All Forums | Systems & Strategies

Best Chase System I Have Found (31-1 ytd)

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 22868
Posts: 220
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 305
Posted: #1
I have followed lots of chase systems and the problem with most of them is the odds you have to lay.  I have found a system that takes mostly dogs and small favorites and it has done very well.

I was a math major in college, so I put my math skills to work and developed a pathagorean theorem that will give me a projected outcome of a 3 game series.

I am going to post the plays here if anyone wants to follow (or fade is you so choose). 

The record ytd is 31-1.  The series I lost was SF at SD back on April 19th which was also the week I started playing the system.

 I started with a $1000  bank roll betting to win $50 per series.  The 31 winners have produced $1833 and the loser lost -$441 for a net result of +$1392.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 305
Posted: #2
Plays for series starting today, May 14th.  All my lines are from WSEX at the time I placed my wagers.

 All Game 1

Clev 50 to win 55
Boston 62.50 to win 50
Texas 50 to win 55
Phil 50 to win 55
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 133
Posted: #3
question.  what is the max and min odds you are taking for dogs and the same for small favs?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 305
Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by jakeandba:

question.  what is the max and min odds you are taking for dogs and the same for small favs?

I will take any dog if the numbers show they should win a game. 

As far as the favorites go, I wont play favs in the first game if over -140, but if they are over that price I will skip the first game and if they lose play them in games 2 and 3 regardless of the odds.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #5
That chick has some set of waterhammers.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 305
Posted: #6
Sorry I just noticed I did not have the White Sox in the plays.

Game 1
White Sox 65 to win 50
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 203
Posted: #7

I'm interested - GoodLuck!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 133
Posted: #8

do you have the wins by game number since you have been playing this system?

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 305
Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by jakeandba:

do you have the wins by game number since you have been playing this system?


Yes I will post the plays by game number shortly.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 305
Posted: #10
Game 2
Clev 100 to win 130
Texas 100 to win 135
White Sox 161 to win 115

Game 1 Winners
Boston +50
Phil  + 55
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 305
Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by jakeandba:

do you have the wins by game number since you have been playing this system?


Plays by game number.  Not including series that started yesterday.  I had the record at 31-1, but it is actually 29-1.  My mistake.

Game 1
16-14

Game 2
8-6

Game 3
5-1



 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 133
Posted: #12
to confirm you are not play 4 game series and just 3
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 305
Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by jakeandba:

to confirm you are not play 4 game series and just 3

I play the first 3 games of 3 and 4 games series. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 305
Posted: #14
Game 3
Texas 230 to win 200

Game 2 Winners
Cleveland +130
W Sox +115


 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2010
Posts: 1174
Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by WaterHammer:

Game 3
Texas 230 to win 200

Game 2 Winners
Cleveland +130
W Sox +115


Are These Plays For Today, Correct?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 305
Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by jaybosstein:

Are These Plays For Today, Correct?

Only had one play today and it was Texas in game 3 of the series...-115...it lost.

Be here Monday with a new set of plays.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2010
Posts: 1174
Posted: #17

Gotcha WH

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2009
Posts: 691
Posted: #18
Math Major....what exactly is a pathagorean theorem?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 305
Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by MeMyselfandEye:

Math Major....what exactly is a pathagorean theorem?

I should actually call it a pythagorean thereom of expectation.  If you want to be exact.
Initially the correlation between the formula and actual winning percentage was simply an experimental observation. In 2003, a researcher provided an inexact derivation of the formula and showed that the Pythagorean exponent was approximately 2/(svp) where s was the standard deviation of runs scored by all teams divided by the average number of runs scored. In 2006, a professor of mathematics provided a statistical derivation of the formula under some assumptions about baseball games: if runs for each team follow a Weibull distribution and the runs scored and allowed per game are statistically independent, then the formula gives the probability of winning.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 305
Posted: #20
Series thru Sunday 33-2
+1212 which is equivalent to +24.24 units

All games starting today are 2 game series, but I have two series that I am going to chase for the two games.  Reason being, the numbers are to good to pass up. 

Game 1 for Today, Monday May 17th
Arizona +135
Milwaukee -110

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2004
Posts: 683
Posted: #21
arz yes i do like that pick right on
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 305
Posted: #22
Game 2 of Series, Tuesday, May 18th
Milwaukee +125 x 2 units
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 570
Posted: #23

Quote Originally Posted by WaterHammer:


I should actually call it a pythagorean thereom of expectation.  If you want to be exact.
Initially the correlation between the formula and actual winning percentage was simply an experimental observation. In 2003, a researcher provided an inexact derivation of the formula and showed that the Pythagorean exponent was approximately 2/(svp) where s was the standard deviation of runs scored by all teams divided by the average number of runs scored. In 2006, a professor of mathematics provided a statistical derivation of the formula under some assumptions about baseball games: if runs for each team follow a Weibull distribution and the runs scored and allowed per game are statistically independent, then the formula gives the probability of winning.

 

WH, are you sure you are not Professor Irwin Cory?  (for those of you that know who that is)  I may be dating myself.  Good luck with your system. 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 146
Posted: #24
Is today's play on Milwaukee, as a game 3?

Or did the series end on Game 2, because it was only a 2 game series?

Just lurking in your thread, looking for winners!  
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 305
Posted: #25
Sorry for the late post.  You may play Milwaukee as a third game if you choose.  I am not.  My numbers were based on them winning one is the two games vs Cincy.

No Games for the Series Starting Wed, May 19th

Total To Date 
+22.59 units
All Forums | Systems & Strategies
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.