got all these in last nite. will put up a wknd thread later.
CL Sandwiches: warming up, last round 6-19 but came away with a tidy profit as Gencerbiriligi, Dijon, and Crystal Palace covered big spreads.
Friday:
Tula (Russia) +460 to win, +265 draw
Rio Ave +600 to win, +320 draw (dangerous spot for Sporting)
Azerbajan:
Sabail +1.5 @+112, over 3 @+102 - not a sandwich because Qarabag is at home. but Ive heard over HALF their team is to be rested for tuesday roadie @Atl. Madrid. dont know how valid that is but it DOES make sense. either way, at these prices. worth a shot.
Holland FUN parlay: as always
over 1.5 @+313
do not underestimate the importance of next weeks CL matches, this is the one weekend in the season where I can sit here and say 'some pretty crazy results should happen out there'. I cannot guarantee anything (nor do i care to), but historically, this is the craziest of all the rounds. on the flip side of that coin, huge home favs will simply want to conserve energy, lot of dogs just might stay within the HC.
Im even considering FADING some of the HOME teams this weekend, though havent yet pulled the trigger, these matches have popped up on the radar:
- Liver/Huddersfield
- Napoli/Bologna
- Sevilla/Leganes
- Shakhtar/Kamianske
we will see.
GL to all
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
got all these in last nite. will put up a wknd thread later.
CL Sandwiches: warming up, last round 6-19 but came away with a tidy profit as Gencerbiriligi, Dijon, and Crystal Palace covered big spreads.
Friday:
Tula (Russia) +460 to win, +265 draw
Rio Ave +600 to win, +320 draw (dangerous spot for Sporting)
Azerbajan:
Sabail +1.5 @+112, over 3 @+102 - not a sandwich because Qarabag is at home. but Ive heard over HALF their team is to be rested for tuesday roadie @Atl. Madrid. dont know how valid that is but it DOES make sense. either way, at these prices. worth a shot.
Holland FUN parlay: as always
over 1.5 @+313
do not underestimate the importance of next weeks CL matches, this is the one weekend in the season where I can sit here and say 'some pretty crazy results should happen out there'. I cannot guarantee anything (nor do i care to), but historically, this is the craziest of all the rounds. on the flip side of that coin, huge home favs will simply want to conserve energy, lot of dogs just might stay within the HC.
Im even considering FADING some of the HOME teams this weekend, though havent yet pulled the trigger, these matches have popped up on the radar:
Czech: my first ever play in this league. washhead put this one my radar and its a decent play:
Plzen -1 @+120 - theyre 11-0-0 with a 24/3 goal difference ; have conceded just ONE goal on road where theyve played 3 teams currently residing in top half of table. though on the road going up against a 13th place team whom hasnt scored in 3 matches and have already lost to 4 of the top 5 teams in the league by 2+ goals. H2H they won both matches last year. at its worst, this should be a push.
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'dog
adding:
Czech: my first ever play in this league. washhead put this one my radar and its a decent play:
Plzen -1 @+120 - theyre 11-0-0 with a 24/3 goal difference ; have conceded just ONE goal on road where theyve played 3 teams currently residing in top half of table. though on the road going up against a 13th place team whom hasnt scored in 3 matches and have already lost to 4 of the top 5 teams in the league by 2+ goals. H2H they won both matches last year. at its worst, this should be a push.
Emduece tks. appreciate it. especially coming from you whom knows that Russian Prem 10x more than I. im just following a system, doesnt make me an expert or anything.
nice start for the CL fades Sabail & Tula.
adding:
Nice +2 @ +138 - have won twice already fading PSG in this spot (vs Montpellier 0-0, & Dijon 1-2) but both times were the traditional sandwich spots (on road). here they are at home, and the way they manhandled Anderlecht on the road 2 weeks ago, Im not sure theyre gonna get much resistance in the return leg @home on Tuesday. yet still, with Neymar banned its probably a blessing in disguise for them. as they have a chance to punch their ticket to the next round. (it is MAJOR motivation for these big clubs to clinch early and give their players rest down the road) kinda hard to back Nice whom have scored just ONCE in 4 roadies but the rumors of Balotelli possibly being called up for Italy are accurate, nothing has been confirmed yet; and because of this, we should see an inspired effort on his part. last year Nice won + draw in the H2H's and in BOTH matches they had 2 goal leads. a part of me thinks this is risky, but then again back to my "broken record" 2 goals is TOO MUCH to give for a CL participant in this spot. and getting "+" money??? I'll always jump on it.
GL to all
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Shen
Emduece tks. appreciate it. especially coming from you whom knows that Russian Prem 10x more than I. im just following a system, doesnt make me an expert or anything.
nice start for the CL fades Sabail & Tula.
adding:
Nice +2 @ +138 - have won twice already fading PSG in this spot (vs Montpellier 0-0, & Dijon 1-2) but both times were the traditional sandwich spots (on road). here they are at home, and the way they manhandled Anderlecht on the road 2 weeks ago, Im not sure theyre gonna get much resistance in the return leg @home on Tuesday. yet still, with Neymar banned its probably a blessing in disguise for them. as they have a chance to punch their ticket to the next round. (it is MAJOR motivation for these big clubs to clinch early and give their players rest down the road) kinda hard to back Nice whom have scored just ONCE in 4 roadies but the rumors of Balotelli possibly being called up for Italy are accurate, nothing has been confirmed yet; and because of this, we should see an inspired effort on his part. last year Nice won + draw in the H2H's and in BOTH matches they had 2 goal leads. a part of me thinks this is risky, but then again back to my "broken record" 2 goals is TOO MUCH to give for a CL participant in this spot. and getting "+" money??? I'll always jump on it.
Whiskey didnt catch that match. things even out eventually. the definition of "unlucky" is when ya got an 'Under' and it's 1-0 in the 92nd minute yet ya still lose. thats Top 5 material for me this year
Nice aint nice, thats fer sure. looks like PSG just toyed around with them. still a good day and hit my first Czech play of the year
on to tmrw.
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Whiskey didnt catch that match. things even out eventually. the definition of "unlucky" is when ya got an 'Under' and it's 1-0 in the 92nd minute yet ya still lose. thats Top 5 material for me this year
Nice aint nice, thats fer sure. looks like PSG just toyed around with them. still a good day and hit my first Czech play of the year
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