Wild69Bill

Anyone seeing that 2half line??? Crazy. Its like Vegas is screaming Xavier for some reason. I'm on Wisky but nervous

RUTGERS -19 

MSST -23 (Right now, Halftime 43-29)

MAX PLAY

MSST -23

5-2 so far this 2018 season, and both losses came off the same games(St Johns vs BG). 

Couldnt stay perfect forever, but a great start this year nonetheless! 

Today plays:

Rutgers -19 vs Drexel at +180 Odds (or Rutgets -13.5 at Even Odds if you are scared 2 units

USC -8.5 vs Vanderbilt at +230 odds (or USC -2.5 at Even Odds if you are scared) 2 units

Probably will teaser these 2 games for a MAX PLAY but will keep this thread posted.

Not an ideal start for St. Johns, doubling up on MSST as a result of it. 

Forgot to mention, Teaser Odds are at -110

Still havent lost this 2018 NCAAB Season, looking to keep the steak going. If you havent been following my picks, educate your self on my system through my recent posts. 

Tonights plays:

St Johns -16.5(-140 odds) 1 unit

Tennessee -14.5 (-140 odds) 1 unit

Miss State -25 (+185 odds) .5 unit (Or take -19 at Even Odds if you are scared)

My model shows the end user with a 86% chance of at least 1 unit of profit after these bets.

3 Team 8 Point "Sweetheart"(As they call it in Vegas) Teaser:

MSST -10.5

TENN -8.5 

ST JOHNS -11

MAX PLAY

Once again, for the third time this NCAAB season, my model shows this teaser as a virtual lock. 

LETS GET THIS BREAD

Thanks m8. Indeed looking like another clean sweep! 

Siena ML 

Teaser:

Siena+11 

Illinois -9.5 (Currently leading 47-17)

Really hate to say I told you so.... numbers were there for Siena. Really hope this wasnt a "50 unit play"

This is a huge swing and a miss. Siena will cover if not win SU. Please don't bet 50 units(5,000 for me) on this. 

Haven't lost a game this year! 2-0 to date 

Little about me and my betting style, I have an analytics degree from a four year college and currently am in grad school. I usually don't bet on the line, but rather deviations of it that I feel present a statistical advantage given the odds they're offered at(rather + or -). This type of point system can be applied across all sports, however is most successful through NCAAB by a wide margin. So, for example, I felt that last night Duke would win by at least 3 points and that at +165 odds this would be considered an "optimal value". I took it, they won. This system would NOT work for someone who cannot buy significant amounts of points both ways on any given spread.

Tonight's play: 

Siena ML (Or take +7 at Even Odds if you're scared) 2 units

Illinois -14.5 at Even Odds 3 units

(Coming out of these two picks, my model shows the end user with a 88% chance of at least +1 unit of profit after 10000 simulations)

Teaser:  -140 Odds  MAX PLAY

Siena +11

Illinois -9.5 

(My model has this teaser as a virtual lock, more so than my teaser last night where both teams won ATS)

0-0 YTD, techincally I had Duke -2.5 at +165 last night but didn't post it in here. 

Little about me and my betting style, I have an analytics degree from a four year college and currently am in grad school. I usually don't bet on the line, but rather deviations of it that I feel present a statistical advantage given the odds they're offered at(rather + or -). This type of point system can be applied across all sports, however is most successful through NCAAB by a wide margin. So, for example, I felt that last night Duke would win by at least 3 points and that at +165 odds this would be considered an "optimal value". I took it, they won. This system would NOT work for someone who cannot buy significant amounts of points both ways on any given spread. Hopefully I can display this system's success over the course of this NCAAB season. 

Tonight's play:

2 Team Parlay, odds -113

-Ohio State +11 (-320)

-Wright State -14 (-230)