scanny24

Quote Originally Posted by FadeMePlease:

Nice write up scanny! BOL to you homie

Thanks

Good luck, I like the under play on Tulsa/UCF, just dont know if I like it enough.  I like UCF a little better.

Agreed, their schedule has been subpar, but 5th in defensive rush yards and pass yards in all of FBS is still pretty impressive.  Just take a look at the other teams in the top 10 of those two categories. 

Rush: Bama, Cincy, LSU, FSU, UCF, Stanford, VA Tech, GA, UCONN, and Utah

Pass: Mich St, Bama, SC, Wis, UCF, Boise, FL, Penn St, LSU, Ill

If it were an easy thing to do based on quality of opponent all the dregs of the MAC and Sun Belt would be in there.

At home, UCF likes to pound the ball on the ground, and has had success doing it, averaging 268.3 rushing yards per game there.  Tulsa’s defensive performance really hasn’t changed much on the road, but they have been gauged by the pass away from home, giving up an average of 292.5 yards per game. 

Offensively, I think UCF will be able to put up some big rushing numbers, while still being able to exploit Tulsa’s suspect pass defense.  When teams put up at least 100 yards rushing and 200 yards passing against Tulsa, they score an average of 35 points.  UCF is averaging 182 and 238, respectively.  Factor in how well UCF runs at home and how poorly Tulsa defends the pass on the road and I think you have a recipe for success.  Granted, some of Tulsa's numbers may be inflated due to Tulsa playing 3 top tier BCS programs.  However, the other 3 games in which Tulsa has allowed these totals (Rice, UAB, North Texas), they have allowed an average of 21 points.  If UCF puts up 20+ points, they have the defense to make it stand up. 

Carolina -3

Washington +4.5

Jacksonville +10

Atlanta +4.5

Jets -1

Carolina -1.5

GH, I didnt follow you last year, but I read your initial post which detailed your strategies on how you bet baseball, and your insight on finding value in each play really resonated with me.  I started focusing on value plays and risk vs. reward this season, rather than my win/loss record and I am doing better than I ever have.  Just felt like I should give you your due and wish you good luck this year. 

9-8 last week

two plays tonight

App st +5

N Texas -1

GL all

Trying to finish the week on a high note after a good day yesterday.

2-1 yesterday

7-6 on the week

Like 4 games today

Wake Forest -1

VCU +2

William and Mary +6

North Texas -8

GL all and as always comments are welcome

Hell yeah, 3 OT thriller. 

1-2 yesterday

5-5 on the week

Slipping after starting the week hot, hopefully today I get back on track.  Here are my plays for the day.

Texas A&M -3

Arkansas St -4

Iona Pick

GL all and thoughts are welcome

Unable to make plays yesterday as I got home late.

1-2 Wed

4-3 for the week

I like 3 plays this week.

Cornell -14

Akron -3

Hofstra -6

2-1 last night

3-1 on the week

Liking 3 games again tonight

George Washington -9

Mississippi St -1

BYU -6

GL all

1-0 last night

+2 units on the week

I like 3 games tonight, so here they are:

UTEP +2 - 2 units

E Illinois -1 - 2 units

Valparaiso -1 - 5 units

Only game on the board I like tonight is Jackson St -1.  I am however treading lightly with this one due to the fact that there is limited trends and ATS info on either team this season. 

Jackson St -1