ECUADOR v VENEZUELA
The opening line here was set at 1.80/-125 and I see no reason why we have drifted all the way to plus money. I'm high on Ecuador and Venezuela just parks the bus. I like a very narrow win for Ecuador.
3. Ecuador ML @ 2.03/+103 (1u) Unibet
Lean
Correct Total Goals UNDER 2 @ 2.04/+104
MEXICO V JAMAICA
The crowd in Houston will be 95% Mexico supporters. The last head to head meeting, Mexico wins 3-0. Jamaica is missing their best player Leon Bailey. Unless I get screwed over with a red card as in the Ecuador game this is a Mexico win.
4. Mexico -1 @ 1.84/-119 (1u) Pinnacle
USA v BOLIVIA
Bolivia are the poorest side at the tournament. They have only one 1 and 5 losses in their past 6 games with the only victory coming versus Andorra. The last 2 times these sides met the US won 3-0 and 4-0. The US should have no problems getting the full 3 points.
5. USA Win to Nil @ 1.83/-120 (2u) Bet365
URUGUAY V PANAMA
The last meeting between these sides ended up with a 5-0 win for Uruguay. Panama has failed to score versus Mexico, Jamaica & Paraguay in their past 5 games. Uruguay managed to blanc Mexico 4-0. I see nothing but a decisive win for Uruguay.
6. Uruguay Win to Nil @ 1.83/-120 (1u) Bet365
LEAN
Correct score 3-0 @ 7.50/+650
COLOMBIA V PARAGUAY
Colombia come into this contest not having lost in 2 and a half years that's 23 matches. The last head to head was back in November world cup qualification match in Paraguay when they won 1-0. Paraguay has only 1 win in their past 5 games.
7. Colombia ML @ 1.74/-135 (2u) Pinnacle
LEAN
ANYTIME goal scorer Luis Diaz 2.62/+162
BRAZIL V COSTA RICA
Brazil are the rightful favourites and should easily come away with the 3 points. There is no value anywhere to be found backing them so I'm going to sprinkle a little on the correct score market. Here's hoping the Copa chalk fest continues.
8. Correct score 3-0 Brazil @ 5.50/+450 (1/2 unit) Bet365
9. Correct score 4-0 Brazil @ 7.00/+600 (1/2 unit) Bet365
CANADA V PERU
The time to back Canada was a month ago when the odds were flipped and Peru were the favourites. I think Canada at evens is pretty much fair so I will look for in game opportunities to back Canada. I do like a card prop here. The referee for this game is Mario Escobar of Guatemala who averages 4.59 cards per match. I think Peru will find it tough to keep up with a faster Canadian team and picks up some cards.
10. Total Cards OVER 4 @ 1.80/-125 (1u) Bet365
ARGENTINA V CHILE
Since 2021 these sides met on 3 occasions with Argentina winning 1 and the other 2 matches ending level. I think Argentina with 3 points in the pocket and Peru on tap in their last game will not see a draw as a horrible result. Chile are old and on a shorter rest period here so they might eventually break down. I still like them to keep it a close game.
11. Chile +1.25 @ 1.78/-128 (1u) Pinnacle
ECUADOR V JAMAICA
Ecuador was unlucky in having Valencia sent off with a red card early in the Venezuela match. Even then they still went a goal ahead before running out of gas and losing the match/ They need the full 3 points here and I think they get it versus a Jamaica side thats missing their best player
12. Ecuador -1 @ 1.92/-108 (1u ) Bet365
VENEZUELA V MEXICO
Venezuela are a very much "park the bus" team. Now with 3 points in pocket they will gladly take the draw and a point .Mexico also with 3 points in the bag would be ok with a draw having Jamaica on tap in the last group stage game. Both sides have has 3 of their past 5 games go under 2.5 This stinks of a 0-0 or 1-1 result.
13. FT Result DRAW @ 3.50/+250 (1u) Bet365
14. Total Goals UNDER @ 2.21/+121 (1u) Pinnacle
Was an entertaining match early on. Jamaica had a spectacular header from a long angled cross, but a shoulder was offsides. They also have the best dance choreography post goal in soccer today. Their best player DQ'd himself, and he has had attitude issues, so anyways, best to play on without him.
Valencia is a stud and natural scorer. They are more dangerous than Mexico when their game is on, but they are known to regress in form suddenly--as in the last WC qualifier.
I'm going to watch the game with no bet. Beer on hand....
Uruguay to win the group is -185
Assuming they smash Bolivia tonight after USA likely has a tougher game, and since they are currently equal on goal diff they'll run it up against them if they can. And I love the old US of A but I don't see them beating Uruguay so it all may come to goal Differential (if they draw) and Uruguay will play knowing the outcome of today's game. How big was that last minute Panama goal against Uruguay in the grand scheme of things!
Seems like decent value currently at -185? Also looks like Uruguay Over whatever tonight, -2, TTO2.5, etc. Feels like it would take an unlikely performance by both top teams for US to win this group
Just thinking out loud on a slow Thursday. Keep killing it
USA V PANAMA
The last time Panama played a full US side they lost 5-1 and Pulisic had a hat trick. Panama is a weak side they lost to Jamaica and Mexico recently without scoring a goal. The Americans will want to take care of business before facing Uruguay in the final game and I think they will do just that.
15. USA win to Nil @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Bet365
Lean
Pulisic Anytime Goal scorer 2.62/+162
URUGUAY V BOLIVIA
The last meeting during the world cup qualifiers Uruguay came out on top 3-0. There is no value in the win to nil market or the Asian handicapp or even a goal scorer prop. There is little chance that Bolivia can get anything out of this game. They will park the bus and try to scrape out un unlikely draw.
16. Correct Score 2-0 @ 5.00/+400 (1/2 unit)
17. Correct Score 3-0 @ 6.00/+500 (1/2 unit)
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