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Basketball over / under system

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Posted: #151
Quote Originally Posted by jhonea999:

 

I only played about 1 a day of NCAA games.  Just followed and kept track of all the games above 3% for the past week.  Even the higher percentage games (above 6%) aren't doing well, 46.2% over the past week.  Had you taken the top five plays over the past week and top three on slow nights you would have gone about 7-15, (32%) for NCAA.           


or 68% if you fade.... 
 
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Posted: #152
Over/Under picks for tonight:
 
NBA
cha-pho under 221.5
NCAAB
pitt-prov under 158
txam-neb over 122.5
NHL
chi-nas under 5.5
clb-cal over 5.5
 
 
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Posted: #153
Quote Originally Posted by HeaVin-Cent:


or 68% if you fade.... 

fade?

 
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Posted: #154
calinreddog hope your not putting money on these... i can give you a better system just from experience... find a game bet the under... notice you lost both your overs... but if you like to bet your overs stick to the first half (nba) you notice they tend to be higher than the second half...
 
but if you believe you got a system that works keep posting your picks so others can fade you and win money
 
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Posted: #155
2.25.09
 
Celtics/Clippers 199.5
 
I got a number of 192. Going Under.
 
GL 
 
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Posted: #156
Quote Originally Posted by funnyman1117:

calinreddog hope your not putting money on these... i can give you a better system just from experience... find a game bet the under... notice you lost both your overs... but if you like to bet your overs stick to the first half (nba) you notice they tend to be higher than the second half...
 
but if you believe you got a system that works keep posting your picks so others can fade you and win money

You really are funny...

 
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Posted: #157
26.02.09 NCAAB
 
These are not to fade:
 

kst-brgn over 126

akr-buf over 124

xaver-stjoe over 133.5

chat-appst under 158

min-ill over 119.5

wof-charl over 146

wigb-det over 127

notex-arkst under 139.5

arz-wast over 121.5

arzst-wgton under 141

 

 
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Posted: #158
26.02.09 NBA
 
cle-hou over 185
 
 
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Posted: #159
Calin
 
Just started reading this entire post about an hour ago. I am on to the total thing. Easy to find and come up with. Where I am lost is how do you get the %?  I get the total and divide it by 2 to get the projected total for the teams for that game. Then I subtract the projected total from the bookie line if its lower to get the diff. Not sure where to go from there to obtain the % factor. Please help me out with this if u can. I'm very interested in learning this. Seems simple and effective
 
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Posted: #160
Fireman don't try to learn it cause it's no good.
For tonight games I picked the totals like that:
If the average points per game (avg pf and avg pa overall for both teams divided by 2) is under the listed total and both teams are coming off a poor offensive performance (they scored their last game under half of the listed total) I bet under. If the average is over the total and both are coming of a strong offensive performance their last game I bet over. Otherwise no bet.
 
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Posted: #161
Just as a little excercise, no money on them, I expect the totals below for NHL and NBA games (based on overall and L5 goals or points for and against):
 

NHL

ana-bos 4.71

col-nj 5.38

tor-nyi 7.76

fla-nyr 6.04

atl-was 5.43

buf-car 5.1

sj-ott 6.07

pho-nas 4.96

stl-dal 7.48

edm-clb 5.57

 

NBA

cle-hou 198.7 (cle to cover -6)

pho-lal 192 (lal to cover -8.5)

 
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Posted: #162
Someone should look a  the nova game today if you go by this system it is over
 
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Posted: #163
The butler game is a great over i need others opinions
 
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Posted: #164
We have hour come on guys
 
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Posted: #165
NBA
 
orl-phi under
hou-chi over
was-mil over
 
 
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Posted: #166
New algorythm starting today. I hope it will produce more than 57% winners.
 
NCAAB
 
wigb-wghst over
chat-wcar over
drex-wmmry under
emich-cmich under
colu-dart under
loula-arklr over
neb-kanst under
wky-midtn under
wist-soill over
drake-brad under
sdst-tcu under
semst-aupea over
sacst-webst over
 
 
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Posted: #167
wigb-wghst over
chat-wcar over
drex-wmmry under
emich-cmich under
colu-dart under
loula-arklr over
neb-kanst under
wky-midtn under
wist-soill over
drake-brad under
sdst-tcu under
semst-aupea over
sacst-webst over
 
9 - 4 (69%)
 
 
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Posted: #168
Sunday:
 
bgrn-akr under
mchst-ill under
 
 
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Posted: #169
1-1 last night.
10-5 last 2 days.
 
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Posted: #170
Monday:
 
boist-nmexs over
no-phi under
 
 
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Posted: #171
what is the system you use currently and i fiqured out the ones for monday and the ones you picked are close to the actually line.why? the villanova over with your system was about 20 points over why arnt you hammering that?
 
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Posted: #172
Quote Originally Posted by coreyg1292:

what is the system you use currently and i fiqured out the ones for monday and the ones you picked are close to the actually line.why? the villanova over with your system was about 20 points over why arnt you hammering that?

Look:

boist overall 60% over away 72% over 70% over as a road underdog

nmexs overall 61% over at home 78% over 76% over as a home fav.

no overall 52% under away 48% under

phi overall 59% under at home 65% under 70% as a home fav.

What are this numbers suggesting?

 
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Posted: #173
i can see the boise game over your system fit that game. but your system does not fit philly ans nd and nova should go way over. what is your updated system? i am using the one on the first page with the nicks and lakers example. is that the right one?
 
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Posted: #174
No, forget about it...
 
 
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Posted: #175
why it doesnt work
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