All Forums | Soccer

*~~~Zamigo World Cup~~~*

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 18575
Posts: 205
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 13130
Posted: #1

World Cup

0-0-0 (+/- 0.00 Units)



Futures:


To Qualify- Group A: Brazil/Croatia @ +125 (1.00 to win 1.25)

To Qualify- Group B: Spain/Chile @ +175 (1.00 to win 1.75)

To Qualify- Group F: Argentina/Bosnia @ -110 (1.10 to win 1.00)

To Qualify- Group H: Belgium/Russia @ +100 (1.00 to win 1.00)


To Qualify- Group C: Japan @ +110 (1.00 to win 1.10)


*Top Rest of the World Team: Japan @ +125 (1.00 to win 1.25)


To Reach Quarter-Final: France +100 (1.00 to win 1.00)

To Reach Quarter-Final: Uruguay +140  (1.00 to win 1.40)


Golden Boot Winner: Edin Dzeko @ +5,000 (0.25 to win 12.50)

Golden Boot Winner: Karim Benzema @ +3,000 (0.25 to win 7.50)

Golden Boot Winner: Edinson Cavani @ +6,500 (0.25 to win 16.25)

Golden Boot Winner: Thomas Muller @ +3,650 (0.25 to win 9.13)




*Rest of the World includes Japan, South Korea, Australia, and Iran---> Dead heat rules apply


I am happy to discuss anything and everything in regards to this tournament, all comments, questions, concerns are welcomed.

Vamos Colombia
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 13130
Posted: #2

Group C


Colombia is my team, and I will be rooting for them all tournament. HOWEVER, I have to say I think we are getting really terrible prices to back them in this group stage. I think they could easily struggle in this group, granted I wouldn’t be shocked if they performed well and won the group. While this may be regarded as one of the weaker groups, I actually think it is more difficult than it appears at first glance, because there aren’t any stand out weak teams, which means everyone will have 3 tough matches that could ultimately go either way. Japan have excellent talent and play a really nice game to watch. They attack very well.  I think they have the most value of all the teams in this group.

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2013
Posts: 18738
Posted: #3
Zamigo!  Have a good tourney! I have some stake in Columbia to reach the quarters.  I hope I have not underestimated Japan, seeing a lot of love for them around these parts, I just don't see how their defense is going to hold up.
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 13130
Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by PeterBlack:

Zamigo!  Have a good tourney! I have some stake in Columbia to reach the quarters.  I hope I have not underestimated Japan, seeing a lot of love for them around these parts, I just don't see how their defense is going to hold up.

agreed Peter about Japan's defense that is the question mark for me
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2013
Posts: 3585
Posted: #5
I love the first 4 picks, see all those cashing. 
Not entirely sure about Japan but could see that coming as well. 
BoL 
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 14992
Posted: #6
Zamigo - hope you are well!

I love Colombian fuotie - big fan of At Nacional.

Question re today's friendly with Jordan . . . seems to me that today would be a good day for the Colombian offense to play very aggressively to see just where that unit stands in light of the loss of Falcao . . . I would expect the team to use today as a litmus test re the strength and capabilities of its offensive unit . . . Jordan seems like a good guinea pig.  Thoughts?
Disbarred
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 41051
Posted: #7
GL Zamigo, My wife is half Colombian so I'll be rooting for them by default
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 13130
Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by KaiserWilhelm:

I love the first 4 picks, see all those cashing. 
Not entirely sure about Japan but could see that coming as well. 
BoL 

Glad to hear that Kaiser

let's make some 
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 13130
Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by Disbarred:

Zamigo - hope you are well!

I love Colombian fuotie - big fan of At Nacional.

Question re today's friendly with Jordan . . . seems to me that today would be a good day for the Colombian offense to play very aggressively to see just where that unit stands in light of the loss of Falcao . . . I would expect the team to use today as a litmus test re the strength and capabilities of its offensive unit . . . Jordan seems like a good guinea pig.  Thoughts?

Of course disbarred my Nacional hermano...no opinion on today's friendly but I will be watching. I imagine this being their last friendly they will look to give a strong effort for at least 60 minutes but it's so hard to tell. One of the reasons I like Colombian futbol to begin with is the wildness there is to it, definitely less consistency but there is also a magic in that. That's why I love rooting for this team to you never really know what you'll get, they could be done in group stage or get flukey hot with miracle goals and end up in the semi-final. Going to be fun
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 13130
Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack:

GL Zamigo, My wife is half Colombian so I'll be rooting for them by default


My partner is full Colombiana...after years of enduring the extended family talking about me in Spanish I learned to speak it myself, and then went to live there for 2 months last year. Fell in love with the people, the cuisine, the futbol, and of course, the women. They have a wild, yet lovable style of play when things are clicking. Hopefully they can keep the opposition from scoring. If they can they might be in for a good run
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 13130
Posted: #11
Ribery is the first rain on my world cup parade

The way I saw it was that if France could win the group (as at the time I was confident they would) you would get them +100 to advance vs. Bosnia. A really likeable price for that situation. Now I am obviously less confident in the wager but what's done is done.

On the flipside, I really like this Bosnia team, and think that the value for them to reach the quarter-final has increased significantly with this injury. Thinking about making a play on it...


perhaps:

To Reach Quarter-Final: Bosnia @ +330




 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 13130
Posted: #12
Looking at the group with most goals prop I think there is tremendous value in Group C @ +1225, the overall longshot. While Greece well known for playing the 0-0 game I think that you will see goals in their games this time out for a couple of reasons. Number 1 they are playing against 3 teams that play wide open games, that both like score and concede. Number 2, they are not as defensively solid as they once were, and will end up chasing the game down a goal if they try to play the way they had in the past. Greece's defensive stance does really well against other European sides, but I think against South American teams in particular it will struggle, and Greece are the only European side in this group. The other 3 matchups between Colombia, Japan, and Ivory Coast could all be shoot out type games with BTTS. Although there is unlikely to be any blowout games we could see a few 2-1, 3-1 type games in this group which in my opinion gives it a much better chance of winning then the line reflects. Strictly a value play here, still sitting on it....

perhaps:

Group W/ Most Goals: Group C @ +1225
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 13130
Posted: #13

World Cup: 0-0-0 (+/- 0.00 Units)

June: 12-9-0 (+2.60)

May: 41-29-1 (+10.97)



Brazil/Croatia---> UNDER 2.5 @ -115 (1.15 to win 1.00)



*Croatia does not need to beat brazil to go through

*Croatia does not need to tie brazil to go through

*Goal differential is CRUCIAL for Croatia


Goal differentiall is very important to this Croatia team and if they can devise a plan to lose 1-0 or 2-0 they will...1-0 is a very good result...2-0 is not great but survivable...0-0 would be excellent...Mandzukic is suspended and that limits them on offense even more so they will likely play even more defensively understanding that it will be difficult to score without their star striker and attacking will open things up for Brazil….


*Goal differential FAR LESS crucial for Brazil

*3 Points is the most important thing for them


For Brazil, say what you want but tie breaker really should not matter, and they will be primarily concerning themselves with WINNING. Even if somehow it does come down to tiebreaker they will get their chances to work the goal differential in their 3rd group stage game against Cameroon (a team who will be more likely to be playing wide open and needing 3 points by then). They will get AT LEAST 7 points and they will take 1st place. The mindset they will bring into this game is PATIENCE. When you are the team to beat you know teams will make a game plan like this and try to frustrate you but the key is to stay patient and find the goal without conceding anything on the counter attack.


The reason it is such a strong wager is because of Croatia's mindset. Even if they allow a first half goal they won't go crazy trying to get back in the game because truthfully 1-0 is a solid result. Brazil certainly won't expose themselves because if they get 3 points against the 2nd choice team in the group they have done their job.


The most probable outcomes that I can see are 1-0, 2-0….GL anyway you play it...


 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2005
Posts: 26975
Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by zamigo6:

Group C


Colombia is my team, and I will be rooting for them all tournament. HOWEVER, I have to say I think we are getting really terrible prices to back them in this group stage. I think they could easily struggle in this group, granted I wouldn’t be shocked if they performed well and won the group. While this may be regarded as one of the weaker groups, I actually think it is more difficult than it appears at first glance, because there aren’t any stand out weak teams, which means everyone will have 3 tough matches that could ultimately go either way. Japan have excellent talent and play a really nice game to watch. They attack very well.  I think they have the most value of all the teams in this group.


They will get through. I see them winning the group.
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 13130
Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by lbcake:


They will get through. I see them winning the group.

I sure hope so
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 2304
Posted: #16
Good writeup on the Under bud and great points.

 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 13130
Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by nepatriots_12:

Good writeup on the Under bud and great points.


 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 13130
Posted: #18

for Friday:

Chile -1 @ -115 (1.15 to win 1.00)

 

                 

 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 13130
Posted: #19
for Friday also looking into:

Spain/Netherlands---> UNDER 2 @ -103



I'm feeling less confident about Japan having success in group C (and a bit higher on Ivory Coast)...I will likely be looking to hedge out on them slightly throughout the group stage.

I'm feeling most confident in Bosnia and might look to tack a little more on them before opening kickoff...maybe even take a shot at them drawing Argentina

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 2075
Posted: #20
GL
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 2075
Posted: #21
GL
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 13130
Posted: #22
Japan/Ivory Coast---> OVER 2.5 @ +145 (1.00 to win 1.45)

 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 13130
Posted: #23
Russia ML @ +130 (1.00 to win 1.30)

        
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2013
Posts: 18738
Posted: #24

Good stuff Zamigo  I like that IC/JPN over, I put 2 units on the over 2 at 1.88, feeling kind of like a whimp for not pulling the 2.5 trigger.

 

 
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 13130
Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by PeterBlack:

Good stuff Zamigo  I like that IC/JPN over, I put 2 units on the over 2 at 1.88, feeling kind of like a whimp for not pulling the 2.5 trigger.

 


I usually play everything the whimpiest way possible but want to take a stab at that one
All Forums | Soccer
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.