vcuminh

The guy looks like a STUD nfl QB. Not saying any bad about #1 draft QB, just saying. You can see it unfold

Friday second half unders went a whopping 15-1 with only Kansas state going over by 7 pts. Hoping it continues again today as the games get tighter. 

I was down 7k with my bookie only to be down 2k as of today thanks to blindly betting the under. Went 8-1 as I didn’t play all of them but started seeing the pattern after the Marquette game. Good luck everyone!

Something I’ve been following so it appears that 3rd quarter milwaukee bucks game have gone over 6/8 games. The two that didn’t go over was when the Greek and Middleton were out. Any explanation from nba expert cappers out there why quarter totals from some teams are set low in the first half and then jump 3-5 points in second half. By the way making some really good money off the bucks q3 by blindly playing the over. 

Need some input from the wonderful folks here…

Leans: over Miami 57

Western -26

over eastern 60.5

Something about that western game scares me even though I want to pull trigger on western. When did they start demanding Alabama like spreads. Besides the big win over Kent 4 weeks ago, I just don’t see it. Any input on the o/u on Miami? I know one team is pass heavy and the other is all ground and pound. What about defense? This has making of Miami vs. Ohio all over again assuming you can’t trust both defenses. 

@Kpcinco

 Hello friend, are you saying that the fix and/or the script is not real but there is some level of manipulation? By definition, isn’t that a fix??when someone or some being is involved with the game where they can alter the results by going outside the rules. I’m just trying to make sense of something that looks like a duck quacks like a duck but we’re calling it a beaver. 

Here we go with the scripts mumbo jumbo bananarama thing again. I think the truth is that we as gamblers put way too much value in the QB and when we see a underdog with 2nd or 3d string, we automatically put a lot more agreement to the favorite. Last time I checked football is played on both sides of the ball and defense plays a critical role by (1) flipping the field or (2) create turnovers for the offense which indirectly create points. Dallas played solid defense, New Orleans picked off Brady 2x, and cincy defense couldn’t make stops. Surely one could argue that at the end of the day, a lot  of these variable make the quarterback look better than he really is because they all came out with a “W” and was not even suppose too. 

most one-hitters are merely that and nothing more once you have film on them. 

I hear ya brotha. You score 71 in q3 and players all sudden play like someone blindfolds them and chops off their left toe. I’ve seen worse believe you me. 

ULL game: Under 54. 

no analysis, no trends. I’m sorry but having betting for 15+ years, a lot of stats and trends are insignificant. They end up getting in the way and screw with you. Been there done that.  Under 54, Just roll with it. 

2-1 tonight. 

I like the over. There have been at least 4 O/U posted at 70+ this year as I remember and the total stayed under. I just can’t see much defense here unless weather becomes a deciding factor. 

Niu +3

over 71

Central Michigan +9

no analysis, no trends. Good ol gut feeling

Niu +3

over 71

Central Michigan +9

no analysis, no trends. Good ol gut feeling

Good luck today but buyer beware when you start comparing across games that occurred 7 weeks ago. Teams today is not same as it was going back that many weeks. 

Nothing but love to everyone here. Pick some winners and hope you guys are on the right side of the number this weekend.

Remember, there is no crying in gambling and certainly I will always choose not to believe in the “setup”. To each it’s own. goodbye now. 

By the way, it is far easy to formulate your own opinions to justify your losses but in actuality, you were just on the wrong side that day based on how the events turned out.

I appreciate everybody’s feedback whether they totally disagree with what I’m saying or if they’re on my side. It’s a free speech open forum. 

All I’m saying is that it’s so hard to get 60 players and coaches to get in on a fix together. Every week I come to this forum trying to get some really good insight from intelligent handicappers but it seems all I hear lately is that what a “perfect script”, this “game is rigged”, “ what’s “script for tonight”. This is sports, the real life ultimate adrenaline drama you can’t get anywhere else.

There are times in the past where Dwight Howard or Shaq screwed me on the over because they cannot shoot free throws. In college basketball those kids shoot 60% from the stripe. One can look at the final score and come to this conclusion “holy crap I missed the over by one point, it’s rigged because he could have made that layup but chose to dribble it out” It’s not because the last was nit taken missed but in actuality it’s all those free throws that were missed throughout the game. 

Take a step back and look at the game in its entirety and not just one drive or series to formulate the “script” hypothesis. I’m sure Kyle Murray wasn’t laying on the turf after that INT thinking, “man…thank god that under hit and no overtime at -600, that would not be good for the market.”

It’s sad when people on this forum talk about games being scripted/staged/setup. I tend to lean on the side of players and coaches busting their tail to prepare to play these games week after week. It’s not easy to ask players to perform under pressure in front of millions. It’s sports people… if golfers duff under pressure and lose a tournament, you would call that a fix too? 

Lets just give credit that these line makers are just that damn good and many games henge on 1-2 big plays and in football it’s always coming down to last possession whether you win or lose. Hell I had the under 49.5 in the Arizona game and sweated it out but not once would I have claimed fix if Green Bay or Arizona scored. Vent your frustration on players not making the plays but don’t compare real sport competition to wwf. Come on people, you’re better than that. 

I love how we have a long list of games but every game seems like a trap. Which teams do you think have the best blowout potential today? My book had Phoenix -30+ at +700 yesterday but that ship has long sailed? Think they will trounce Spurs again? 

My thoughts and leans below and please let me know your picks so we can win some dough today. I’m usually very excited about the nba menu but today could be a lot of rotten fish.

Picks:

Wizards -5

atlanta over ?

New York -8

phoenix -10

Philly under?

Milwaukee under ?

On paper, it seems all too easy but we all know vegas don’t just give money away. I hear a lot of folks in the forum talk about starters resting and that should be an auto play on the other side: Chargers, Browns, Dolphins. 

you guys do realize that there is motivation on both sides and that even 2nd 3rd stringers will go 100%. No team is “suppose to win”. It’s the nfl, you got to get earn that W. Look up jets and bengals.  With that said, I still like a well coached Reid and Tomlin team to cover as dogs. Give me

Pitt +9.5

kc + 3.5 

All of us who have been athletes in our lifetime know how hard it may have been to be the stud in high school, let alone college and to be fortunate to be in the pro league. If you make it to the top top like Haskins has, gotten the many chances to succeed like he has, he most certainly needed to do everything he could to stay there. 

not meant for him and not meant to be.