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I hate to do this, but I have to bump this one.
Lots of gum flapping about how bad Duke is/was going to be. Oh yeah, Duke 490 yards of total offense, NCC-- 185.
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J_ON_A_ROLL | 24 |
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Interesting to see some steam coming in on Ohio.
That line is climbing.
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SamDiamond | 8 |
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Pick #4-Northern Illinois ML +135 v. Iowa. Love, love, love NIU in this spot. NIU coming off a BCS bowl game-- where they were beaten down by FSU, but they played hard and competed. At the end of last year, NIU's QB Jordan Lynch was virtually unstoppable, he accounted for almost 5,000 of offense last year---(3100 passing, 1800 rushing)--That was the first time that was done in Division 1 history----Bottom line NIU is loaded, with one of the most dynamic QBs in college football. Iowa on the other hand is a hot mess. They have a first time QB, they are entering the 2013 on a 6-game losing streak, they don't have much speed on the outside, and they are not as good up front defensively as they have been past year. NIU wins this.
Risking 100/135 Pick #5-UNLV +14 v. Minnesota. I know, I know. UNLV. I just threw up in my mouth a little. Bobby Houck is 6-32 at UNLV. I know, I know, more vomit in the back of my throat. But this number is just too high. UNLV almost won straight up last year against Minnesota. UNLV has had young rosters the past 2 years, now Hauck has some experience. They have some talented WRs who could allow them to score some points and keep games close. That is why I love the points here. Minnesota's Jerry Kill is a very good college football coach but his team is not that much better than UNLV's roster. They lack elite talent, and I don't see any way possible they cover this number, even with their coaching advantage. Risking 110/100. Pick 6-Louisanna Tech (+13.5) v NC State. 13.5? I'm a little nervous with the move to Skip Holtz. But to Holtz' credit, he is keeping the offense exactly as it was, and he should! This is a team that put up 57 against Texas AM last year. The Bulldogs return Kenneth Dixon-- who ran for 1200 yards as a frosh last year. They are replacing their QB, but they had some talent on the roster. Holtz is focusing his attention on the defensive side of the ball----hopefully they can slow some teams down this year. NC State fired Tom O'Brien and upgraded by hiring NIU's Dave Doeren. Doeren does not have the talent to run his system this year, so if teams want to beat the Wolfpack, this is the year to do it. That is why I love La. Tech in this spot----its asking way too much for Doeren's staff to come in and be running at top speed in this game. Take the points here. Risking 110/100. Pick #7. Georgia -2 v. Clemson. This is my 3 unit HR. Georgia is loaded. They have Aaron Murray back, they have ridiculous talent at RB in Gurley and Marshall, and Malcolm Mitchell at WR. Mark Richt should send OC Mike Bobo packing if he can't score points with this talent. Here's my hangup with Clemson. Obviously they have Boyd and Sammy Watkins-- but you know what else they have? Dabo. Dabo Dabo Doo. Every year, Dabo manages to punch himself in the face. Clemson has the talent to play with anyone, but I think this is the spot where Georgia just overwhlems them, much like South Carolina does to Clemson. Georgia big. Risking 330/300. |
SamDiamond | 8 |
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#1. Northwestern (-5) v. Cal.
I like the Wildcats here. They have 2 quality QBs, and for some reason such a platoon/system works for them. Northwestern has 15 returning starters----including nearly 100% of their entire offensive production. I don't worry about this being a road game because Northwestern played pretty well on the road last year, beating Michigan State, and losing 2 tight games to Michigan and Penn State. Fitzgerald has developed into a solid coach, and I think Cal is going to be overwhelmed in this spot. Cal isn't deep, they have a true freshman QB, and even with the game being played at Cal, I think NW rolls large here. Pick#2-Ohio +20.5 v. Louisville. 20.5 with this Ohio team? I'll take it! Ohio QB Tyler Tettleton can play if you haven't seen him yet. He's going to give Louisville fits. Ask Penn State. Ohio was playing the best football of any MAC team last year until the injury bug started to bite and crushed them. Tettleton was dinged, so was the OL. Ohio also has a pretty solid coaching staff to match Charlie Strong's group. Louisville isn't Alabama. They're a decentish team with a good QB, that's it. Ohio won't win, but they'll cover the number.
Risking 110/100 on this one. Pick #3-Ole Miss -3 v. Vanderbilt. Hugh Freeze has Ole Miss trending up---recruiting with the big boys-- landing an insanely talented freshmen class. They also have Bo Wallace back this year, a decent runner in Jeff Scott, and a pretty good set of linebackers. I am not sold on James Franklin at Vandy. I think he got rich feeding on some bottom feeders, Vandy loses its QB, and 1000 yard rusher--Zac Stacy----Ole Miss has program momentum, more experience at key positions and are better coached. Risking 110/100. |
SamDiamond | 8 |
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Guys,
Feel free to stop by and laugh at/mock/praise my 2013 College Football Picks. I'll post 7 games per week. Beat your books! |
SamDiamond | 8 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Dr_Duer: Both have new qb's , and lack playmakers which should signal a tight game I think Penn State can get some ground game going and the frosh Breneman at tight end with Hackerman could be a bread and butter playaction off the run Not sure I'm seeing Cuse value since it's not in the Carrier dome Actually, at QB-- I would give the edge to Syracuse. Drew Allen is a 5th year senior who transferred out of Oklahoma because he was stuck behind Landry Jones. As for Penn State---- Breneman isn't going to start--- Kyle Carter is, Breneman probably would have redshirted if Wilkerson didn't go down with an injury. And O'Brien hasn't named a starting QB yet between Ferguson and Hackenberg.
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Dr_Duer | 8 |
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Northern Illinois has to make the list.
They win the game outright.
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DRE-DAY | 13 |
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I don't play his picks-----
But I do buy his weekly Powersweep Newsletter. It is a great resource for your weekend. |
jodyd8407 | 20 |
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Quote Originally Posted by packers1992: well sam i'm banking on the D being better as all 11 starters are back chiraq 1st off welcome to covers secondly bear down was on my photo as well Pack. You can put lipstick on a pig. It's still a pig.
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packers1992 | 18 |
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One thing about Rodriguez.
He start hasn't learned that you need a defense that can stop someone. Let's take a look... Arizona's 2012 defense. 102nd in scoring defense (35.2 ppg) 105th rushing defense 117th passing defense 118 total defense. You sure about those 10 wins?
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packers1992 | 18 |
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It looks like Temple is going with a true freshman QB against ND in South Bend.
And, their LT--- played Tight End last year. And Rhule is changing offenses--- Temple is moving toward an open passing attack that Rhule was a part of on the Giants staff. Problem with that is Temple doesn't have Eli Manning. I am moving toward laying that large number with ND. |
SamDiamond | 14 |
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Every year 3-4 teams find themselves in the Top 10 to start the season, only to have all the wheels come off early and watch it get ugly.
Last year--- USC was #1 (that didn't end well), Arkansas, Michigan, and Oklahoma were all in the Top 10 with big dreams. What teams are overrated this year? I have a few. Stanford. I'm just not buying. They have a nice, physical team. But they win close games---I think they lose 3 games this year, including 2 out the three game stretch of @OSU, Oregon, and @ USC. They will also get a bump from another game. Louisville. Again, just not buying. They lost 2 ugly games to Syracuse and UConn, and barely hung on against really shit teams like USF and Southern Miss. They lose 2 games. Texas A&M. If Manziel doesn't play-- then all hell breaks loose and they really go in the ter-let. But, if he manages to wiggle out of this spot--- I still think they lose games because Manziel is going to end badly even if he plays---he is going to fold under this pressure. A&M will also rack up 3 losses...Kirby Smart and Satan himself will have Johnny figured out---They will also lose at LSU---and they'll choke another game off--- maybe at Ole Miss, or at Arkansas, but they'll lose 3. Anyone else?
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SamDiamond | 28 |
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First of all, good luck on your plays....
I am the only lunatic it would appear that loves the Orange in this spot. I don't like Penn State's QB situation----especially since neither Ferguson or Hackenberg seem to be winning the job. Good luck to you!
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ronwoodjzs | 21 |
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Quote Originally Posted by J_ON_A_ROLL: But if they "Changed Offenses", how on earth do you figure they will master that in the first game with a freshman q.b. High school is different from FBS play last time i checked, and they had an explosive offense last year so whats new this year that will make a huge difference? Also a backdoor cover is definitly possible, and im not even banking on needing that to happen. Running backs are average, they could be 4 deep in the backfield and it wont matter .Just my 2 cents. Is that q.b 5 star or 4 star, curious??? Listen, I wasn't the one who claimed that I spent all summer handicapping the Duke-NCC game, you did. And, somehow you missed out on the fact that Duke is loaded at RB, has 4/5 of their OL back, and moved to a spread offense-- and if you took another 30 minutes and watched their spring game (it was available on youtube), you would have seen how they looked. Now, you are asking me about Anthony Boone, which is even stranger because you claimed to spend the last 2 months handicapping Duke, and you don't even know who the f'k their QB is. Jesus.
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J_ON_A_ROLL | 24 |
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Quote Originally Posted by J_ON_A_ROLL: LOL im not into arguing with some dumb farm hick, city boy that cashes out and im doing 5k first week bet that. North Carolina Central is returning with a couple q.b in Jordan Reid and Matt Goggans both juniors. They both split reps last year with Reid gettng the most snaps, so most likely he will be the game day starter. They are not the sharpest q.b but will do the job to cover the spread, let me explain. If you go back to the game between Duke and NCC last year, you will see that most of that explosive offense is gone with renfree and he accounted for 21 of their points that game. Defense also had a pick 6 so do the math, thats 28 points. Rushing attack was average with 128 yards and 1 t.d so thats no threat. In fact i dont see duke even scoring 38 points... From who I ask. Jordan reid threw 2 ints that game also. Duke returns a good defense but wont create that many t.o The spread last year was 37 and they covered by 2 points so lets see them do that without that 5th year q.b Renfree Listen, more power to you. I hope you cash. But, I'm not sure you looked into Duke. David Cutcliffe, Duke's coach-- CHANGED OFFENSES in the off-season. Cutcliffe went to Oregon, and learned their offense, also spent time with NIU to see how they used Jordan Lynch. Cutcliffe has a kid named Anthony Boone, who is absolutely perfect for this offense, and has been running it since 9th grade. Couple that to the fact that Duke is 3 deep at running back, and this offense could be better than last year's. And it gets better if you are a Duke fan. They return 4/5 of their starting OL. I have no idea how you missed all that if you studied these games for 45 days.
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J_ON_A_ROLL | 24 |
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I'm interested in a write up of Arkansas Pine Bluff, and NC Central.
What are you writing up?
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J_ON_A_ROLL | 24 |
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This one--
Right here on Covers. |
SamDiamond | 4 |
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First off-- I recognize I am not the sharpest tool in the shed.
I found the College Football Contest, made a few selections to get myself registered, but for the life of me-- I can not find the rules for the contest. Can someone please provide a link? How many selections do we have each week? That kind of things... Much appreciated... |
SamDiamond | 4 |
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You've been warned. Don't trust your money with this man....
Dabo-Dabo-Doo. |
fumble_rooskie | 7 |
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If Lee is out-- that leaves USC with 4---, just 4 scholarship WRs.
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jdnmoney | 17 |
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