Musings, Thoughts, and Plays 24/25

Fiorentina/Atalanta - Bergamo Boys have had two weeks to stew on that loss to Inter that puts them 6 points off the top while extending their losing streak to 8 against the Nerazzurri including being outscored 12-0 in their last four. After getting whooped at San Siro at the beginning of the season 4-0, Atalanta came out scorching in its’ next game against this same Fiorentina side, taking a 3-2 lead into halftime. Interestingly enough, the last two games between these two sides featured five 1H goals in both games. Two potent offenses one of whom just got shut out at home bodes well for at least a 1H goal, which I have a feeling will come early.

Plays: 1H over 1(-122)/over 0.75 (live)

PSV/Ajax - Would have to go back to 2019 to find the last time these two rivals didn’t see a breakthrough at halftime. Hosts have a huge opportunity here to close the gap at the top with a 6-pointer if they can find a way to win. Love taking games involving the top sides in domestic leagues for goals, especially when live odds make it worth the bite.

Plays: 1H over 1 (-122)

 Really lucky on that last gasp goal by Kean 

Got so wrapped up in that Fiorentina/Atalanta game that we missed Aston Villa smh

Hajduk Split/Sibenik - Had this game circled for two weeks. After getting their asses kicked by Rijeka, Gattuso got into a pretty contentious but fun-to-watch back-and-forth with TV pundit Josko Jelicic in the on-field postgame interview. Great to see Gattuso's infamous temperament underlying his undying competitive passion still in full bloom after all these years lol. Rijeka had an unexpected slipup yesterday, leaving the door open for Hajduk to erase their last performance and take a slim lead at the top. Fully expecting the hosts to take care against relegation-bound Sibenik in the 1H.

Plays: 1H over 1 (live)/over 0.75 (live if the opportunity even presents itself)

Palmeiras/Botafogo - These two have had some significant clashes the past couple seasons both domestically and continentally with Botafogo finally getting through last season after faltering infamously a couple seasons ago. The visitors have made some significant changes to their lineup since capturing the double last season but still have some offensive firepower in Igor Jesus. Palmeiras is coming off that disappointing loss to Corinthians and has had some issues in front of goal recently but still have Vitor Roque who came back to South America after a listless spell in Europe. Was expecting a cagey and slow 1H but think we saw a goal minimum in the 2H, especially after the host’s goalless draw last game.

Plays: Over 1 (-130)