win big

kansas state, boise state, purdue line down.

purdue line change significent. lots of sharp money on them early.

kansas st and boise st lines changed after some services released plays on af and kansas, according to my sources. so, if you like boise and kansas state, dont panic. it has nothing to do with smart money.

Once again, short rest road fave failed badly.

i appreciate the heads up...just not my style to go with a huge fave even on a first half line. it would be a completely new experience for me. good luck bro

i appreciate your feedback, but remember, there are no gifts in this biz. good luck.

den +4 b

car +7 b

chi +5

ari +3

tb +3

mary +14

ecu +10.5

bc +21

vand +29

la laf +7 buy

Big Play: Arizona +15

I dont know many people who like this play, but hey, thats me. I tend to like plays no one else does. Thats probably one of the reasons why I win more than I lose in the long run.

Oregon beat one bad and one rebuilding team at home last two weeks, and that is good enough in the eyes of many to lay over 2 touchdowns on the road against Arizona.

Sorry, but I just dont see it that way. I just think they are overrated, much more than they were last season. Everyone they faced this season was able to move the ball on them. Well, maybe Missouri State didnt look great but they stil kept the ball for almost 40 minutes in that game.

Arizona is young but they are talented. They were competitive against Stanford for about 3 quarters and then went down just like everyone else did against Stanford this season. The last three times they hosted Oregon, they covered as home dogs every time. Last season they played them on the road and even led at the half and trailed by only 5 late in the third quarter.

I expect Oregon to have all kinds of problems in their first true road game this season.




Louisiana Monroe +17 (regular play)

Iowa left it all on the field last two weeks. First they played their rivals Iowa State in multiple overtime and then last week they came all the way back from being down 24-3 in the third and 27-10 in the fourth to beat Pittsburgh. With a trip to PSU comming up next week they could be in dangerous spot against this SBC intruder. La Monroe played better than expected against TCU last week.



Rice +21 -115 (regular play)

I cant believe that there is some hype around Baylor football program again. Its been a long long time. Their QB is good, but the rest of that team is stil somewhat suspicious. Rice is vastly improved, well rested, and ready to play. They used to be able to uspet Baylor when this was somewhat of a rivalery in late 1980s and early 1990s. They are probably not ready to do it this season but I expect them to be competitive on the field.

San Francisco +3. San Francisco did not play well last week but stil picked up their first win of the season. Dallas had the lead for 3+ quarters against the Jets and stil lost. The pressure is on Dallas here. SF can play relaxed, they have nothing to lose. Dallas always seems to fail in important games. And with a 0-1 start, this is an important game for Dallas.

Arizona +3.5. Sandwich game for Washington here. That game against NYG was very important for Washington and they celebrated like they just made the playoffs or something. With another important game against a divisional rival comming up next week, this young Redskins team could lose the focus against Arizona.

Temple +7.5
Colorado State +7.5
Tulsa +14 -119

A little bit late on Temple and Colorado State as better lines were avaiable...


Temple is an excellent ATS bet for quite some time. They have a very good running game and they will not be scared of PSU. They proved it last season at PSU. Their defense looks very solid too.

Colorado State could be better than Colorado this season. They are 7-0 ATS when revenging a non covering loss to Colorado. Colorado was chasing Cal from start to finish and played them in OT last week.

Tulsa is a different animal at home. Like two other dogs I am picking this week, Tulsa is seeing this weeks game as rivalery while their opponent is not looking at it the same way. Usually a very good spot for the dog.