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A conference a day (NCAAF results using Morrison's NFL system)

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Covers Rehab
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Posted: #176
Great start I love losing money
 
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Posted: #177
A brutal day today in College Football.  Seems like nothing went right today!!!  Temporary loan to the books. 


Here are the Week 11 plays
SAN JOSE ST +13 [B]  (loses cover late)
VIRGINIA +4.5 [A] 
KANSAS +3.5 [A] (another late loss)
MEMPHIS +1 [A]
MICHIGAN +8.5 [A]  (gave up in the 4th)

NEW MEXICO ST +18.5 [A]  - PENDING


Will update later on with the records... 
 
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Posted: #178
San Jose St is just terrible...my Virg bet was a push +4
 
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Posted: #179

This was a frustrating as hell day of College Football. 

Thank goodness this is a chase system...I cant wait to root for some of these teams again next week!!  Good news is that we will be getting lots of points!

NMSU looks incredibly inept so far too...so that should be the fitting end to such a day.  Like Kangy said....its a temporary loan.  Next week we return to our winning ways....

 
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Posted: #180
Quote Originally Posted by usakangy:

A brutal day today in College Football.  Seems like nothing went right today!!!  Temporary loan to the books. 


Here are the Week 11 plays
SAN JOSE ST +13 [B]  (loses cover late)
VIRGINIA +4.5 [A] 
KANSAS +3.5 [A] (another late loss)
MEMPHIS +1 [A]
MICHIGAN +8.5 [A]  (gave up in the 4th)

NEW MEXICO ST +18.5 [A]  - PENDING


Will update later on with the records... 


Every system has its days, this is when proper MM is put to the test. Even after a losing day I realize that this only means one thing...More bets next weekend
 
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Posted: #181
A brutal day today in College Football.  At least we finish 2-4 with the two winners covering by 1/2 point each.  Seems like everyone just quit on us late.  Very scary day!  If you pushed these games, you can consider playing the same bet next week on these teams.  My thought is... if you push on an [A] game, pass on the series.  


Here are the Week 11 plays
SAN JOSE ST +13 [B]  (loses cover late)
VIRGINIA +4.5 [A]  (wins by 1/2 point) - some pushed
KANSAS +3.5 [A] (another late loss)
MEMPHIS +1 [A]
MICHIGAN +8.5 [A]  (gave up in the 4th)
NEW MEXICO ST +18.5 [A]  (wins by 1/2 point) - I had this at 20, but early bettors may have pushed at 18.


Totals so far this year
Individual.... 19-12
Series......... 19-0 (5 pending)


With three weeks remaining in the season, there are 18 teams that remain as possible plays.  For reference only, here are the teams.  These are not bets or plays!!! 

Arizona, Arkansas St., Buffalo, Colorado St., Duke, East Carolina, Eastern Michigan, Kansas, Maryland, Memphis, Michigan, North Texas, San Jose St., South Florida, Texas A&M, Toledo, Washington St., Wyoming



With this said, I can unofficially release Week 12 plays....

Colorado State [B]
Kansas [B]
Michigan [B] - for those betting the [A] game (1 game left)
Memphis [B]
San Jose State [C]
Toledo [A] - optional (2 games left)

Arkansas State filtered (regression team) - Will have to wait until next week for consideration as an optional play.  I have not liked them as of late anyway.

I will release the plays with lines later in the week.
 
 
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Posted: #182
Quote Originally Posted by usakangy:

A brutal day today in College Football.  At least we finish 2-4 with the two winners covering by 1/2 point each.  Seems like everyone just quit on us late.  Very scary day!  If you pushed these games, you can consider playing the same bet next week on these teams.  My thought is... if you push on an [A] game, pass on the series.  


Here are the Week 11 plays
SAN JOSE ST +13 [B]  (loses cover late)
VIRGINIA +4.5 [A]  (wins by 1/2 point) - some pushed
KANSAS +3.5 [A] (another late loss)
MEMPHIS +1 [A]
MICHIGAN +8.5 [A]  (gave up in the 4th)
NEW MEXICO ST +18.5 [A]  (wins by 1/2 point) - I had this at 20, but early bettors may have pushed at 18.


Totals so far this year
Individual.... 19-12
Series......... 19-0 (5 pending)


With three weeks remaining in the season, there are 18 teams that remain as possible plays.  For reference only, here are the teams.  These are not bets or plays!!! 

Arizona, Arkansas St., Buffalo, Colorado St., Duke, East Carolina, Eastern Michigan, Kansas, Maryland, Memphis, Michigan, North Texas, San Jose St., South Florida, Texas A&M, Toledo, Washington St., Wyoming



With this said, I can unofficially release Week 12 plays....

Colorado State [B]
Kansas [B]
Michigan [B] - for those betting the [A] game (1 game left)
Memphis [B]
San Jose State [C]
Toledo [A] - optional (2 games left)

Arkansas State filtered (regression team) - Will have to wait until next week for consideration as an optional play.  I have not liked them as of late anyway.

I will release the plays with lines later in the week.
 


Thanks kangy
 
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Posted: #183
win some lose some.....let's get it done next go 'round....thanks for keeping the posts going.
 
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Posted: #184
With Buffalo winning SU and ATS last night, there are 9 additional possible plays remaining - all of them being optional, which means the plays not marked optional below are the last full complete plays for the season.    I have also begun tracking optional plays and I've also listed units won (the optional plays will be relative to your bet).  This will become clearer in the next few weeks.  Let's go San Jose State... Let's cover that +3.


Totals so far this year
Individual............ 19-12
Series................... 19-0 (4 pending)     +19 units
Optional bets.......   0-1 (Michigan [A])   -1x units


Week 12 plays....

Friday night

Toledo -19.5 [A] - optional (2 games left).
If you bet the Michigan [A] last week, and want to bet this one, bet to recoup those losses plus about 20%.  Do not double up.


Saturday

Colorado State ML [B]

Kansas +27 [B] - if this goes to +28, grab it there.

Memphis +23.5 [B] - wait, if you can, to catch this at +24.

San Jose State +3 [C] - catch it at +3.5 if you can.

Michigan +11.5 [B] - Let's wait until the Toledo game completes to adjust our wagering.  If you don't play Toledo[A] on Friday, bet this game to recoup your Michigan [A] loss last week plus 20%.  This is Michigan's last game of the season.


Arkansas State filtered (regression team) - Will have to wait until next week for consideration as an optional play.  I have not liked them as of late anyway.

If you pushed Virginia or New Mexico State last week, just skip the series, but it is up to you...


Let's clear some stuff off our board....  Good luck to all!! 
 
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Posted: #185
The Toledo line is -16.5.   Public pounding Eastern Michigan!  Might be a good thing!  May wait until game time to pull the trigger...
 
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Posted: #186
Another winner with Toledo covering at both -19 and -16, therefore it is a win.... The way I will calculate the optional bets will be this way, since you made a bet for X on Michigan[A] last week and lost, then made a bet for X plus 20% and won with Toledo[A], the profit is 20% of your original Michigan bet (expressed as 0.2x).  If x is the original unit size on normal games, you'd be up an additional 20% of an original bet.


Totals so far this year
Individual............ 19-12
Series................... 19-0 (4 pending)   +19 units
Optional bets.......   1-1 (0 pending)   +0.2x units
     Michigan[A]  LOSS of 1.0x unit
     Toledo[A] WIN of 1.2x unit


Week 12 plays....

Friday night

Toledo -19.5 [A] - winner for +1.2x units


Saturday

Colorado State ML [B]

Kansas +27.5 [B] - if this goes to +28, grab it there.

Memphis +23 [B] - grab this now, line is dropping.

San Jose State +3 [C] - catch it at +3.5 if you can.

Michigan +11.5 [B] (optional) - If you didn't play Toledo[A] on Friday, bet this game to recoup your Michigan [A] loss last week plus 20%.  If you did play Toledo[A], then bet this game for the same amount you lost on Michigan[A] last week.  Going forward, I won't muddy the waters, but for sake of my posts I am assuming each and every optional bet is played, that's how I will arrive at a final total for this system.  Right now, optional bets are up 20% of the "optional" bet size, which should be smaller than the regular bet size.


Let's clear off the final 4 regular plays for the season and finish a perfect 23-0!!! 
 
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Posted: #187
With Eastern Michigan's loss, they become a filtered play due to the 5-game under .500 and the 75-pt SU rules.  Their ATS trend does not warrant a play for their final game next week, so they are pulled off the board for the season.


This leaves the following teams that still have possible plays...

Arizona, Arkansas State, Colorado State[B], Duke, Kansas[B], Maryland, Memphis[B], Michigan[b], North Texas, San Jose State[C], South Florida, Texas A&M, Washington State, Wyoming
 
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Posted: #188

Nice Toldeo winner! 

Today we clear some lines and make some .  Thanks for the hard work Kangy.  I am beginning to think there are 4 or 5 of you because you are all over all of the chases I play!

 
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Posted: #189
Kmang
 
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Posted: #190
I like all the picks except for SJSU. 

It's at 2.5 right now and Hawaii needs this win in a BAD way.   Hawaii needs to qualify for their own Hawaii bowl and this is the easiest team they're playing with Navy on deck and Wisconsin after that.

With you on the rest
 
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Posted: #191
Quote Originally Posted by hard8:

I like all the picks except for SJSU. 

It's at 2.5 right now and Hawaii needs this win in a BAD way.   Hawaii needs to qualify for their own Hawaii bowl and this is the easiest team they're playing with Navy on deck and Wisconsin after that.

With you on the rest


Makes a good point
 
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Posted: #192
I cannot say enough how ticked off I am that all of these games did not come through for us. 

SJSU late fumble in the 4th to give Hawai'i a chance to kick the game winning FG, then the miss of that FG forcing OT. 

Kansas hung tough but let it slip away late in the 4th as well. 

Colorado State gave up the game winning FG to New Mexico with 12 seconds left in the game. 

Michigan was the only game that pulled through for us. 




eek 12 plays....

Colorado State ML [B]
Kansas +27.5 [B] 
Memphis +23 [B]
San Jose State +3 [C]
Michigan +11.5 (optional)


Some new teams joined the optional play list yesterday:  Washington State, Arkansas State, North Texas, Eastern Michigan. 

Arkansas State and North Texas will play each other, cancelling that bet and Eastern Michigan is a filtered play.


Updating the Week 13 plays
Kansas [C] vs Missouri
Memphis [C] @ Tulsa
Colorado State [C] vs Wyoming
Washington State (optional) @ Washington


Totals so far this year
Individual............ 19-16
Series................... 19-1 (3 pending)   +11 units
Optional bets.......   2-1 (0 pending)   +1.2x units
     Michigan[A]  LOSS of 1.0x unit
     Toledo[A] WIN of 1.2x unit
     Michigan[B]  WIN of 1.0x unit
 
 
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Posted: #193
All of these are last games for their teams.  Two games are at home, so the seniors should play well in their last home game.  The thing that all four teams have in common this week is that all teams are at the bottom of their conference leaderboards.  With three [C] games the same weekend, tread lightly.

Order may be important.... you may want to play the games as they occur.  As of this time, according to Covers, these are the times of the games:

Friday 2:00pm ET - Wyoming/Colorado St.
Friday 3:30pm ET - Memphis/Tulsa
Saturday 3:30pm ET - Missouri/Kansas
Saturday 6:30pm ET - Washington St./Washington

There may be one play for next week with Arkansas St vs. Western Kentucky, but that is only if the Wolves lose both SU and ATS this week against North Texas and the situation warrants a play.


Updating the Week 13 plays (with current lines)
Kansas +4 [C] vs Missouri
Memphis +15.5 [C] @ Tulsa
Colorado State ML [C] vs Wyoming
Washington State +24 (optional) @ Washington
 
 
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Posted: #194
Quote Originally Posted by usakangy:

All of these are last games for their teams.  Two games are at home, so the seniors should play well in their last home game.  The thing that all four teams have in common this week is that all teams are at the bottom of their conference leaderboards.  With three [C] games the same weekend, tread lightly.

Order may be important.... you may want to play the games as they occur.  As of this time, according to Covers, these are the times of the games:

Friday 2:00pm ET - Wyoming/Colorado St.
Friday 3:30pm ET - Memphis/Tulsa
Saturday 3:30pm ET - Missouri/Kansas
Saturday 6:30pm ET - Washington St./Washington

There may be one play for next week with Arkansas St vs. Western Kentucky, but that is only if the Wolves lose both SU and ATS this week against North Texas and the situation warrants a play.


Updating the Week 13 plays (with current lines)
Kansas +4 [C] vs Missouri
Memphis +15.5 [C] @ Tulsa
Colorado State ML [C] vs Wyoming
Washington State +24 (optional) @ Washington
 


Lets have a good weekend
 
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Posted: #195
Thanks Kevin!  We need to put these C games into the win column!! 
 
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Posted: #196

Quote Originally Posted by usakangy:

Thanks Kevin!  We need to put these C games into the win column!! 

 

 

memphis and colorodo state play today fellas and we got a better number on memphis

 
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Posted: #197
Let's do this fellers!! 
 
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Posted: #198
Just got the memphis line at 16.5 going to buy a point to get 17 and the hook lets hope I wont have to use it BOL
 
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Posted: #199
did anybody just get that sudden drop in the colorodo state game on the spread and ml
 
 
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Posted: #200

Quote Originally Posted by 730champ:

did anybody just get that sudden drop in the colorodo state game on the spread and ml

 

 

did somebody get confirmed out or something dropped half a point and ten cents on the ml.....  hmmm

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