The Broncos really struggled in that dept last season at various times. After that initial 20 min opening period where everyone is energised ect, they battled to really roll forward in a lot of games last season.
Even watching that charity shield game the other night I was looking at those forward packs (esp Souths) wondering how the Broncos will stack up against them physically
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Your pack is a real worry.
The Broncos really struggled in that dept last season at various times. After that initial 20 min opening period where everyone is energised ect, they battled to really roll forward in a lot of games last season.
Even watching that charity shield game the other night I was looking at those forward packs (esp Souths) wondering how the Broncos will stack up against them physically
wouldn't be surpised at all, infact I would be surprised if QLD is a pronounced series favourite again.
Not sure how focused Jonathon Thurston is at the moment and Price and Civonacieva can't keep driving that ship forever. Felt there were a few signs during last year's series to suggest the worm was starting to turn at least slightly in the BLUE direction.
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Quote Originally Posted by Aussie Battler:
NSW to win Origin.
Lock that shit up
wouldn't be surpised at all, infact I would be surprised if QLD is a pronounced series favourite again.
Not sure how focused Jonathon Thurston is at the moment and Price and Civonacieva can't keep driving that ship forever. Felt there were a few signs during last year's series to suggest the worm was starting to turn at least slightly in the BLUE direction.
Thats why i didn't wanna bet that game,i don't wanna be on the Rothfields but i also don't wanna lay 7.5 with the Melbourne Travelledhalfwayaroundtheworldorms
Under
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You read my mind Battler re Storm 16-10
Thats why i didn't wanna bet that game,i don't wanna be on the Rothfields but i also don't wanna lay 7.5 with the Melbourne Travelledhalfwayaroundtheworldorms
But I do think NSW take this year. Dead rubber or not, NSW got it right game 3 and save for a few cases of individual brilliance from you brilliant pricks, could easily have snatched another game.
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Yup, although Thurston hasn't been our problem..
But I do think NSW take this year. Dead rubber or not, NSW got it right game 3 and save for a few cases of individual brilliance from you brilliant pricks, could easily have snatched another game.
I know everyone around here is excited and running around humping their furniture ect in anticipation of the upcoming NRL season but personally, I'll be making very few plays on this because imo it is an extremely difficult competition to bet.
The way the game is played nowadays / the way its officiated make it a real coin toss with most games hanging on a knife edge / exchanging tries before a frantic final few minutes where anything goes.
Once the season is a few rounds old, bookmakers are getting their lines very sharp nowadays imo.
that's why it's better to play the dogs and the plus and ML
the line setters are pretty sharp round 1
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Quote Originally Posted by Jive_Turkey:
I know everyone around here is excited and running around humping their furniture ect in anticipation of the upcoming NRL season but personally, I'll be making very few plays on this because imo it is an extremely difficult competition to bet.
The way the game is played nowadays / the way its officiated make it a real coin toss with most games hanging on a knife edge / exchanging tries before a frantic final few minutes where anything goes.
Once the season is a few rounds old, bookmakers are getting their lines very sharp nowadays imo.
that's why it's better to play the dogs and the plus and ML
But I do think NSW take this year. Dead rubber or not, NSW got it right game 3 and save for a few cases of individual brilliance from you brilliant pricks, could easily have snatched another game.
Why NSW? Qld have Price, Hannant and the Fridge and Freezer up front. NSW have Justin Poore, Luke Perry and Brent White
Qld have Thurston or Lockyer or Prince or Cronk in the halves. NSW have Wallace or Barret or Kimmorley or Pierce
Qld have Slater and Inglis and Falou and Boyd and Hodges in the backs. NSW have Hayne, Jennings, Morris and Morris.
can't see a NSW series win. This maybe the last year of Qld dominance though, as i think Price and the Fridge won't go around in it next year
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Quote Originally Posted by Aussie Battler:
Yup, although Thurston hasn't been our problem..
But I do think NSW take this year. Dead rubber or not, NSW got it right game 3 and save for a few cases of individual brilliance from you brilliant pricks, could easily have snatched another game.
Why NSW? Qld have Price, Hannant and the Fridge and Freezer up front. NSW have Justin Poore, Luke Perry and Brent White
Qld have Thurston or Lockyer or Prince or Cronk in the halves. NSW have Wallace or Barret or Kimmorley or Pierce
Qld have Slater and Inglis and Falou and Boyd and Hodges in the backs. NSW have Hayne, Jennings, Morris and Morris.
can't see a NSW series win. This maybe the last year of Qld dominance though, as i think Price and the Fridge won't go around in it next year
Why NSW? Qld have Price, Hannant and the Fridge and Freezer up front. NSW have Justin Poore, Luke Perry and Brent White
Qld have Thurston or Lockyer or Prince or Cronk in the halves. NSW have Wallace or Barret or Kimmorley or Pierce
Qld have Slater and Inglis and Falou and Boyd and Hodges in the backs. NSW have Hayne, Jennings, Morris and Morris.
can't see a NSW series win. This maybe the last year of Qld dominance though, as i think Price and the Fridge won't go around in it next year
Price and F & F are another year older. Surely these pricks will have to slow down soon. Poore, Weyman, White aren't great, but they could do. Throw in TLL. Where's Aiden Tolman from? We can find a pack.
I can't remember the last blinder Lockyer played at rep level. He may not even go around this year.
Slater, Inglis and Falou are a major fucking headache, I'll concede that. Hodges mightn't be fit by Origin.
The gap is closing. They just need to sack the selectors and have a little bit of luck.
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Quote Originally Posted by FarQue:
Why NSW? Qld have Price, Hannant and the Fridge and Freezer up front. NSW have Justin Poore, Luke Perry and Brent White
Qld have Thurston or Lockyer or Prince or Cronk in the halves. NSW have Wallace or Barret or Kimmorley or Pierce
Qld have Slater and Inglis and Falou and Boyd and Hodges in the backs. NSW have Hayne, Jennings, Morris and Morris.
can't see a NSW series win. This maybe the last year of Qld dominance though, as i think Price and the Fridge won't go around in it next year
Price and F & F are another year older. Surely these pricks will have to slow down soon. Poore, Weyman, White aren't great, but they could do. Throw in TLL. Where's Aiden Tolman from? We can find a pack.
I can't remember the last blinder Lockyer played at rep level. He may not even go around this year.
Slater, Inglis and Falou are a major fucking headache, I'll concede that. Hodges mightn't be fit by Origin.
The gap is closing. They just need to sack the selectors and have a little bit of luck.
that's why it's better to play the dogs and the plus and ML
the line setters are pretty sharp round 1
Read so many posts like this prior to every season. Dogs and + points don't guarantee +ve. You gotta bet dogs where dogs are the play and vice versa when favourites appeal.
My main point is that any play you do make in this stuff needs to be very strong in your own reasonings. Betting every game on the board or even most games on the slate each weekend will get you nowhere imo.
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Quote Originally Posted by FarQue:
that's why it's better to play the dogs and the plus and ML
the line setters are pretty sharp round 1
Read so many posts like this prior to every season. Dogs and + points don't guarantee +ve. You gotta bet dogs where dogs are the play and vice versa when favourites appeal.
My main point is that any play you do make in this stuff needs to be very strong in your own reasonings. Betting every game on the board or even most games on the slate each weekend will get you nowhere imo.
The "Hayne Rule" will disadvantage the Dragons greatly as Sowards stands deep when taking kicks, every fucking player will be offside when he takes the kick from now on .
Yeap I agree AB, Boyd was impressive in the Charity shield, set up some tries and is actually passing the ball now. Looks like Wayno will be working on his attack this season.
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The "Hayne Rule" will disadvantage the Dragons greatly as Sowards stands deep when taking kicks, every fucking player will be offside when he takes the kick from now on .
Yeap I agree AB, Boyd was impressive in the Charity shield, set up some tries and is actually passing the ball now. Looks like Wayno will be working on his attack this season.
I know everyone around here is excited and running around humping their furniture ect in anticipation of the upcoming NRL season but personally, I'll be making very few plays on this because imo it is an extremely difficult competition to bet.
The way the game is played nowadays / the way its officiated make it a real coin toss with most games hanging on a knife edge / exchanging tries before a frantic final few minutes where anything goes.
Once the season is a few rounds old, bookmakers are getting their lines very sharp nowadays imo.
Bullseye and ditto. This will be my 10th season and I'm aiming at about 85% of my straight bets - give or take - being totals only, with the majority of those being overs.
I'm convinced teams just don't give a shit if they lose 2-3 matches in a row out of the 26.
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Quote Originally Posted by Jive_Turkey:
I know everyone around here is excited and running around humping their furniture ect in anticipation of the upcoming NRL season but personally, I'll be making very few plays on this because imo it is an extremely difficult competition to bet.
The way the game is played nowadays / the way its officiated make it a real coin toss with most games hanging on a knife edge / exchanging tries before a frantic final few minutes where anything goes.
Once the season is a few rounds old, bookmakers are getting their lines very sharp nowadays imo.
Bullseye and ditto. This will be my 10th season and I'm aiming at about 85% of my straight bets - give or take - being totals only, with the majority of those being overs.
I'm convinced teams just don't give a shit if they lose 2-3 matches in a row out of the 26.
Bullseye and ditto. This will be my 10th season and I'm aiming at about 85% of my straight bets - give or take - being totals only, with the majority of those being overs.
I'm convinced teams just don't give a shit if they lose 2-3 matches in a row out of the 26.
Sounds like every two-bit NRL capper from Bondi to Bunbury should just down-tools and tail you all season if that's your strike rate ?!
If you can win even 55% of your plays on totals over the course of this season I will issue a media release in your honour !
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Quote Originally Posted by norseman67:
Bullseye and ditto. This will be my 10th season and I'm aiming at about 85% of my straight bets - give or take - being totals only, with the majority of those being overs.
I'm convinced teams just don't give a shit if they lose 2-3 matches in a row out of the 26.
Sounds like every two-bit NRL capper from Bondi to Bunbury should just down-tools and tail you all season if that's your strike rate ?!
If you can win even 55% of your plays on totals over the course of this season I will issue a media release in your honour !
Read so many posts like this prior to every season. Dogs and + points don't guarantee +ve. You gotta bet dogs where dogs are the play and vice versa when favourites appeal.
My main point is that any play you do make in this stuff needs to be very strong in your own reasonings. Betting every game on the board or even most games on the slate each weekend will get you nowhere imo.
taking dogs in the right game
taking favourites in the NRL is a fast way to the poor house. Slight reverse longshot favourite bias exists in the NRL
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Quote Originally Posted by Jive_Turkey:
Read so many posts like this prior to every season. Dogs and + points don't guarantee +ve. You gotta bet dogs where dogs are the play and vice versa when favourites appeal.
My main point is that any play you do make in this stuff needs to be very strong in your own reasonings. Betting every game on the board or even most games on the slate each weekend will get you nowhere imo.
taking dogs in the right game
taking favourites in the NRL is a fast way to the poor house. Slight reverse longshot favourite bias exists in the NRL
Bullseye and ditto. This will be my 10th season and I'm aiming at about 85% of my straight bets - give or take - being totals only, with the majority of those being overs.
I'm convinced teams just don't give a shit if they lose 2-3 matches in a row out of the 26.
if you go 85% I can get you a job at any book in Australia, your choice of which one
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Quote Originally Posted by norseman67:
Bullseye and ditto. This will be my 10th season and I'm aiming at about 85% of my straight bets - give or take - being totals only, with the majority of those being overs.
I'm convinced teams just don't give a shit if they lose 2-3 matches in a row out of the 26.
if you go 85% I can get you a job at any book in Australia, your choice of which one
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