Special_K

im pretty sure that Celtic starting lineup has lost several games THIS series

i like the sox over 83.5 ... atlanta and seattle seem like everyones favorite this year which makes me nervous. I kinda like the dback in the west but i can see LA winning 85 ... in fact, i might jump on that. i think they are being overlooked this year.

also like minn over 83.5 wins ... well coached team, deep, good pitching, good defense, always contends, shitty division (aka alot of easy games) ... sign me up

 goodluck, i wont be touching that game. one play a day will keep the bookie away and my one play prob wont be that one. i simply have little exposure to that conf and small boards = tight lines, esp in those games.

 yep, this one is shaping out to be the best play TBTBT for me today. I cant stand what im seeing in Penn-St Joe and the other lowly conferences make me nervous. Something reminds me a bit of the Duke-Wake line last week where wake was catching a ton of pts on the road but were never going to cover it. ppl were all over wake too. they will be over mizz to a lesser extent but i feel the book likes where they set their line.

the only counter arguement i have for this line being where it is would be the recent history of Mizz @ Kan who has pretty much blown out mizz 3 out of 4 yrs there. But ppl will directly compare this game to Baylor, who youre right is def better than Mizz, and will gladly take those pts. mizz is not baylor, and not road tested IMO.

gluck

actually a nice spot here for Wofford ... they are probably the best team in their conf even though they just lost a close one Charlotte on the road (lotta Wofford steam in that game if i remember). This line makes no sense as Chatt seems to be decent enough to keep within that number ... ill say that might be a very nice candidate you got yourself there.

yea i dont understand it. very drastic and very early in the day too. man, penn is so shitty though. i honestly feel that Joes will cover this and the books made a bold move to deter more Joes money. i bet they roped alot of ppl in to Penn moving that line bc ppl will think something is up. dont underestimate reverse line movement on such a small card!!!!

Quote Originally Posted by BHouse:

I think alot of people will be on College of Charleston +6 as well.  They have been on a good run as of late (covering their last 8), but I like W. Carolina tonight.  See my thread for the write-up. BOL

this one looks good too as it seems the pub is slamming the more known charleston team yet the line is moving towards WCar. WCaf is 10-0 at home but this will be a battle as 2 of the best teams in this conf. i love going aginst teams that have covered many times in a row, this case Charleston 8x in a row. the books adjust the lines accoringly throughout the year, there cant be much value left right now in Charleston ... WCar has lost ATS 5 out of their last 6 ... WCar seems like the smart play here, revengage factored in too (lost both meetings last yr)

  leaning towards not at all ... another terrible board today

Quote Originally Posted by HotRoute:

Agreed K...although it would be tough for me to back Penn 

especially now .. you think the books moved this down to 5 to scare ppl off St Joe? maybe joes rolls here and they are playing possum??

something is definately going on with that St Joe-Penn game ... line is down to -5 everywhere. absolutely screaming to take Penn. looks like we have an early leader here. is there an injury reported? how can the public's largest % play move 2.5 pts w/o provocation? if anyone knows something please share.

as for KU-Mizz, yes it seems the public might be split on this one. i just think this line is too high and normally would flinch at taking a good dog in a rivarly game. Thats why i think KU is the play here, just a weird line. shouldnt this be more around 8-10?