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Quote Originally Posted by jonny2k4: We're is a good spot for highest vrpi? Anyone have a link? the spreadsheet does it automatically, but if you wanted to know who the top 5 teams are right now... ChC, LAD, Det, Stl, KC
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jenjay23 | 156 |
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thanks for the responses-
was just wondering how long it takes you to put a spreadsheet together. there are some other systems I'd love to have in a spreadsheet to keep track of and I'd be willing to donate for the effort. I sent you a friend request and will message you after you accept. thanks
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jenjay23 | 156 |
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I decided I'm not going to post here anymore, don't want to keep bumping this page when all I'm doing is tracking plays.
Anyways, for those who are interested, I will be keeping track of quite a number of things for the rest of the season in an effort to try and find a parlay chase that ends up being profitable. Here is what I will be keeping track of: Road Dogs- my personal selection of 2 dogs RL/RRL- my personal selection of 2 teams to cover -1.5 Strongest Road- the 2 strongest road teams based on line Strongest Road Dog- with odds +100 or better Covers Public Fav- parlay of the 2 most popular favorites that day Covers Public totals- parlay of the 2 most popular totals that day Covers 10% Fav- same, but from the Covers top 10% Covers 10% totals RD Top 2 ML- a parlay of the top 2 teams in Run Differential that day RD Top 2 RL- same but chasing -1.5 Will keep track of all of this here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1OQyf8Dggeb5-tMQWFQ9rINqqQSxaHt6DMDAPBlmnQiM/edit#gid=0 Have a great season everyone!
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samrock67 | 40 |
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jenjay-
was just wondering why you set up the RPI/MC1/MC2 spreadsheet as only a 3-game chase for the MC chases. thanks
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jenjay23 | 156 |
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4/14/15
Road Dogs Mia(-104) + Det(+113) $10 to win $31.78 RL/RRL Det(+165) + Cle(+165) $10 to win $60.22
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samrock67 | 40 |
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4/13/15 results
Road Dogs NYY(+103) + Col(+115) $10 to win $33.64- WIN RL/RRL Stl(+120) + KC(+120) $250 to win $960- LOSS Totals: Road Dogs: +175.09 RL/RRL: -740 |
samrock67 | 40 |
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well F me in the A
gonna continue to track RL/RRL here just for kicks and giggles. hope no one was tailing lol
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samrock67 | 40 |
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4/13/15
Road Dogs NYY(+103) + Col(+115) $10 to win $33.64 RL/RRL Stl(+120) + KC(+120) $250 to win $960 I like the Tigers also, but I like Stl in their home opener with Wainwright on the mound a little better. Garza hasn't been great against Stl past 3 years.
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samrock67 | 40 |
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4/12/15 results
Road Dogs KC(+104) + Tor(-102) $20 to win $60.80- WIN RL/RRL Sea(+120) + KC(+160) $180 to win $849.60- LOSS Totals: Road Dogs: +141.45 RL/RRL: -490 wow, what awful luck. rodney can't hold a 4-run lead for the mariners in the 9th. oh well, here's to hoping we hit tomorrow... |
samrock67 | 40 |
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4/12/15
Road Dogs KC(+104) + Tor(-102) $20 to win $60.80 RL/RRL Sea(+120) + KC(+160) $180 to win $849.60
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samrock67 | 40 |
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4/11/15 results
Road Dogs Tor(+101) + SF(+103) $10 to win $30.80- LOSS RL/RRL CWS(+128) + LAD(-123) $120 to win $376.04- LOSS Totals: Road Dogs: +90.65 RL/RRL: -310 |
samrock67 | 40 |
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4/10/15 results
Road Dogs Boston(+100) + Min(+102) $30 to win $91.20- WIN RL/RRL Stl(+120) + Bal(+159) $80 to win $375.84- LOSS Totals: Road Dogs: +90.65 RL/RRL: -190 |
samrock67 | 40 |
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4/9/15 results
Road Dogs NYM(+107) + CWS(+106) $20 to win $65.28- LOSS RL/RRL Det(+120) + Oak(+150) $50 to win $225- LOSS Totals: Road Dogs: +29.45 RL/RRL: -110 |
samrock67 | 40 |
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I won't be able to post tomorrow or Saturday because I will be away all weekend, so for the next 2 days, here will be the rules:
for Road Dogs, just take the strongest 2 road dogs(closest to +100) for RL/RRL I'm going to pick games: Friday: Stl + Bal Saturday: CWS + LAD Thoughts: Buehrle has a rough history against Bal and Marquis has struggled against Stl. If you don't like one of these, SF is a good substitution- Lincecum is 9-2 with a 2.75 against SD past 3 years. As for Saturday, Kershaw is on the mound for LAD so that's a no-brainer, and Pelfrey is 0-3 6.66 against CWS last 3 years. Will post the results either saturday night or sunday morning. good luck all! Remember to follow the progression (1x, 2x, 3x, 5x, 8x, 12x, 18x, 25x)
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samrock67 | 40 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jenjay23: I am a tracking junkie for systems I invest in to help see how they are progressing, BR management and to help create a data base of historical information. If you find it useful, this is the sheet I use to track Danrules parlay system. The sheet is unprotected and there is formulas for cells so be aware not to delete. If there is not a system play for one on a given day you should delete the row and always keep the order of System 1 - 4 as you go down the sheet on new days. My calcs in determining returns etc. are a bit different so you can use methods you use to determine your ROI. Hope it helps a few GL and keep it up Dan, your efforts are much appreciated! https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B9UBaNk9s7UjQWUtaW5KOS1YcXM/view?usp=sharing incredible work, thanks
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Danrules24 | 207 |
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4/9/15
Road Dogs NYM(+107) + CWS(+106) $20 to win $65.28 RL/RRL Det(+120) + Oak(+150) $50 to win $225
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samrock67 | 40 |
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4/8/15 Results
Road Dogs Bal(+102) + SF(+106) $10 to win $31.61- LOSS RL/RRL Sea(+165) + Bos(+125) $30 to win $148.88- LOSS Totals: Road Dogs: +49.45 RL/RRL: -60 |
samrock67 | 40 |
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4/8/15
Road Dogs Bal(+102) + SF(+106) $10 to win $31.61 RL/RRL Sea(+165) + Bos(+125) $30 to win $148.88
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samrock67 | 40 |
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4/7/15 Resul.ts
Road Dogs Atl(+109) + LAA(+114) $20 to win $69.45- WIN RL/RRL LAD(+145) + LAA(+180) $20 to win $117.20- LOSS Totals: Road Dogs: +59.45 RL/RRL: -30 |
samrock67 | 40 |
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Here's a little breakdown of all of the 2+ run wins since 2004:
Home Favorite: 37.7% Road Favorite: 18.3% Home Dog: 11.8% Road Dog: 27.8% So, first thing I do is zero in on the HF and RD matchups, since those produce the most 2+ run wins. I look at pitching matchups, run differential, historical H2H, and projected BsR. I try to make an educated decision about which 2 teams to take each day. I'm no expert, and I'm not putting a lot of money personally on this, but after seeing the success Danrules had with his strongest road 2-team parlay system for MLB and NHL, I decided to experiment and see if I could have success with a little bit of a twist on his system. Hopefully it works out.
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samrock67 | 40 |
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