smartkuz

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Posts: 51

Member Since: June 2012

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replied to 5 Team Round Robin - $1,000,000 Payout
in NBA Betting

You can't see 2 of these 5 teams (or 6 when you include Wizards) pulling off a win?

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smartkuz

6

April 12, 2017

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replied to 5 Team Round Robin - $1,000,000 Payout
in NBA Betting

Or.... risk it because its the last day of the season?

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smartkuz

6

April 12, 2017

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created a topic 5 Team Round Robin - $1,000,000 Payout
in NBA Betting

So if you do a 5 Team Round Robin with all the top Money Lines:

Bucks +930

Hawks +1183

Nets +1273

Lakers +774

Kings +1645

On a $20 Unit play (26 Combos, $520 Total Bet) here are the rough payouts:

2 Teams - $2500

3 Teams: $55,000

4 Teams: $400,000

5 Teams: $1,000,00 +++ (depending on book cap)

They are obviously long shots... but for various reasons, any of these games are within the realm of "upset reasoning". Just because teams are playing for playoff spots, doesn't mean they automatically get them.

Tonight should be fun!

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smartkuz

6

April 12, 2017

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replied to 5 games tomorrow with 15 point spreads?
in NBA Betting

If you do a five team round robin on the dogs, on $20 per play the payout is over $1,000,000

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jrgumpert

23

April 12, 2017

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created a topic Important Question on Brooklyn v. Chicago
in NBA Betting

Had a thought/insight/question... Tomorrow night Brook Lopez (Brooklyn) is facing his twin brother Robin (Bulls) on the last game of the season. Brooklyn has nothing to gain, but Chicago is likely after the last playoff spot on the East.

Question... does Brook take it super easy and do Robin a solid by letting Chicago run over them? Or does he flip the script and play balls out in a sibling rivalry to f*ck him up?

And for those of you who say "even if Brooklyn played balls out they wouldn't cover the +15", keep in mind they just beat the Bulls by 1 on Saturday and have won 4 of the last 6. They have no tank to protect, so nothing to lose there.

Thoughts?

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smartkuz

2

April 11, 2017

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replied to 262-1 and 49-1 ML dog parlay
in NBA Betting

Get some popcorn ready.

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drake808

26

January 31, 2015

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replied to 2 Team Parlay - $100 to pay $67,500
in NBA Betting

The bet was in the right spirit! Would do it again in a heartbeat... Philly played their behind off. Still gonna throw $100 on Memphis at 25-1. Anyone who said I was crazy can blow me. Good times fellas!

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smartkuz

15

January 31, 2015

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replied to 2 Team Parlay - $100 to pay $67,500
in NBA Betting

A lot of places aren't offering the Memphis ML. The risk is too high... 25-1 correlates to the 18pt spread on a team that odds shark.com ranks 59th in power rankings v 7th, and have won the vast majority of prior meetings. Those upsets happen all too often in CBB. NBA is turning into the Wild West of sorts so 76ers winning wouldn't too shocking. Again this should be a few bucks of discretionary income that you won't miss if you lose, but in the case you hit you can hang it over your fireplace.

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smartkuz

15

January 31, 2015

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replied to 2 Team Parlay - $100 to pay $67,500
in NBA Betting

Not gonna engage in pettiness with a guy named Borntodie. I'm sure youre billy Walters and and enjoy 60% payouts on the reg. oh wait... You don't know regression analysis and aren't supercomputing your way to sound statistical analysis with all your picks? I forgot covers.com is the vegas bank breaker lol. Keep at it son.

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smartkuz

15

January 31, 2015

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replied to 2 Team Parlay - $100 to pay $67,500
in NBA Betting

*+2500 not 2500-1

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smartkuz

15

January 31, 2015

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replied to 2 Team Parlay - $100 to pay $67,500
in NBA Betting

Memphis v Gonzaga and yes it 2500-1. While "there's a reason it's so high" money lines aren't properly reconciled against historical data. I.e Philly beats Atlanta 1 out of 10 or so times in this situation and Memphis wins 1 out of 8. True odds should be 100-1 or abouts. When you have a significant delta between historical odds versus odds on boards, you always play the two teamers. It's the only way to beat vegas in the long haul.

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smartkuz

15

January 31, 2015

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created a topic 2 Team Parlay - $67,500
in College Basketball

For all you crazy kiddos out there... There's a 675-1 two teamer out there that could actually happen.

2 Team Parlay
76'ers +2500
Memphis +2500

$100 to win $67,500

Don't hold your breath, but on the flip side, This should be more like 50-1. GL.

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smartkuz

1

January 31, 2015

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created a topic 2 Team Parlay - $100 to pay $67,500
in NBA Betting

For all you crazy kiddos out there... There's a 675-1 two teamer out there that could actually happen.

2 Team Parlay
76'ers +2500
Memphis +2500

$100 to win $67,500

Don't hold your breath, but on the flip side, This should be more like 50-1. GL.

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smartkuz

15

January 31, 2015

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replied to I have a big, big parlay I need advice on how to hedge...
in NBA Betting

Appreciate the advice. I may just sit on Memphis and see what happens. If that happens, I could go 3k on Indy ML, then try to get some live lines or half if Knicks open strong. Nervewracking that I have to wait until Saturday for this.

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smartkuz

7

May 09, 2013

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replied to I have a big, big parlay I need advice on how to hedge...
in NBA Betting

Somebody... anybody...

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smartkuz

7

May 09, 2013

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created a topic I have a big, big parlay I need advice on how to hedge...
in NBA Betting

Check out the below parlay... TEX, ARI and GS already hit. I have MEM and NY coming up back to back on Saturday. I would sincerely appreciate any and all feedback (from experienced bettors only please) on how you would play this. Thanks so much!

NBA
NBA
NBA
MLB

MLB

PARLAY (5 TEAMS)
[715] GS WARRIORS +300
[722] MEM GRIZZLIES -4½-110
[723] NY KNICKS +155
[959] ARI DBACKS +165
( ACTION )
[977] TEX RANGERS +105
( ACTION )

99 / 10374

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smartkuz

7

May 09, 2013

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replied to For WEDNESDAY NBA - The EASIEST 3 Picks you will see all day
in NBA Betting

BOOM! 2-0. And when the Warriors walk away with it, I will finish the day with a sweeeeep.

MAX BET: WARRIORS -3 over Sacramento
RAPTORS -3 over Detroit

OKC -6 over Atlanta

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smartkuz

5

December 19, 2012

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replied to Can someone tell me why the WARRIORS are only -3 @ SAC?
in NBA Betting

What did I tell you about Toronto.... boom. Was that a "trap" game? Such bullshit. I was right there and will be right again with GSW

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smartkuz

57

December 19, 2012

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replied to For WEDNESDAY NBA - The EASIEST 3 Picks you will see all day
in NBA Betting

One down! RAPTORS -3 over Detroit

And OKC looking good....

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smartkuz

5

December 19, 2012

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replied to Can someone tell me why the WARRIORS are only -3 @ SAC?
in NBA Betting

Great quote from Lee:

"One of the hardest games in the NBA to play is your first game back at home after a road trip," forward David Lee said after scoring 26 points with nine rebounds. "I've been through too much losing to be disappointed in a win."

These guys really get it now... very self aware and are fighting for every win.

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smartkuz

57

December 19, 2012

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