A conference a day (NCAAF results using Morrison's NFL system)

ok first weekend of NCAA system plays coming up! So we have New Mexico and Miami-Ohio correct?

Hi guys, I haven't been on lately, been very busy.  I am still working the filters.  One of the filters in place is a what I call a 75-point rule.  This is when a team that has lost its previous three games SU by more than a combined 75 points.  When this situation arises, we actually filter that play.  However, the anti-filter I have been working on states that a filtered play becomes a play if the margin at which that team loses to the spread decreases over its last three games.

One example this week is New Mexico (which lost ATS by 19, 17.5 and 7.5 in its last three games respectively).  New Mexico is considered to be improving against the spread with each game.  New Mexico has lost SU in its last three by a combined 93 points and would originally be a no play.  So now New Mexico is favored here.  Also, according to the system, we are supposed to bet the ML on a team that is favored... I placed a cap on the spread at -10.  So you should place a bet on New Mexico ML (if you get it) or smaller on -9.5 if you don't like the juice. 

The other team, Miami-Ohio (losing ATS by 25.5, 9.5, 6.5 respectively) was outscored by its opponents in the last contests by 112).  The Redhawks also fit this weeks scenario of a filtered play that has been anti-filtered.  Miami-Ohio is +7.5. 

I will track the stats using this thread.  Since I am still working on the filters, it remains to be seen if the anti-filter would benefit us more by bringing back the wins (and some of the losses) or just leaving them off.

So in JM's notation, the plays for this week would be:

NEW MEXICO ML [A]  or 
NEW MEXICO -9.5 [A] at smaller bet

MIAMI-OHIO +7.5 [A]

I will have a full explanation of the system in a few days.  A couple people have already mentioned, it may be a good idea to play these using Labourchere.  I will note all records as both series wins and losses as well as straight wins and losses.  Let's start the season out right.

Cheers!   

nice

hopefully the system will work. im doing straight, parlay, and teaser with these 2.

1)NEW MEXICO ML [A]  or 
NEW MEXICO -9.5 [A] at smaller bet

MIAMI-OHIO +7.5 [A]

2)Parlay

3) Teaser 6pt
New Mexico -3.5
Miami-Ohio +13.5

we'll see what happens.

Nevada Wolf Pack vs UNLV
Florida Atlantic Owls vs Wyoming

A Bets for week 5 correct?

I have the following for Week 5....

None of them meet the filters I am backtesting, so let's just go with these as is....

BUFFALO +7.5 [A]
FLORIDA ATLANTIC ML [A]
MIAMI-OHIO +28.5 [B]
NEVADA ML [A] 
NEW MEXICO +34.5 [B]

That's OK, I will make sure I get it back with interest. 

so bottom line here is using lab system this thing is a winner?

4-1

Now that is a great college football weekend.

Yeah, good job guys! 4-1-0

Yes!!  We won 4 of 5 series this weekend. 

YTD Straight record is 4-3
YTD Series record is 4-0 (1 pending)

Week 6 plays (Might want to wait a little for a line drop to catch a better payout):

BOWLING GREEN ML [A] at Kent State


Week 7 plays (October 17)"

FLORIDA ATLANTIC [B] at North Texas

Aww we only have one play this weekend?

Yep, one game this week.  The easiest way I found is to create a spreadsheet and track.  I will see if I can post it to my ISP site and link a copy here. 

Here is a link to an excel spreadsheet with all CFB games through week 5. 

Let's try this one.....  Click here.....

Wow Kangy great job on that spreadsheet. Must have taken quite some time and effort thanks for sharing that information.

Thanks Kevin, it's not too bad if it is kept up to date and you start at the beginning of the season.

KMang, let me know if you still cannot see this and thanks for the kudos.