Italy at 24/1 seems like great odds for a team that went to the euro final and lost due to injuries / fatigue.
However that being said ... No euro team has ever won in south America ... Yet
Exactly right. No European team has every won a cup on South American soil and I can't see that changing here. You saw what Brazil did to Spain in the Confed. Cup final. That was a public execution.
Belgium has massive talent, as does Italy, but when it comes down to it I can only see Brazil or Argentina winning it all. For me, Argentina doesn't have a solid enough back line to hold up for the entire cup.
Obviously, a lot will have to do with health between now and June, but Neymar is back playing again, and I think Brazil proved over the summer that they can beat anybody. If Falcal is healthy enough to return for the cup watch out for Colombia. Also keep an eye on Chile. Not saying they're going to do major damage, but they're both good enough to upset some of the big boys in Europe.
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Quote Originally Posted by greatone55:
Italy at 24/1 seems like great odds for a team that went to the euro final and lost due to injuries / fatigue.
However that being said ... No euro team has ever won in south America ... Yet
Exactly right. No European team has every won a cup on South American soil and I can't see that changing here. You saw what Brazil did to Spain in the Confed. Cup final. That was a public execution.
Belgium has massive talent, as does Italy, but when it comes down to it I can only see Brazil or Argentina winning it all. For me, Argentina doesn't have a solid enough back line to hold up for the entire cup.
Obviously, a lot will have to do with health between now and June, but Neymar is back playing again, and I think Brazil proved over the summer that they can beat anybody. If Falcal is healthy enough to return for the cup watch out for Colombia. Also keep an eye on Chile. Not saying they're going to do major damage, but they're both good enough to upset some of the big boys in Europe.
Belgium won't be much of a sleeper if everyone thinks they are...
Since most bettors are American/Euro, I feel the South American teams will pay nicely. Other than Argentina/Brazil, the other 4 Conmebol teams will do quite well at "home". Colombia especially is pretty stacked and Chile will get at least 1 point from their 2 hard games.
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Belgium won't be much of a sleeper if everyone thinks they are...
Since most bettors are American/Euro, I feel the South American teams will pay nicely. Other than Argentina/Brazil, the other 4 Conmebol teams will do quite well at "home". Colombia especially is pretty stacked and Chile will get at least 1 point from their 2 hard games.
Uruguay is a good sleeper and pays well. They will be in their neighbors backyard for this tournament where they have already won a world cup. It should feel like home games for them with many supporters making the trip across the border. With their tenacity and striking options of Cavani and Suarez I can see them making some noise. Don't forget they went to the Semi Finals in the last World Cup.
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Uruguay is a good sleeper and pays well. They will be in their neighbors backyard for this tournament where they have already won a world cup. It should feel like home games for them with many supporters making the trip across the border. With their tenacity and striking options of Cavani and Suarez I can see them making some noise. Don't forget they went to the Semi Finals in the last World Cup.
Blindly backing Draws (except in strong mistmatches), tends to be a good strategy.
With the World Cup you are going to get an influx of recreational bettors, so that should give slight value on the price of draws vs their actual probability of hitting. Most people want to pick a winner or loser.
Keep in mind last two world Cup finals have ended in draws
Also the weather is going to be brutal, sport picking short priced unders (but wait until more public gets involved) is another good strategy in high profile tournaments
Have already noticed a 1.81 to 1.64 pinny line move on the Spain Holland under 2.5 market
feel free to ask me about other line moves
cheers
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Blindly backing Draws (except in strong mistmatches), tends to be a good strategy.
With the World Cup you are going to get an influx of recreational bettors, so that should give slight value on the price of draws vs their actual probability of hitting. Most people want to pick a winner or loser.
Keep in mind last two world Cup finals have ended in draws
Also the weather is going to be brutal, sport picking short priced unders (but wait until more public gets involved) is another good strategy in high profile tournaments
Have already noticed a 1.81 to 1.64 pinny line move on the Spain Holland under 2.5 market
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