likes the Cardinals is irrelevant to handicapping. The public was all over the Pats as dogs this past Sunday night and the public creamed Vegas. Vegas bookies are not psychics, as their play in the Gaming Today bookies challenge attests. If you don't think that public perception plays a role in how the lines are made, moved, and effected, I imagine you must lose more bets than you win. Certainly, they're not psychics, but they have access to advanced statistics, metrics and computer generated likelihoods and outcomes, that stretch far beyond the knowledge of the casual fan and bettor. You're naive if you think that they don't use these numbers to their advantage when creating a line, and attempting to influence the public to bet in a certain way. View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	15	November 20, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 57-26 ATS this year. Week 12 picks in NFL Betting I believe that the mindset of a team, or specific key players has a more significant impact on the outcome of games than people believe. I just think that it is highly likely that Denver is sitting in 2nd place in their division by the time they play Miami on Sunday, so I imagine everyone on both sides of the ball will be going as hard as they can to right the ship and get a win. Not to say that Miami, who is in the thick of the playoff race, won't be as well. Basically, for me, it comes down to that middling, inconsistent office of the Dolphins. They haven't beat one quality opponent on the road yet this year, let alone in freezing cold temperatures that they are surely not used to in Denver. View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	7	November 20, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 57-26 ATS this year. Week 12 picks in NFL Betting Sorry guys, San Fran -8 not +8 View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	7	November 20, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 57-26 ATS this year. Week 12 picks in NFL Betting Sorry guys, San Fran -8 not +8 View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	7	November 20, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 57-26 ATS this year. Week 12 picks in NFL Betting Sorry guys, San Fran -8 not +8 View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	7	November 20, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic 57-26 ATS this year. Week 12 picks in NFL Betting I've only started posting my plays on the forums the past two weeks, going 9-4. I know lots of people on here love to chirp without proof, and so be it, but I've had a fantastic run so far this year, going 57-26 ATS. Now unfortunately, it hasn't amounted to much profit, because I'm a student and just don't have the bankroll to make individual bets. Instead I've been making parlays, and I think we all know how those generally turn out. Nonetheless, pretty tough week this week, but here are my plays. Would love to get the discussion going. Best of luck to everybody Denver -7.5 Coming off two straight losses, I just don't see Denver coming out and laying an egg. Manning is probably steamin' hot looking for vengeance. Miami's pass rush is fantastic, but Peyton has only taken 11 sacks this year, due in large part to the fact that he gets the ball out so fast, generally negating even the best pass rushes. Ryan Tannehill and his dink and dunk offense won't be able to keep up with the Broncos explosive plays, especially in the cold weather that they're not used to playing in. This is a strong play for me. San Fran +8 Utter disarray in the Redskins locker room. RG3 acting like a clown, calling out his teammates publicly after playing horribly, coach calling out the QB to the media, just can't see how these guys can be playing cohesively. Can't see 100 percent effort from all 22 guys on the field for an entire game given the current state of the team. San Fran somehow covered last week with just an atrocious offensive performance. When your D gets 5 picks, you should win in a landslide, not a goal line stand due to some of the worst offensive playcalling you'd ever witness from the other team. Nonetheless, with Seattle playing Arizona, this is a big spot for San Fran. They know that one of their divisional rivals, with whom they are competing for a playoff spot is almost assured a loss (barring the extremely rare tie) so a win would go a long way in helping their playoff and division title hopes. Washington, who seems to be mailing it in vs. the 49ers whose defense is starting to turn it on, and an offense (while inconsistent) that is loaded with game breaking talent in a contest with massive implications for the home team? Give me the 49ers in a complete dismantling on both sides of the ball. Those are the only two picks that I would feel extremely confident in, but on a four team parlay give me the Jets +4.5 and the Eagles -11 as well. Good luck everybody! View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	7	November 20, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to First thread ever! Week 12 NFL Picks in NFL Betting Great picks and write ups. Good read. I disagree with the Atlanta pick, and would take Cleveland, but certainly not confident enough to put any dough on it. Both teams have a ton to play for, I just think Josh Gordon makes a bigger impact than people expect vs. the pylons in the Atlanta secondary. View Post \| View Thread	ZeusPicks	7	November 20, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic ARIZONA +6.5 BIGGEST TRAP OF THE YEAR??!!! in NFL Betting Anybody else feel like there's something real shady about Arizona getting 6.5 points against Seattle? With the way these two teams have been playing, I don't know of many people who wouldn't take the points, especially given how well Arizona is playing as a team. I'm not touching this game, but if I were, I think I'd have to take Seattle because I would imagine there's a hell of a lot more money on Arizona and the line hasn't moved at all. I think Seattle goes at 100 percent for 60 minutes in full out desperation mode, and Stanton, while making some nice plays, goes for long stretches playing poorly in this one, just as he did last week. I'd love to know what some of you guys think. Good luck this week! View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	15	November 20, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Losers Pool Help in NFL Betting I think Cinci is a safe play. They will probably cover the spread, but lose the game. I truly believe there is no way New England loses to Indy, so that would be a sneaky play using a good team as a pick View Post \| View Thread	wolffer12	5	November 12, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic 51-24 THIS YEAR ATS! THIS WEEK'S PICKS in NFL Betting Hey guys, here are my picks for this week's games. I'm having great success as far as picks go this year. 51-24 so far ATS. Wish I had a larger bankroll to make single game bets a profitable enterprise. Unfortunately I've had to resort to making parlays every week and hoping for the huge windfall, so the profit hasn't come with the successful picking. Anyways, here are my picks, let's start the discussion. Good luck to all. Buffalo +5.5 Houston +3 New England +3 Cincinnati +7 Tampa +7 Seattle +2 I think the dogs will be barking this week! View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	4	November 12, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic COMPLETE WEEK 9 LOCKS!!! in NFL Betting Here are some bonafide chalks this week. If I had a farm, I'd mortgage it on these picks NO -2.5 NYJ +10 Philly -2 San Diego +1.5 Tampa +6.5 New England +3.5 Pittsburgh +1 View Post \| View Thread	rybis087	1	October 29, 2014 View Post \| View Thread

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