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2012 Opening Game Favorite

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Posted: #76
So if it's a 4-game series you go with another A game on game 2 if even if the home fav wins the first game?
 
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Posted: #77
sorry guys, WAS is not a play for the reason you mentioned.  Only start series during game 1's
 
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Posted: #78

Plays for 4/11

SEASON RECORD: 8-0                                +6.4U
AL: 4-0 (G1:4, G2: 0, G3:0)
NL: 4-0 (G1:2, G2: 2, G3:0)
O/U Filter: 3-0 (G1:2, G2: 1, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin
Ser #9 (G1)  3:00  chc @ STL -190     7          1.27

Ser #10 (G1)  4:00  pit @ SF -170       7          1.27

Ser #11 (G1) 7:00  nym @ PHI -180    6.5       1.27

Ser #12 (G1) 7:00  hou @ MIA -200  7.5          1.27

Ser #13 (G1) 7:00  bal @ TOR -180   8.5         1U

Ser #14 (G1) 10:00  oak @ SEA -165  6.5       1U     




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
15-15                                                        15-23
15-15                                                        15-22  
15-15                                                        15-22

O/U Filter Plays

22-63      

22-23       

22-23

Base 1U = 30
 
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Posted: #79
Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

sorry guys, WAS is not a play for the reason you mentioned.  Only start series during game 1's

 
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Posted: #80
Therizz, thanks for posting your plays.
Have you tracked the system results at -1 plays instead of ml? If so, Has it been profitable or do the home faves often win by 1 run resulting in too many pushes?
 
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Posted: #81

are we playing yankees?

 
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Posted: #82
Quote Originally Posted by gcee:

Therizz, thanks for posting your plays.
Have you tracked the system results at -1 plays instead of ml? If so, Has it been profitable or do the home faves often win by 1 run resulting in too many pushes?


I generally will play G1's on the -1 line if they open -190 or higher.....
 
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Posted: #83
Quote Originally Posted by alekomtz:

are we playing yankees?



The line did not open high enough, but obviously would have been a good one.  Not a system play though..

 
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Posted: #84

Plays for 4/13

SEASON RECORD: 10-0                                +2.6U
AL: 4-0 (G1:4, G2: 0, G3:0)
NL: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)
O/U Filter: 3-0 (G1:2, G2: 1, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin
Ser #9 (G1)  3:00  chc @ STL -190     7          1.27

Ser #10 (G1)  4:00  pit @ SF -170       7          1.27  

Ser #11 (G1) 7:00  nym @ PHI -180    6.5       1.27  

Ser #12 (G1) 7:00  hou @ MIA -200  7.5          1.27    

Ser #13 (G1) 7:00  bal @ TOR -180   8.5         1U    

Ser #14 (G1) 10:00  oak @ SEA -165  6.5       1U      pend




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
15-42     -54                                              x-68    +76, -136
15-42                                                        x-68 
15-15                                                        15-22

O/U Filter Plays

22-63      

22-23       

22-23

Base 1U = 30
 
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Posted: #85
Game 2's for NL tomorrow on PHI, STL to win 2.77U

Game 2's for AL on TOR for 1.9U if sea wins
If sea loses play on TOR, SEA to win 81 = 2.7U


 
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Posted: #86
Let's hope our b games hit tomorrow!
 
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Posted: #87
 
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Posted: #88
 
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Posted: #89
Yikes, two C games already.  If M's lose it will be a 3rd one.  Was there ever a day last year where there were 2 or more C games in one day?
 
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Posted: #90
thank you seattle!!!!
 
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Posted: #91
Does anyone feel like we should cut out losses on Phi instead of tripling up for a third bet? I mean, they have only scored two runs in the series and we'll be laying another -180 today. Already down 1.8 + 3.2 units. With the -180 juice today I'm going to have to lay 6.8 units just to break even. Getting cold feet counting on this offense.
 
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Posted: #92

I agree... but whats the point of following a proven system if you just stop half way through.

We were warned the beginning of season that dogs bite and their would be losses.     was up 1000 last week and am up 1000 this week so you should be up still even if they both lost today.     I just cant believe the METS are 6-2

 
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Posted: #93

Plays for 4/13

SEASON RECORD: 10-0                                +1.0U
AL: 4-0 (G1:4, G2: 0, G3:0)
NL: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)
O/U Filter: 3-0 (G1:2, G2: 1, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin
Ser #9 (G1)  3:00  chc @ STL -190     7          1.27

Ser #10 (G1)  4:00  pit @ SF -170       7          1.27  

Ser #11 (G1) 7:00  nym @ PHI -180    6.5       1.27  

Ser #12 (G1) 7:00  hou @ MIA -200  7.5          1.27    

Ser #13 (G1) 7:00  bal @ TOR -180   8.5         1U    

Ser #14 (G1) 10:00  oak @ SEA -165  6.5       1U     




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
15-66     -54, -48                                        x-68    +76, -136
15-66                                                        x-68 
15-15                                                        15-22

O/U Filter Plays

22-63      

22-23       

22-23

Base 1U = 30

 
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #94

Plays for 4/14

SEASON RECORD: 10-0                                +1.0U
AL: 4-0 (G1:4, G2: 0, G3:0)
NL: 6-0 (G1:4, G2: 2, G3:0)
O/U Filter: 3-0 (G1:2, G2: 1, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin
Ser #9 (G2)  1:00  chc @ STL -185              83/2.77U

Ser #11 (G2) 4:00  nym @ PHI -140             83/2.77U

Ser #13 (G2) 4:00  bal @ TOR -160             81/2.73U

Ser #14 (G2) 10:00  oak @ SEA -102          81/ 2.73U




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
15-66                                                        15-68   
15-66                                                        15-68 
15-15                                                        15-22

O/U Filter Plays

22-63      

22-23       

22-23

Base 1U = 30
 
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #95

Plays for 4/14

SEASON RECORD: 12-0                                -1.7U
AL: 5-0 (G1:4, G2: 1, G3:0)
NL: 7-0 (G1:4, G2: 3, G3:0)
O/U Filter: 3-0 (G1:2, G2: 1, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin
Ser #9 (G2)  1:00  chc @ STL -185              83/2.77U

Ser #11 (G2) 4:00  nym @ PHI -140             83/2.77U

Ser #13 (G2) 4:00  bal @ TOR -160             81/2.73U

Ser #14 (G2) 10:00  oak @ SEA -102          81/ 2.73U




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
15-66                                                        15-68   
x-65     +81, -130                                       x-58   +83, -116
15-80                                                        15-80

O/U Filter Plays

22-63      

22-23       

22-23

Base 1U = 30
 
Veteran
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #96

Plays for 4/15

SEASON RECORD: 12-0                                -1.7U
AL: 5-0 (G1:4, G2: 1, G3:0)
NL: 7-0 (G1:4, G2: 3, G3:0)
O/U Filter: 3-0 (G1:2, G2: 1, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line               o/u                towin

Ser #11 (G3) 1:00  nym @ PHI -140             95/3.17U

Ser #13 (G2) 4:00  bal @ TOR -160             95/3.17U




Labby Lines
AL:                                                        NL:
15-66                                                        15-68   
x-65     +81, -130                                       x-58   +83, -116
15-80                                                        15-80

O/U Filter Plays

22-63      

22-23       

22-23

Base 1U = 30
 
Veteran
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Posts: 2554
Posted: #97

Tor and Phi

Tor 4 units to win

Phi 4 units to win

 
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Posted: #98
Sorry for the mispost.  PHI are remarkably -190 .

Protect your bankrolls guys, we don't want to flame out in the first two weeks. TOR really has hurt is blowing these leads the last couple days.  The PHI lines are extremely inflated this year, just like they were with Boston last year.  I considered taking the first two weeks off after last season, but was amped up for the start of the season and was hoping this year would be better.  My base unit is about 1% of my bankroll to weather the storm.  Hopefully everyone else is being modest with their wagers to start the season also.

 
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Posts: 29
Posted: #99
Winner winner chicken dinner
 
 
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Posted: #100
Woohoo, C games come through! All hail the system! glory glory hallelujah!
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