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2011 NCAAF Strategy

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Posted: #176
Absolutely excellent work thus far...but you were spot on in a much earlier post - the true test of this system is coming shortly
 
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Posted: #177
Quote Originally Posted by GreenMachine22:

Hawaii down to 5 at many books now...


I really don't pay any attention to the line movements. I do however look for a break mark where you can make money. The problem with football is the sharps are very good at setting the lines. Much more with NFL than NCAAF. It's difficult to cover all 90 something games and keep up on injuries, changes and performance. I don't care how good your software is, someone still has to update the information.

I digress, Hawaii is not my top pick even though it's at the top of the list. I listed it first, because it was a Friday game. Utah St. is the top pick. I should have pointed that out.

Still think Hawaii is a good pick though.
 
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Posted: #178
Quote Originally Posted by GreenMachine22:

Absolutely excellent work thus far...but you were spot on in a much earlier post - the true test of this system is coming shortly


It is very tough as the season goes. I am actually shocked I had so many picks this week. I chopped that list and would have liked to prune it to 3, but there were so many good options.
 
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Posted: #179

Hey Irage...

Remember a couple years ago, when Thursday night games were 11-1 OVER the total.

Notice the trend on Thursday nights this year,  When the Favorite wins the total has gone under  5-0    When the Dog has won the total has gone over 4-0

Didnt know if you watch trends like that but thought I would share.

 
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Posted: #180

Hey Irage...

Remember a couple years ago, when Thursday night games were 11-1 OVER the total.

Notice the trend on Thursday nights this year,  When the Favorite wins the total has gone under  5-0    When the Dog has won the total has gone over 4-0

Didnt know if you watch trends like that but thought I would share.

 
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Posted: #181
Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:

Hey Irage...

Remember a couple years ago, when Thursday night games were 11-1 OVER the total.

Notice the trend on Thursday nights this year,  When the Favorite wins the total has gone under  5-0    When the Dog has won the total has gone over 4-0

Didnt know if you watch trends like that but thought I would share.



I didn't notice that, great read. We need to take advantage of that.
I know last night CAL was an under.
 
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Posted: #182
I believe Hawaii is done for tonight. Moving on to tomorrow.
 
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Posted: #183
My bookie didn't send me any lines yesterday so I wasn't able to place anything on any team.  Was actually thinking of laying big on Utah state but instead I laid big on Arizona state OVER. What are my chances irage? I really don't know anything about NCAAF I just saw many people are on the over.
 
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Posted: #184
Arizona St @ Oregon OVER 66.5
Hope you have a winning week irage by hitting Arizona St.
Iowa and Stanford


 
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Posted: #185
Another winnings weekend Irage.  Great Job
 
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Posted: #186
 
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Posted: #187
Damn, that's it with Utah St. They had the game and yet again fell apart in the 4th QTR. Then there is Nevada, I had a strong lean on Nevada and I chickened out. 30 points is a lot to cover for any team, unless your playing the worst team. The numbers were there, but logic got in the way. All in all still another good weekend. Stanford is money, they have blasted their spread every week. Of course it doesn't hurt when you have the best QB in conference.

26 -9 - 0

Sept 03 - AUBURN -24 (H39) LOSS
Sept 03 - STANFORD -30  (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - OHIO ST -34 (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - VIRGINIA TECH -26 (H53) WIN
Sept 03 - MISSISSIPPI ST -30 (V40) WIN
Sept 09 - MISSOURI +10 (V03) WIN
Sept 09 - STANFORD (V39) WIN
Sept 09 - USC -8.5 (H00) WIN
Sept 09 - N. ILLINOIS -4 (V16) LOSS
Sept 09 - ARKANSAS -35.5 (V41) WIN
Sept 16 - BOISE ST. -19 V29 WIN
Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) LOSS
Sept 17 - TEMPLE +7.5 (H-06) WIN
Sept 17 - STANFORD -10 (V24) WIN
Sept 23 - BYU -2.5 - WIN
Sept 24 - Missouri +22 - WIN
Sept 24 - Boise St OVER 61 - WIN
Sept 24 - Wisconsin -35 (H62) - WIN
Sept 24 - TCU -38 (H55) - WIN
Sept 30 - BYU -7.5 - LOSS
Oct 01 - Wisconsin -9 - WIN
Oct 01 - Stanford -20 (H35) - WIN
Oct 01 - TCU -11.5 - LOSS
Oct 01 - Arizona +12.5 - WIN
Oct 07 - Boise St -21 - WIN
Oct 08 - Ohio St. +12 - WIN
Oct 08 - Stanford -29.5 (H33) - WIN
Oct 08 - Alabama -29 (H35) - WIN
Oct 08 - Connecticut +19 - LOSS
Oct 08 - SJST +12 - LOSS
Oct 14 - Hawaii -6 - LOSS
Oct 15 - Utah St -3 - LOSS
Oct 15 - Stanford -21 (V33) - WIN
Oct 15 - Iowa -6.5 - WIN
Oct 15 - UTEP +1.5 - WIN

UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
Sept 15 - Mississippi St. +3 LOSS
Sept 17 - Utah +4.5 WIN
Sept 24 - Utah St. -10.5 LOSS
Oct 15 - Arizona St. +14.5 - WIN
 
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Posted: #188
Irage, excellent stuff here bro, you should be trying the NFL too ? 

any interest / developments there buddy?
 
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Posted: #189
Quote Originally Posted by buntyketti:

Irage, excellent stuff here bro, you should be trying the NFL too ? 

any interest / developments there buddy?


I've learned one thing about betting. Stick to what your good at.

NCAAF = good
BaseBall = Pretty good
NHL = so so
NFL = shitty

No joke, if there were 4 games I liked, I'd get 3 wrong. For example today I selected .......

New England -6
Green Bay -14
Atlanta -3.5
Oakland -6.5

Green Bay will probably be my only winner today.
 
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Posted: #190
Quote Originally Posted by irage:



I've learned one thing about betting. Stick to what your good at.

NCAAF = good
BaseBall = Pretty good
NHL = so so
NFL = shitty

No joke, if there were 4 games I liked, I'd get 3 wrong. For example today I selected .......

New England -6
Green Bay -14
Atlanta -3.5
Oakland -6.5

Green Bay will probably be my only winner today.


GB and Atl won. Oak will probably get the cover. On the other side with NE. You bet on NHL too? Do you have any system there also?
 
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Posted: #191
Quote Originally Posted by BookieCrusher88:



GB and Atl won. Oak will probably get the cover. On the other side with NE. You bet on NHL too? Do you have any system there also?


That was a bad example, I only got 3 of 4 because there was no money on it.

I occasionally play hockey, but if I win it's dumb luck if I win.
 
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Posted: #192
 
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Posted: #193
OK, really tough week, but I've got a few that I like. Arizona should have no problem covering UCLA. So many holes in the UCLA defense. Nevada again a really strong pick this week.

Arizona -4.5 - Official Pick
Boise St -31 - Pending
Nevada -10.5 - Official Pick
UTEP -7 - Pending
Wisconsin -7 - Pending
 
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Posted: #194
Been waiting for ncaaf since sunday lol hoping we have another good week irage
 
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Posted: #195
 
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Posted: #196
Quote Originally Posted by BookieCrusher88:

Been waiting for ncaaf since sunday lol hoping we have another good week irage


I hope you have been waiting and not blowing your wad on baseball.
Arizona is looking good tonight.
 
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Posted: #197
I wonder if Boise State can continue to crush opponents. Air Force has some speed and I've watched them run with TCU and Notre Dame. They were beaten, but they found a way to score. I am taking them off the list because I feel like AF can score, 31 is just a monster number to hit.

26 -9 - 0

Sept 03 - AUBURN -24 (H39) LOSS
Sept 03 - STANFORD -30  (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - OHIO ST -34 (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - VIRGINIA TECH -26 (H53) WIN
Sept 03 - MISSISSIPPI ST -30 (V40) WIN
Sept 09 - MISSOURI +10 (V03) WIN
Sept 09 - STANFORD (V39) WIN
Sept 09 - USC -8.5 (H00) WIN
Sept 09 - N. ILLINOIS -4 (V16) LOSS
Sept 09 - ARKANSAS -35.5 (V41) WIN
Sept 16 - BOISE ST. -19 V29 WIN
Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) LOSS
Sept 17 - TEMPLE +7.5 (H-06) WIN
Sept 17 - STANFORD -10 (V24) WIN
Sept 23 - BYU -2.5 - WIN
Sept 24 - Missouri +22 - WIN
Sept 24 - Boise St OVER 61 - WIN
Sept 24 - Wisconsin -35 (H62) - WIN
Sept 24 - TCU -38 (H55) - WIN
Sept 30 - BYU -7.5 - LOSS
Oct 01 - Wisconsin -9 - WIN
Oct 01 - Stanford -20 (H35) - WIN
Oct 01 - TCU -11.5 - LOSS
Oct 01 - Arizona +12.5 - WIN
Oct 07 - Boise St -21 - WIN
Oct 08 - Ohio St. +12 - WIN
Oct 08 - Stanford -29.5 (H33) - WIN
Oct 08 - Alabama -29 (H35) - WIN
Oct 08 - Connecticut +19 - LOSS
Oct 08 - San Jose St. +12 - LOSS
Oct 14 - Hawaii -6 - LOSS
Oct 15 - Utah St. -3 - LOSS
Oct 15 - Stanford -21 (V33) - WIN
Oct 15 - Iowa -6.5 - WIN
Oct 15 - UTEP +1.5 - WIN
Oct 20 - Arizonia -4.5 - PENDING
Oct 22 - Nevada -10.5 - PENDING
Oct 22 - UTEP -7 - PENDING
Oct 22 - Wisconsin -7 - PENDING

UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
Sept 15 - Mississippi St. +3 LOSS
Sept 17 - Utah +4.5 WIN
Sept 24 - Utah St. -10.5 LOSS
Oct 15 - Arizona St. +14.5 - WIN
 
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Posted: #198
Quote Originally Posted by irage:



I hope you have been waiting and not blowing your wad on baseball.
Arizona is looking good tonight.


I stopped betting MLB around early September and looking forward to next year already. It's getting harder and harder cashing in. I'm actually betting on NFL and local hoops here in my country and was thinking of tailing someone at NHL.
 
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Posted: #199
I do have a feeling Texas Rangers win the World Series. That's the trend I see.
 
 
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Posted: #200
Quote Originally Posted by BookieCrusher88:

I do have a feeling Texas Rangers win the World Series. That's the trend I see.


I want to build a 40k bankroll for next baseball season. I am going to play the system and lay my bets online, vegas and wendover. I want to make a 100K by the end of next summer.

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