shoebox_811

A&M has had trouble from deep all year long. What they lack in shooting they make up for in offensive boards. 

Texas lacks size down low but kaluma and Johnson are long. I don’t see their shooting struggles changing in this one. Shedrick need to come up big today and Texas will look to slow down the pace and play this on the half court. 

Play Texas/Texas A&M under 139 -110 (5 units) 

YTD: 18-10 

+1680

USC has lost 6 of their last 7 games to close out the season. They also gave up 95 points to Rutgers just 3 weeks ago. 

Bailey and Harper were unable to lift Rutgers this season to the expectations given to them. But they have covered 4 of their last 5 games to end the season and have an opportunity to show out in the first round. 

Pick: Rutgers +1 -110 (5 units) 

YTD 18-9 

+2230 

It’s high, I know. But I’ve been looking at this game all week. Missouri doesn’t rebound the ball well and both are top 10 in ppg and top 30 in 3 pct. 

i feel this game in the 90’s. 

Play: Kentucky / Missouri over 170.5 -110 (8 units) 

YTD: 17-9 

+1430

No time for a write up today but moving in the right direction last 2 plays. 

Love bama but Florida is gonna be tough with Nelson hurt and questionable. Florida doesn’t turn the ball over nearly as much and can shoot shot for shot if needed. 

Play: Florida +3.5 -110 (7 units) 

YTD: 16-9 

+730 

gotta love those spots! Best rebounding team in the nation! 

Not too much of a write up regarding stats but this is more of a gut feeling and watching most of both these Squads this year. I’m not a huge fan of A&M when it gets to the tourney but i like this spot. They rebound the ball better than anyone in the nation and I think this one will be ugly. 

i like the points and will buy it up a bit. 

Play: Texas A&M +5 -130 (5 units) 

YTD: 15-9 

+230 

@Sulldog13

This is some commitment. Respect

GL Florida 

The Cougars are playing at the 361st overall tempo in the last 10 games

Cougars have won eight in a row and 21 of their last 22 games. They are one of only four teams to rank in the Top 10 in both offensive and defensive efficiency.

I like Houston to come out strong defensively, especially in the first half. 

Play: Kansas first half TT under 28.5 (-115) 5 units 

YTD: 14-9 

-270 

The Red Raiders are avg. 84.7 ppg at home this year and have gone under the total in their last 3 games. 

Houston ranks 28th in college basketball with 103.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and first in college basketball defensively with 79.6 points conceded per 100 possessions. 

Red Raiders edged Houston as the away team earlier this season 82-81. A big reason for Houston's loss earlier in the season was due to turnovers (17). If Texas Tech gets out in transition is could neutralize Houston's great half-court defense. 

Pick: Texas Tech +4.5 -130 (5 units)

YTD: 14-8 

+380

@Lightfoot10

 Apologies Nostradamus! Not Neutral but not the normal home court 

The Golden Eagles are 37th in the nation on 3-point percentage allowed and top 10 in turnover rate on defense. 

The recent trend for this matchup favors Marquette and with this being on a neutral site, the home edge is gone. 

Pick: Marquette -1.5 -110 (6 units) 

YTD: 14-7 

+1040 

Fun stat: USC has the 9th best two point fg percentage on the road in all of college this year. 

I think this one goes up and down at Marylands pace. 

Play: USC/Maryland over 155 -110 (4 units) 

YTD: 13-7

+640

Adding Miss St. -2.5 full game -110 (8 units) 

Texas A&M ranks 1st in the country in offensive rebound % and 6th in adjusted defensive efficiency. What are they NOT good at? Putting the ball in the bucket - A&M ranks 302nd in FG % and 315th in 3 point %. 

Miss St. looked very impressive with their 10 point win over Ole Miss on Saturday night and is ranks 64th in the nation in PPG. Hubbard is a dynamic guard and a huge part of their offense. They came up short at home against Kentucky and Bama so far but it’s something to note that those losses were 5 points or less. 

A&M is the more complete team and I tend to side with rebounding and defense above all else but I like this spot for Miss St. This game might come down to rebounds at the end and who gets the stops but I think Miss St. comes out on fire to start. 

Play: Miss St. first half -1.5 -105 (6 units) 

YTD: 12-7 

+470

@buffer

 When I was a kid, I used to keep all my important stuff in a shoebox under my bed. Since then if I have any tags or handles i use that. 

Nothing major. Symbolic to me i guess.

The Wildcats beat Baylor just a month ago at home by double digits. Baylor has been tough at home this season at a 12-1 record. Baylor played just 7 players this past Saturday in their win over West Virginia. 

Zona coming off of back-to-back losses will look to not extend that streak. Caleb Love had 17 points in the loss but was 1-8 from three and produced 5 turnovers. 

Zona might be the better defensive team, but I like the home advantage here with Baylor. The Wildcats are far too reliant on Love to score the ball. 

Baylor has 3 wins this year over top 25 teams and tonight, they look to make it 4.

Pick: Baylor ML -140 (4 units)

YTD: 12-6

+1030

Louisville ranks 54th in the nation in PPG and 23rd in total rebounds. They have 5 players who avg. over 12 points a game led by Chucky Hepburn. 

The ACC isn’t the most exciting conference. Louisville is 19-6 on the year and has only beat one currently ranked team. 

Notre Dame ranks 50th in 3 point % and is led by Burton who is a big reason for that. He also shoots 45% from the field. 

Neither team is a threat under the paint from a block shot perspective. Louisville is looking to sneak into a top 25 ranking after today but I think Notre has an enough to keep it close and hit some key shots at the end. 

Play: Louisville / Notre Dame over 145 -110 (4 units) 

YTD: 12-4 

+2020 

Both teams combined for 113 points in their first match this season. In Big East games St. Johns is tops in Def. efficiency with Creighton close by at number 3. 

St. John's has seen 6 of the last 8 fall to the under while Creighton has gone under in 6 of their last 8. 

I backed the under for St. Johns last game at Nova which went over. Still staying on the under for this one. 

Play: Creighton / St. John's under 142 -110 (5 units) 

YTD: 12-4 

+2020