TheChildsPlay

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created a topic TCP 1:00 Games in NFL Betting 2-5 last two weeks, after going 0-4 last week. I was in a terrible 6-car pileup on the interstate last week right as those games were going down to the wire. My bro was driving, and I was watching the games on my phone when we got hit. His car was totaled, but luckily no one was hurt... We got hit by a 18-wheeler which threw us into construction area where we ended up hitting a construction lamp head on at high speed. Was not lucky with football (0-4), but lucky to be able to pick some more games this week! Anyways, on to the games: 2 Plays for the early games today. Play or fade away... Buffalo +2.5 vs. New England: Brady rolled his ankle on Friday, and will need to stay upright this game with limited running around in the pocket. Bad news is that Buffalo's defensive line is one of the best in the league, and will make today difficult for him. Buffalo also wants to win this game to take a step ahead of NE in the division. A small play on the ML would be a good idea too. Miami +3 vs. Green Bay: Hot and humid in Miami, where Rodger's old offensive coordinator has had two weeks to prepare his team to stop that machine. Green Bay has had 10 days after their Thursday Night beatdown of Minnesota, where the public has been stroking their ego non-stop. Green Bay hopefully has worked on stopping the run, because if they can't do that then they are in store for a long day from Miller, Moreno, and even Tannehill. Tannehill is also a better QB than what they saw against Ponder last week. Miami also knows that after the Buf/NE game, someone is going to be 4-2 in the division, and a loss puts them behind both of those teams, regardless of the other game's outcome. Another one that is worth a ML bet, and possibly parlay both the ML's for these games!! Both of these teams are very good as home dogs, and I like fading teams coming off ego-boosting victories, like the Pats vs. Cincy and the Packers over Minny. Best of luck! View Post \| View Thread	TheChildsPlay	4	October 12, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic TCP: My 4 1:00 Games for Week 5 in NFL Betting 2-1 Last Week on my 1:00 picks Falcons +3.5 --- Public's short memory think the Falcons lost to Minnesota (which I correctly picked last week), and the Giants crushed Washington on the TNF game. Before those games, the Falcons would've been favored by more than a FG. Now we are getting more than a FG with Atlanta. Saints -10.5 --- Saints need this game. Bucs come in off a great win, and I think once they get down they will give up. This line would be 13-14 if the Bucs would have lost, or if the Saints would have won against Cleveland or Atlanta earlier this year and were 2-2. Jags +6.0 --- This kind of goes against my short memory mentality, as everyone is down on the Steelers after last week, but I honestly don't think they are that great. They played well in Carolina earlier in the year, but I'm not sold on them being a playoff team, and will take the home dog and the points. Rams +6.5 --- The line movement is part of my reasoning for this play. StL is coning off a bye, and Philly is still overrated. I'm going to roll with Jeff Fisher and the pts. BOL everybody! View Post \| View Thread	TheChildsPlay	1	October 05, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic TCP: 1:00 games in NFL Betting Long time, no posts. I feel confident about these three games today. May be good fade material, but we will see: Carolina +3 @ Baltimore I just don't think Baltimore is "playoff good", and Carolina has something to prove coming off a huge loss. Baltimore was lucky to escape Cleveland last week with a win, and now have a non-conference foe coming in, which I think they won't be as motivated for with a game @ Indy and Andrew Luck on deck. You also look at the common opponent, Pittsburgh, which thrashed Carolina, but got crushed at Baltimore, and that gives the public a hard on for Baltimore. I like fading the average Joe reasoning, so give me Carolina and the points in a low scoring game. Green Bay -2 @ Chicago Green Bay has faced three of the toughest front-sevens in the NFL so far in Seattle, New York Jets, and Detroit. They essentially have been one dimensional so far because of that, but I expect a huge game for Lacy that the Packers will establish early, and then open up the aerial attack for Rodgers. The Bears are lucky to be 2-1, as I think San Fran gave that game away. Regardless, the public is over-valuing the Bears right now, and seems to have written off Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. I think this one comes down to Cutler doing something stupid or getting stripped by Peppers or Mathews in the closing minutes to seal the game for the Pack. Tampa Bay +7 @ Pittsburgh This one is all about pride, and Lovie has had 9 days to get his team ready before today. Doug Martin should be a factor in this game too. I always love taking teams coming off blowout losses when getting a TD or more. I could be wrong, and Tampa may very well be pure crap, but I think Lovie will have his team ready. Lastly, let's rally against these Euro's!!! USA!!!! View Post \| View Thread	TheChildsPlay	1	September 28, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Wow, it's been awhile! in NFL Betting 11-8 ITT... Today, Jets +7.0 (Large Play, 5 Units) View Post \| View Thread	TheChildsPlay	15	December 29, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Andy Reid History of Resting Players in NFL Betting Teasing it down to -2 with other games seems like the best bet. View Post \| View Thread	texascapper	18	December 29, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Wow, it's been awhile! in NFL Betting Looking like I'll go 2-1 in early games if everything stands. Late Games: Oakland Raiders +6.0 (Large Play - 5 Units) Dallas Cowboys -5.0 (Medium Play - 3 Units) View Post \| View Thread	TheChildsPlay	15	December 15, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Wow, it's been awhile! in NFL Betting Johnny. Early Plays: Going with home underdogs in early games this afternoon: New York Giants +7.0 (Small Play - 2 Units) Cleveland Browns PK (Medium Play - 3 Units) Miami Dolphins PK (Medium Play - 3 Units) Good luck! View Post \| View Thread	TheChildsPlay	15	December 15, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Wow, it's been awhile! in NFL Betting Bolts!!! View Post \| View Thread	TheChildsPlay	15	December 12, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Wow, it's been awhile! in NFL Betting 9-4 last 2 weeks Thursday Night Football San Diego +10.0. (Small Play - 2 Units) Good Luck! View Post \| View Thread	TheChildsPlay	15	December 12, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Wow, it's been awhile! in NFL Betting Monday Night: Chicago Bears +1.0 (Medium Play, 3 Units) Good Luck! View Post \| View Thread	TheChildsPlay	15	December 09, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Wow, it's been awhile! in NFL Betting 2-2 Today, hit on my 5 and 4 Unit bets, whiffed on my 3 and 2 Unit bets. Sunday Night: New Orleans -3.0 (Large Play - 5 Units) Good luck! View Post \| View Thread	TheChildsPlay	15	December 08, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Wow, it's been awhile! in NFL Betting Late Games: Seattle +2.5 (Large Play - 5 Units) Good Luck! View Post \| View Thread	TheChildsPlay	15	December 08, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Wow, it's been awhile! in NFL Betting Alright, here we go with Week 14 early games: Buffalo +2.5 (Medium Play, 3 Units) Cincinati -6.5 (Medium/Large Play, 4 Units) New England -10.0 (Small/Medium Play, 2 Units) Good Luck! View Post \| View Thread	TheChildsPlay	15	December 08, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Saturday OVER bettors enter in College Football I think the SEC has a chance to go over in the GA Dome (o/u 58.5). 31-28 does it. Auburn is so quick, and their defense is also susceptible. James Franklin is dual-threat, as opposed to McCarron last week, and even he took off for some runs against the Tigers if I recall correctly. With Duke/FSU, I worry about Duke being able to score more than 17 against a stout defense. I think too they will try and control the clock since FSU can score in a hurry. Also, FSU really grinds it out with a run every play in 4th quarter drives where they have the lead. Last week they really milked the clock late, and kicked a FG to barely cover the spread against the Gators. Overall, this one scares me for the over. No bets on either for me, but i'd lean towards the SEC over instead of the ACC over. View Post \| View Thread	knight703	12	December 07, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Fact or Fiction in College Football College football is obviously flawed. Following this year, a team like Alabama will still be able to compete for the National Championship. That got me thinking though... F/F?: Currently, Alabama would be favored over any team outside of FSU, on a neutral field, if they played today. I can't think of any team Vegas would favor over Bama other than the Seminoles right now. Thoughts? View Post \| View Thread	TheChildsPlay	1	December 07, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Wow, it's been awhile! in NFL Betting 5-2 last week. Tonight, the smart thing is no play. Two bad teams. Jacksonville seems to have some confidence, and Houston took a devastating loss less than a week ago. I'd feel pretty shaky betting on either of these teams. Gun to the head, I'd go with the Texans if you can get it at less than 3, say at -2.5... But, No Play is the way to go tonight. View Post \| View Thread	TheChildsPlay	15	December 05, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Wow, it's been awhile! in NFL Betting Wrong side last night. Tonight I'll take yet another home team: Seattle Seahawks -6.0 (Medium/Large Play - 4 Units) Good luck! View Post \| View Thread	TheChildsPlay	15	December 02, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Wow, it's been awhile! in NFL Betting 4 of 5 earlier... TONIGHT: Washington +1.0 (Medium Play - 3 Units) Good luck! View Post \| View Thread	TheChildsPlay	15	December 01, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Wow, it's been awhile! in NFL Betting Haven't posted picks in forever, but have had a good year (thanks some to you guys! - I appreciate it), so here are the early games I'm playing today: Houston +7.0 (Large Play - 5 Units) New York Jets -2 (Medium/Large Play - 4 Units) - You can get it -1.5 now.. Minnesota Vikings -1.0 (Medium Play - 3 Units) Panthers -7.0 (Small Play - 2 Units) Colts -4.0 (Small Play - 2 Units) Basically, I'm fading most of the public plays (Pats, Phins, Bears) for home teams in my bigger plays. Give me the Panthers and Colts as favorites at home in rematches of divisional teams that recently played. Good luck! View Post \| View Thread	TheChildsPlay	15	December 01, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Indiana at Wisconsin (10/15/2011) in College Football Give me the 40 pts as well. I think Wisconsin will look to pound the ball coming off the bye, and hopefully some long drives will eat up enough clock to keep this one within 6 TD's. For a 1-5 team, Indiana's red zone defensive stats are not as bad as one would imagine (59th in opponents RZ scoring %, 89th in RZ scoring attempts per game). Hopefully they can hold the Badgers to some FG's instead of TD's. I've said 'hopefully' a few times, so this is definitely a small play. Indiana +40 View Post \| View Thread	Covers	34	October 15, 2011 View Post \| View Thread

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