Musings, Thoughts, and Plays 24/25

@Cmlee123

 BANG BANG back to back goals in the games we needed! lol taking the books one play at a time 

@Cmlee123

 KAZZZZ 1H ML guarantee + full over on the 0.75 

North Macedonia/Wales - Gave my thoughts on this match pregame and now there's a perfect opportunity to capitalize here for relatively cheap. I still stick to my gut that btts: North Macedonia hasn't been involved in one since September 2024, when they last conceded on the road against Faroe Islands. This has been a stingy defense recently but prior to this streak they conceded at home against England, Italy, Ukraine, and Malta during European qualifications. Playing with house money here from the morning wins.

Plays: Over 1 (-115), btts (+350)

@I3C1H

 Only a half win for me on the live Norway. Still a win, nonetheless. I had a nice hit this am as well, Qatar btts live. I hope we have some big 2nd halves.

@Cmlee123

 Yes sirrr 

 Never lost faith! Huge hit on both 2H bets in injury time for a sweep on all plays and a huge payout!!

@I3C1H

 Great work brother.

Nice day today 

@Cmlee123 @EzzClap

 Thank you fellas

Gil Vicente/Benfica - The talent gap between the top three (maybe four if you want to include Braga) and the rest of the teams in the Portuguese league is arguably one of the widest in the world. So anytime I can grab a 1H total over 1 close to even money is worth the risk considering Sporting/Benfica/Porto (ok maybe Porto's recent anemic offense argues against that) will usually find the net at least once in the 1H. The hosts haven't been involved in many high scoring games recently (7 out of last 8 went under 2.5), including holding the league leaders to just a 2H goal in the Taca de Portugal, but I'm willing to bet we see a 1H goal minimum here. Yea, Benfica is sending out the second stringers, but Belotti used to lead the line once for Fiorentina and was pegged to be Italy's next great forward while I've always loved Bruma during his time at Braga. Odds are probably better now than when I grabbed it.

Plays: 1H over 1 (-115)/0.75 (-122)

@I3C1H

 Haven't been tuning in here brother with baseball starting and all. Good look. I happen to need another Benfica goal for cash. Paired Benfica tt with Bayer btts yes, that hit 25' in. I suppose I should start looking at tomorrow. Probably no MX for me tonight since Cambindo is injured(horrible injury too).

Good luck today man.

@I3C1H

 Do you play League 1 at all? Looks like alot of low hanging fruit there tomorrow.

@Cmlee123

  Thanks as always bro. Yea, I'm having the same issue, too, with all these other sports going on Actually feel relieved in some ways since I can miss something in soccer and still have many options in the afternoon. Nice hit on Benfica! Was thinking of taking Lyon to score live and just got busy LOL. And English League 1? Only when I don't have many other leagues to play lol. Thinking of MX tonight still lmk if you jump on anything! Good luck as always brother 

@I3C1H

 Sorry I saw this late, I sprinkled Badaloni ATGS, small wager.

Real Sociedad/Real Valladolid - Not a fan of taking overs, let alone 1H over,  on the Basque Country side but it seemed like the offense finally started showing signs of life consistently. Having Kubo in the side is a game changer for this side. Saw that Valladolid hasn’t conceded against the hosts in three straight. Those types of streaks bode well to end especially when you’re bottom of league and fighting relegation. If RS don’t find the net in the 1H, taking them to score 2H wouldn’t be a bad idea.

Plays: 1H over 0.75 (-112)

Easyyyy less than 10 minutes after posting. Now we cruise until halftime. Either way half the bag secured 

@I3C1H

  I'm on Sociedad win to nil. I saw 2-0. Hope you get it

Como/Empoli - Love the way Cesc Fabregas has his side playing in their first season on returning to the top flight after 2+ decades. Out of the three newcomers this season, Como was arguably the most aggressive and shrewdest with the moves they made in the offseason, picking up veterans like Alberto Moreno and Pepe Reina for free while rolling the dice on Andrea Belloti and Nico Paz (this kid’s stock will rise astronomically just wait) for cheap. Even if all the moves haven’t worked out so far, you can tell the club’s hierarchy has a clear vision they are working towards, and the way they’ve gone about it has been admirable. Heck they’ve given Dele Alli a shot in a low risk, high reward situation. Anyways, Como has scored in all but one home match this season with 22 out of their 35 goals coming by the lake. They’ve faced Empoli three times in their history, never having scored a goal against them and with none of the games going over 2.5. Empoli’s probably my least favorite team other than Venezia to bet on for overs, but again, all streaks come to an end and I can’t see Como not netting 1+ here. No official play yet but thinking Como TT over 1.5 with btts. It’s been a great week so no need to push the action. Mitigating the risk by taking 1H over 0.75 live and then seeing how the game plays out from there will be my preferred approach.

@Im_Chasing

 Yes sirr I’m glad to be on your side and gladly will take any profit lol wishing you great luck today with your plays! I’m following 

Como/Empolo - Locking it in

Plays: 1H over 0.75 (-122)

Shoulda had 1 by Como in the 1H but it is what it is. Sticking with my gut here.

Plays: Total over 1 (-146), Como TT over 0.5 (-136)

Gut play  Easy cruising waiting for that second goal 

Juventus/Genoa - A lot I like here. Juventus having been outscored 7-0 in their last two games to European spot rivals spurring the removal of Thiago Motta, who was one of the hottest coaches on that market along with Xabi during the summer, over international break. Word on the street was that Motta had lost the locker room with his tactics but sad to see him go as I thought he was a brilliant coach who had introduced some refreshing ideas during last season’s unexpected rise with Bologna. Not enamored with Igor Tudor’s hiring but I guess it could be temporary. Interesting to see that one of his first moves was to elevate Vlahovic to the starting eleven while dropping Kolo Muani who I thought was one of the brighter spots for the team before cooling off recently. Expecting Juventus to find a way to break down Genoa in the 1H in light of these circumstances.

Plays: 1H over 1 (+108)/over 0.75 (-110)

@I3C1H

 Juventus 

@EzzClap

 Rack it up!