I only played about 1 a day of NCAA games. Just followed and kept track of all the games above 3% for the past week. Even the higher percentage games (above 6%) aren't doing well, 46.2% over the past week. Had you taken the top five plays over the past week and top three on slow nights you would have gone about 7-15, (32%) for NCAA.
or 68% if you fade....
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Quote Originally Posted by jhonea999:
I only played about 1 a day of NCAA games. Just followed and kept track of all the games above 3% for the past week. Even the higher percentage games (above 6%) aren't doing well, 46.2% over the past week. Had you taken the top five plays over the past week and top three on slow nights you would have gone about 7-15, (32%) for NCAA.
calinreddog hope your not putting money on these... i can give you a better system just from experience... find a game bet the under... notice you lost both your overs... but if you like to bet your overs stick to the first half (nba) you notice they tend to be higher than the second half...
but if you believe you got a system that works keep posting your picks so others can fade you and win money
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calinreddog hope your not putting money on these... i can give you a better system just from experience... find a game bet the under... notice you lost both your overs... but if you like to bet your overs stick to the first half (nba) you notice they tend to be higher than the second half...
but if you believe you got a system that works keep posting your picks so others can fade you and win money
calinreddog hope your not putting money on these... i can give you a better system just from experience... find a game bet the under... notice you lost both your overs... but if you like to bet your overs stick to the first half (nba) you notice they tend to be higher than the second half...
but if you believe you got a system that works keep posting your picks so others can fade you and win money
You really are funny...
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Quote Originally Posted by funnyman1117:
calinreddog hope your not putting money on these... i can give you a better system just from experience... find a game bet the under... notice you lost both your overs... but if you like to bet your overs stick to the first half (nba) you notice they tend to be higher than the second half...
but if you believe you got a system that works keep posting your picks so others can fade you and win money
Just started reading this entire post about an hour ago. I am on to the total thing. Easy to find and come up with. Where I am lost is how do you get the %? I get the total and divide it by 2 to get the projected total for the teams for that game. Then I subtract the projected total from the bookie line if its lower to get the diff. Not sure where to go from there to obtain the % factor. Please help me out with this if u can. I'm very interested in learning this. Seems simple and effective
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Calin
Just started reading this entire post about an hour ago. I am on to the total thing. Easy to find and come up with. Where I am lost is how do you get the %? I get the total and divide it by 2 to get the projected total for the teams for that game. Then I subtract the projected total from the bookie line if its lower to get the diff. Not sure where to go from there to obtain the % factor. Please help me out with this if u can. I'm very interested in learning this. Seems simple and effective
If the average points per game (avg pf and avg pa overall for both teams divided by 2) is under the listed total and both teams are coming off a poor offensive performance (they scored their last game under half of the listed total) I bet under. If the average is over the total and both are coming of a strong offensive performance their last game I bet over. Otherwise no bet.
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Fireman don't try to learn it cause it's no good.
For tonight games I picked the totals like that:
If the average points per game (avg pf and avg pa overall for both teams divided by 2) is under the listed total and both teams are coming off a poor offensive performance (they scored their last game under half of the listed total) I bet under. If the average is over the total and both are coming of a strong offensive performance their last game I bet over. Otherwise no bet.
Just as a little excercise, no money on them, I expect the totals below for NHL and NBA games (based on overall and L5 goals or points for and against):
NHL
ana-bos 4.71
col-nj 5.38
tor-nyi 7.76
fla-nyr 6.04
atl-was 5.43
buf-car 5.1
sj-ott 6.07
pho-nas 4.96
stl-dal 7.48
edm-clb 5.57
NBA
cle-hou 198.7 (cle to cover -6)
pho-lal 192 (lal to cover -8.5)
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Just as a little excercise, no money on them, I expect the totals below for NHL and NBA games (based on overall and L5 goals or points for and against):
what is the system you use currently and i fiqured out the ones for monday and the ones you picked are close to the actually line.why? the villanova over with your system was about 20 points over why arnt you hammering that?
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what is the system you use currently and i fiqured out the ones for monday and the ones you picked are close to the actually line.why? the villanova over with your system was about 20 points over why arnt you hammering that?
what is the system you use currently and i fiqured out the ones for monday and the ones you picked are close to the actually line.why? the villanova over with your system was about 20 points over why arnt you hammering that?
Look:
boist overall 60% over away 72% over 70% over as a road underdog
nmexs overall 61% over at home 78% over 76% over as a home fav.
no overall 52% under away 48% under
phi overall 59% under at home 65% under 70% as a home fav.
What are this numbers suggesting?
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Quote Originally Posted by coreyg1292:
what is the system you use currently and i fiqured out the ones for monday and the ones you picked are close to the actually line.why? the villanova over with your system was about 20 points over why arnt you hammering that?
Look:
boist overall 60% over away 72% over 70% over as a road underdog
nmexs overall 61% over at home 78% over 76% over as a home fav.
no overall 52% under away 48% under
phi overall 59% under at home 65% under 70% as a home fav.
i can see the boise game over your system fit that game. but your system does not fit philly ans nd and nova should go way over. what is your updated system? i am using the one on the first page with the nicks and lakers example. is that the right one?
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i can see the boise game over your system fit that game. but your system does not fit philly ans nd and nova should go way over. what is your updated system? i am using the one on the first page with the nicks and lakers example. is that the right one?
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