Sidehatch

Friendly reminder:

A second Trump term would most certainly hike up inflation, just like his first term did. 

A 10% tariff for everything = inflation

Restricting the supply of workers = inflation

Ordering the Fed to cut rates = inflation

Godless dotards are pretending that these tariffs are new and unprecedented. Please remember - Trump already instituted now-failed tariffs that hiked prices and caused inflation and bankrupted thousands of farmers. 

Unfortunately Biden never rescinded these bottom-feeder, mouth-breather, drooler tariffs. So the godless morons who pretend that this is some cure also blatantly ignore that manufacturing NEVER RETURNED during Trump 1.0, and there is ZERO EVIDENCE anything will change for Trump 2.0. 

I suspect he will probably have to hand out billions in subsidies - just like he did in 2019 - to avoid most of the country opposing him. 

Tariffs are taxes on consumers and drive inflation. It doesn’t take a Masters degree to know that

It is kind of alarming because if all the farmers are bankrupt, and Trump has pissed off all of our allies, where is our food supply going to come from? I don’t want to pay $45 for a sandwich, just because our president and his lackeys are too shortsighted to understand basic economic principles.

The 2025 Trump trade war is a dark cloud that offers little in the way of silver linings for U.S. farmers, in the short term and beyond as importers of U.S. agricultural products permanently reduce reliance on an increasingly untrustworthy trading partner. 

Adding to farmers’ concerns is doubt about the Trump administration’s willingness to increase farm subsidies. Speaking to a broad array of farm interest groups at the 2025 Commodity Classic on March 2, Rollins clearly stated that she could not guarantee to maintain current subsidy levels for the federal crop-insurance program, almost universally described by those groups as the most important income-support program for their members.

The prospect of significant tariff-driven reductions in 2025 prices and incomes that may not be compensated by a Trump administration raid on federal funds is worrying enough for U.S. farmers. Moreover, farmers are increasingly likely to face long-run losses because of increased competition in traditional export markets. A direct consequence of the 2018-19 trade war, for example, was that China turned to Brazil and other agricultural commodity exporters as potential future sources of soybeans and other commodities. 

Importers have also become concerned about the reliability of the U.S. as a source for key agricultural commodities, prompting a search for alternative supply chains. In response, exporters such as Brazil have been willing to expand their production of some commodities, undercutting claims by the Trump administration that U.S. farmers will be able to find other markets for their crops and livestock. 

This time around, we are seeing what could be a repeat of 2018. China has already explicitly targeted soybean, feed grain, chicken and other U.S. agricultural exports. The European Union has also threatened to take countervailing actions against U.S. exports if Trump levies new tariffs on imports from the EU. The EU imposed duties on orange juice, peanut butter and bourbon imports in 2018, following the imposition of U.S. duties on steel and aluminum. This time, retaliatory actions could be broader and hit other important imports, including California wines and soybeans.

Farm organizations are rightly concerned that losses in export markets will sharply reduce crop and livestock prices and adversely affect farm income. Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins recently offered assurances that, just as in 2018 and 2019, American farmers would be compensated by the administration for such losses. Many farmers, however, remain concerned about whether Rollins will be able to deliver such subsidies — which also would likely add to the federal budget deficit.  

With the Trump administration “laser-focused” on reducing government spending, Rollins may find that the Department of Government Efficiency, (DOGE) or the Office of Management and Budget will tie her hands with respect to the use of congressionally annually appropriated, but unspent CCC funds, which were the source of farmers’ compensation payments in 2018 and 2019.

China and Canada have already levied substantial retaliatory tariffs on U.S. exports in response to Trump’s tariffs. These reactions should not be a surprise. In 2018, China responded to the first Trump administration’s efforts to use tariffs as a form of economic warfare with prohibitive tariffs on imports of U.S. soybeans and other commodities. Other countries subjected to increased tariffs followed suit.

As a direct result, prices for U.S. farmers’ soybeans declined by at least 30% percent, hog prices fell substantially, and prices received by U.S. farmers for other commodities were also estimated to decline, though more modestly. To placate a frustrated and politically noisy farm sector, then-Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue used more than $23 billion of unspent Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC) funds to compensate farmers for losses caused by the trade actions. (HEY, THAT'S SOCIALISM!!!)

American farmers overwhelmingly voted for Donald Trump last November. But now the Trump administration’s leap into levying high tariffs on imports from major trade partners bodes ill for U.S. producers of soybeans S00, corn C00, wheat W00, hogs LH00 and many other agricultural commodities.

Those tariff-targeted export markets are crucial revenue sources and drivers of higher market prices for U.S. farmers. Many of those markets will be lost as Canada, Mexico, China and other countries threatened by the Trump administration’s trade policies respond by imposing countervailing tariffs and other measures on imported U.S. products, especially agricultural commodities. 

DEI HIRE

What site has the most accurate injury reporting, for when you're trying to see who is out for tonight's game?

Also, does NHL have a bunch of last-second sits/plays with some gamesmanship, kind of like what Bill Belichick did in the NFL? Or is there less gamesmanship than the NFL example?

Thought this team would da shiznitz with AR returning to a loaded Jets roster, but he keeps doing dumb stuff like running the play clock to 00:00 every single play. 

I get what Peyton Manning was doing, but why can't he snap it with 00:03 seconds left? Is that too much to ask?

Apparently it is. 

Will be fun to see if he adjusts his strategy six hours from now. I honestly hope he does, we could all make a ton of money if he does.

But he has been in the league for 20 years. 20 years. He may be unwilling to act rationally.

And with that, let's all enjoy the game in six hours! Let's see if we have a sane QB at the helm, or a dumb curmudgeon!

Glad you mentioned it OP. That crossed my mind, let’s me know I wasn’t crazy

The first point in bold is what the Cardinals and Paris Johnson Jr did last year. Granted, not every team has a gigantic, motivated, pissed off guy like Paris, but if you have the personnel it certainly worked. Watt complained after the game, but in reality Paris showed up ready to pick a fight for 60 minutes straight and it wore on them.

The second point is why I thought the Steelers might be bad this year. It’s really difficult to win when you don’t score 22 ppg bc you don’t score TDs, but lo and behold Tomlin’s Steelers are doing it again. 

That’s what threw me for a loop. Their defense shut down Anthony Richardson.

They ran the ball most of the time against that Colts defense and took the ball out of Malik Willis’ hands, ran 75% of the time I think. (Looked it up - 53 runs, 14 passes). I had bet against them last week because I had no faith in Willis

I could see other teams having a better defensive performance than the Colts

TB -6 against Bo Nix was my runner up. TB handled a better rookie QB in Week 1. I like TB to cover. The rookie QBs have largely been really bad so far this season, and I thought Nix was the worst of them coming into the draft. So a fade the rook play

I got both GB and Tenn wrong last week (faded GB, backed Tenn). 
This week I capped it for GB and bought half a point to get to GB+3. 
Just not a Levis fan, and I think he turns the ball over this weekend at least once or twice.

But hey, fade me - your sides are prob doing better than mine this season lol. BOL 

I think I rated that one down to a coin flip, but I hear ya. That team is red hot, OL is playing surprisingly well, and Kubiak/Carr and Co are rolling.

Meanwhile, Eagles have to feel snakebit after Monday. 

I will have to circle back on this one. Thanks for your post and BOL 

I rolled one unit on Jets -6 after taking a long look at it. Pats have some concerning injury problems now, although their effort so far has been admirable.

BOL 

What line can’t you get over this week? What’s the obvious pick you really like?

The pick that looks obvious to me is:

Seattle -4.5. I get that Miami still has a talented roster but if you look at their QB’s game logs it is quite unimpressive. Factor in the travel and that stadium, McDonald’s familiarity with their roster, and yeesh, it could be a long day.

I took the Chefs -2.5. BOL!