sacker17

I suck

bet made total sense but Bradley folded 

I’ll go crawl under a rock

bet a bundle today

Funny Friday I didn’t post and was 4-0

i post and im cursed

seems whenever i post its bad luck

hate to take others down.

if you followed I’m sorry

Im gone 

@Blb

 Didn’t see that

went out for a bit

what did it drop to?

Topic should read Rd4 not Td4

Bradley finishes at Farmers 

2025 T15

2024 T43

2022 2nd

2020 T65

2019 T16

2018 T35

2017 5th

Braey has course history/experience here which is a plus.

He isn’t great but likely better than Greyserman today

Bradley -125 v Greyserman

Rinse and repeat 

going against Greyserman again.  He wasn’t good yesterday but Spaun was crap too.  Greyserman couldn’t hold a 6 stroke advantage over Spaun through 6 so I got an unexpected push

Greyserman has been a pro since 2017 and has 1 Top 10 to his credit 

He isn’t a great putter (ranked worse than average at 127th at -0.27 strokes gained.  He had a great rd2 putting at +6 strokes gained.  Other 2 rounds this week not good.

His history here not great.  This is 2nd appearance.

Was 48th at Farmers 3 weeks ago (Bradley 15th) and the year before Greyserman MC.

Bradley has a good history here.   He was 15th here 3 weeks ago at the Farmers.  Bradley has played here most every year and in 14 appearances he has 8 Top 25.

Bradley recent form last 5 events has 4 Top 15 although he wasn’t good last week at Phoenix where he was 65th.

Greyserman recent form last 3 events 49/WD/48

Yesterday Bradley outstated him 

APP 

Bradley +0.45 Greyserman -1.34

T2G 

Bradley +1.31 Greyserman-1.15

This is a course for the long hitters

Bradley is longer

For season Bradley ranks 33rd (+0.48)

Greyserman ranks 123rd (-0.17)

Rd3 driving

Bradley was +0.91 

Greyserman was -0.63

Anything can happen in 1 round but the likelihood is that Bradley is better today

Miracle push on Spaun 

Spaun missed every putt so far

6’ 

11’

13’

15’

Greyserman made every putt 

26’ from fairway on 1

9’ par on 4

should be closer but not meant to be 

I bet Thompson under 71.5 (+105)

line went to 72.5 (-140) so I bet more

scores are low today (except Spaun who is the worst guy out there)

also added a parlay at +110

rory v McCarthy 

aberg v Rodgers 

hopefully hit these 2 plays cause Spaun is a loser

Sorry If you followed 

Davis Thompson under 71.5 at plus money

+105

For the event through 2 rounds every stat is positive 

3rd in the field APP!!

+0.98 putting 

+1.82 ARG

+1.5 APP

+0.73 OTT

+4.05 T2G

rd1 was in a monsoon and he shot -2 with great stats

+1.90 APP

+4.25 T2G

 
he is legit having a win and 3 runner ups to his record 

-1 in good weather is all I need 

Spaun -110 v Greyserman

Greyserman was +6.06 putting rd2 

Front 9 was -5 and he made everything.  Made 88’ of putts on front
Back 9 back to reality even par with Only bird on back a 24+’ bird putt

Coming into this week Greyserman was playing lousy
Last 3 events 49/wd/48

The 48 was 3 weeks ago at this course for the Farmers where Spaun finished way ahead at 15th

Spaun had a good steady round2

 rd2  stats

APP 

Spaun +0.04 Greyserman -0.83

T2G 

Spaun +1.18 Greyserman -2.27

Ill

also add that

Rd1 weather was awful and Spaun was +6(13) but has clawed his way back

He is -5 the last 23 holes

I don’t see Greyserman putting light out again

Yea the FG would tie if TD and 2 pt conversion which of course lessens odds dramatically 

the point is you likely had a tough loss but Reid made the smart move 

Actually I’d bet you are incorrect.

odds to win the megamillions is over 302 million -1

302,575,350 to 1

yet it happens

while it may never have happened in a football game and while it is highly unlikely, it can happen

why chance it?

I think the math would be less for these 3 to happen

blocked punt 

successful onsides kick

hail mary

@Htowngoat

 What are the odds to win megamillions?

more than what you just said.

yet people win

100% is better than 99.9%

@vanzack

Goose good post

Van doing fine in the marathon

Money management is key.

He will be back.  Others won’t.

Always more games to bet on. 

Gotta ride it out

@Htowngoat

 Blocked kick returned or recovered for TD on same play doesn’t take long.

onside kick recovery takes only a few seconds

Hail Mary

improbable but not impossible

it was the right move by Coach Reid

not to mention you could see it coming based on Mahomes not simply taking a knee 2x but instead running back 5-6 yards each play before taking knee so as to get closer to end zone to make the take the safety play closer to goal line so no chance for a tackle outside end zone

@leventis72

Good to hear

ignore the haters

@leventis72

Haters gonna hate mainly because they can’t pick a winner in their own.

You were hot and made people good money.  Gambling is streaky and plays with your mind when going bad leading to forced bad bets.  Especially when there is a limited slate of games.

Been there.

My advice would be to take a step back and clear your mind and regroup after a break

the trollers are bad people and bad karma 

Can’t kick a rock hard ball 47 yards in the cold weather and wind

I might add on Iowa 

their QB was their 4th string QB starting his 2nd game
He didn’t look good

nebraska 20 1st downs

iowa 5 1st downs

licking my chops to bet against Iowa with any kind of decent matchup in Bowl 

@YSU6174

 A winner is a winner so congrats

That said Iowa offense stinks and was very lucky

amazing that they win

5 1st downs the entire game

outgained 2-1 by Nebraska (334-164)

Nebraska gave game away

up 10-0 they miss a 32 yards FG in 3Q due to bad snap

then Nebraska muffs a punt inside own 5 and Iowa can only manage a FG on 1st and goal from 4

then on a 2nd and 13 a big play by Iowa on a screen pass for 72 yard TD ties game

then at end of game with 1 minute left Nebraska QB gets stripped at own 36 and Iowa recovers 

2 plays later and 0 yards gained on 2 rushes Iowa kicks game winning FG

Miracle win

ill be hoping for a good bowl matchup to bet against Iowa or maybe under or maybe both

muffed 

Looking at unders. 

gonna play Rutgers-Illinois under 47

23 mph winds

if anyone has other suggestions on northeast unders, all replies appreciated

@sacker17

made me sweat a bit but a win is a win

NW up 7-0 +28 I figured it would be easy

But OSU did take it easy in 4Q which was part of the play