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Chaser's Barkin' Dogs

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Posted: #101

***correction***

D Bax are not filtered out (obviously)...that's a cut-n-paste error

 
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Posted: #102

5/6 Results: -19.73units

Nats      -103         4.12u   loss -4.12u

Phills     +127             4u   loss     -4u

Brewers +112             2u   loss     -2u

Braves   +140             2u   loss     -2u

Padres   +139             1u  won+1.39u

Dodgers +124             2u  loss      -2u

O's          -102         1.02u  ppd

RedSox  +105             1u  loss      -1u

Royals    +130             2u  loss      -2u

Twins      +114             4u  loss      -4u

Astros      +100            1u  won     +1u

Angels +115                1u  loss      -1u

 

YTD:  +18.68units

(high= +46.97 units, low= -24.78 units)

 
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Posted: #103
Chaser.. I want to thank you for all of the effort and time you have put into this thread. It is greatly appreciated by myself and i'm sure countless others also..

I have to jump ship though brother.. This is heading into a mayday situation. The Nationals are going to get swept, they have 0 chance of winning a game against the Cubbies. I can't put any significant amount of units on the Tigers, Dodgers, Royals, or Phillies.. These teams just can't score runs.. I cant bring myself to chase these horrible teams anymore. I'm going to cut my losses at -4.7U (since i started tailing) while i can before it gets much worse. 

I wish you nothing but the best of luck for the rest of the season, and i hope you are able to turn a significant profit by seasons end, i'll still be keeping up with thread.

Best of luck once again my friend and thank you for your time and your picks.  
 
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Posted: #104
Quote Originally Posted by SwiftChange:

Chaser.. I want to thank you for all of the effort and time you have put into this thread. It is greatly appreciated by myself and i'm sure countless others also..I have to jump ship though brother.. This is heading into a mayday situation. The Nationals are going to get swept, they have 0 chance of winning a game against the Cubbies. I can't put any significant amount of units on the Tigers, Dodgers, Royals, or Phillies.. These teams just can't score runs.. I cant bring myself to chase these horrible teams anymore. I'm going to cut my losses at -4.7U (since i started tailing) while i can before it gets much worse. I wish you nothing but the best of luck for the rest of the season, and i hope you are able to turn a significant profit by seasons end, i'll still be keeping up with thread.Best of luck once again my friend and thank you for your time and your picks.

One bay day and you jump ship? The teams gotta win eventually brother
 
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Posted: #105
Quote Originally Posted by SwiftChange:

Chaser.. I want to thank you for all of the effort and time you have put into this thread. It is greatly appreciated by myself and i'm sure countless others also..I have to jump ship though brother.. This is heading into a mayday situation. The Nationals are going to get swept, they have 0 chance of winning a game against the Cubbies. I can't put any significant amount of units on the Tigers, Dodgers, Royals, or Phillies.. These teams just can't score runs.. I cant bring myself to chase these horrible teams anymore. I'm going to cut my losses at -4.7U (since i started tailing) while i can before it gets much worse. I wish you nothing but the best of luck for the rest of the season, and i hope you are able to turn a significant profit by seasons end, i'll still be keeping up with thread.Best of luck once again my friend and thank you for your time and your picks.

One bad day and you jump shit? The teams gotta win eventually brother
 
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Posted: #106
Quote Originally Posted by SwiftChange:

Chaser.. I want to thank you for all of the effort and time you have put into this thread. It is greatly appreciated by myself and i'm sure countless others also..

I have to jump ship though brother.. This is heading into a mayday situation. The Nationals are going to get swept, they have 0 chance of winning a game against the Cubbies. I can't put any significant amount of units on the Tigers, Dodgers, Royals, or Phillies.. These teams just can't score runs.. I cant bring myself to chase these horrible teams anymore. I'm going to cut my losses at -4.7U (since i started tailing) while i can before it gets much worse. 

I wish you nothing but the best of luck for the rest of the season, and i hope you are able to turn a significant profit by seasons end, i'll still be keeping up with thread.

Best of luck once again my friend and thank you for your time and your picks.  

Swift, appreciate the comments, agree with your forecast,  and cant blame you. Too bad you didn't get in from the start to enjoy the meager BR increase. I overplayed the system beyond changes that I usually make at around +30 units (and will be making now). I will play this system to the end, but I'll also begin posting another system that I play (I play a few) which is more conservative and should help you recover your lost money without the multiple plays and heavy BR risk. GL to you

Tyama, we'll weed out the plays a little tighter from here and continue to grind out a profit...ebbs and flows

 
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Posted: #107

***Getting crushed and going to make two changes that should have occurred at +30 units (admittedly, I got excited with the rapid rise). I'm going to reset all wagers to "A" bets now and add the following: (1) I will also filter out teams that are going against teams on a 3 or more game winning streak (Stoffo's), and (2) I am reducing the "A" wager to a half(.5) unit as deeper chases are typically a reality from here on out***

 

YTD: +18.68units

 

5/7 Plays:       Risk Amt:

Pirates  +128           .5u

D Bax    +107           .5u

Padres   +136           .5u

Yanks     +136          .5u

Royals    +100          .5u

Angels    +114          .5u

Jays        +150         .5u

 

Total At Risk:           3.5 units

 

Filtering out:

Nats       up against winning streak

Rocks    over+150

Brewers SLUMP

Phills     SLUMP

Tigers    SLUMP

A's         SLUMP

Mariners (play qualifies, but can't go against Keuchel @ home)   

Twins    SLUMP (and they stink!)

 

 
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Posted: #108
awesome thread. personally not a fan of chases as my roll is small so units would need to be too small to make it worth while. an interesting idea tho and wish ya the best of luck moving forward. excellent showing thus far btw
 
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Posted: #109

Quote Originally Posted by monstergrit:

awesome thread. personally not a fan of chases as my roll is small so units would need to be too small to make it worth while. an interesting idea tho and wish ya the best of luck moving forward. excellent showing thus far btw

Thanks monster, check out my MLB "over" approach, and try if you like...its a simple little roll builder that doesn't require much. GL 

 
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Posted: #110

5/7 Results:       -.28 units

Pirates  +128           .5u loss   -.5 u

D Bax    +107           .5u won +.54u

Padres   +136           .5u loss    -.5u

Yanks     +136          .5u won  +.68u

Royals    +100          .5u won    +.5u

Angels    +114          .5u loss     -.5u

Jays        +150         .5u  loss     -.5u

 

YTD: +18.4units

(high= +46.97 units, low= -24.78 units)

 
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Posted: #111

YTD: +18.14units

 

5/8 Plays:       Risk Amt:

Marlins   +106        .5u

Reds      +102        .5u

Pirates   +128         1u

Rocks     +170        .5u

Padres    +145         1u

Dodgers  +146        .5u

Rangers  +128        .5u

Royals     +123        .5u

A's           +140        .5u

Mariners  +107        .5u

Rays        +115        .5u

Total At Risk:          6.5 units

 

Filtering out:

Braves SLUMP

Nats       up against winning streak and Arrietta, NO Way!

Twins   SLUMP 

 
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Posted: #112

5/8 Results:       +1.16 units

Marlins   +106        .5u loss    -.5u

Reds      +102        .5u loss     -.5u

Pirates   +128         1u won +1.28u

Rocks     +170        .5u won   +.85u

Padres    +145         1u loss       -1u

Dodgers  +146        .5u won   +.73u

Rangers  +128        .5u won   +.64u

Royals     +123        .5u loss      -.5u

A's           +140        .5u loss      -.5u

Mariners  +107        .5u loss      -.5u

Rays        +115        .5u won   +.58u

Red Sox   +116        .5u won   +.58u (missed posting this play)

YTD: +19.56units

(high= +46.97 units, low= -24.78 units)

 
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Posted: #113

YTD: +19.56units

5/9 Plays:       Risk Amt:

Reds      +105         .5u

D Bax     +130         .5u

Dodgers  +100        .5u

Giants      +106       .5u

Royals     +111        .5u

A's           +122        .5u

Cws         +106        .5u

Astros      +100        .5u

O's           +105        .5u

Rays        +119        .5u

Total At Risk:             5 units

 

Filtering out:

Brewers (Cant see a win here against Fernandez)

Padres   (Cant see a win here against hot-streaking Cubs)

Tigers    SLUMP 

 

***RE-SET ALL CHASES TO "A" WAGERS (.5u)***

 
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Posted: #114

5/9 Results:       -.3 units

5/9 Plays:       Risk Amt:

Reds      +105         .5uwon+.52

D Bax     +130         .5uwon+.65

Dodgers  +100        .5uloss-.5

Giants      +106       .5uloss-.5

Royals     +111        .5uloss-.5

A's           +122        .5uloss-.5

Cws         +106        .5uwon+.53

Astros      +100        .5uwon+.5

O's           +105        .5u ppd

Rays        +119        .5u loss-.5

YTD: +19.26units

(high= +46.97 units, low= -24.78 units)
 
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Posted: #115

YTD: +19.26units

5/10 Plays:       Risk Amt:

Phills      +105         .5u

Brewers +150         .5u

Reds      +125         .5u

D Bax     +100         .5u

Mets        -103       .52u

Cards     +113         .5u

Giants      +115        1u

Indians     +115       .5u

Mariners   +116       .5u

Total At Risk:   5.02units

 

Filtering out:

Padres   (Cant see a win here against hot-streaking Cubs)

Royals    (not with Medlen on the bump. Take the "OVER"!

A's          SLUMP

Rangers Streaking opponent (CWS)

Twins      SLUMP

Tigers     SLUMP
 
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Posted: #116

5/10 Results:       +1.99 units

5/10 Plays:       Risk Amt:

Phills      +105         .5u won    +.53u

Brewers +150         .5u won     +.75u

Reds      +125         .5u ppd

D Bax     +100         .5u won      +.5u

Mets        -103       .52u loss     -.52u

Cards     +113         .5u won    +.57u

Giants      +115        1u loss        -1u

Indians     +115       .5u won    +.58u

Mariners   +116       .5u won    +.58u

 

YTD:  19.26 units

(high= +46.97, low= -24.78)

 
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Posted: #117

***CORRECTION, forgot to add in the gain***

 

YTD:  +21.25units

 
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Posted: #118

YTD: +21.25units

5/11 Plays:       Risk Amt:

D Bax     +124         .5u

Brewers  +165         .5u

Phills        -101         .5u

Reds       +121         .5u

Dodgers  +105         .5u

CWS       +113         .5u

Astros     +107         .5u

Rays       +104         .5u

Royals    +134         .5u

Jays        +111         .5u

Tigers     +140         .5u

 

Total At Risk:    5.5units

 

Filtering out:

Padres   (still cant see a win here against hot-streaking Cubs)

Twins      SLUMP

A's          SLUMP

Angels  SLUMP

***I'VE RE-SET ALL CHASES TO "A" WAGERS (.5u)***
 
Prospect
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Posted: #119

Kansas City should be filtered out - SLUMP

 

 

 
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Posted: #120

Right you are Dave...Im probably gonna regret that one! I also realize that I  forgot to check against winning streaks in my mad dash to get to the airport

Oh well, here's hoping! BOL

 
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Posted: #121
5/11 Results:  -.3.29 units  (good night for the faves!) 

 

5/11 Plays:       Risk Amt:

D Bax     +124         .5u  loss-.5u

Brewers  +165         .5u  loss-.5u

Phills        -101         .5u  loss-.5u

Reds       +121         .5u   loss-.5u

Dodgers  +105         .5u   loss-.5u

CWS       +113         .5u   loss-.5u

Astros     +107         .5u won+.54u

Rays       +104         .5u    loss-.5u

Royals    +134         .5u  won+.67u (this pick was a mistake, ha)

Jays        +111         .5u     loss-.5u

Tigers     +140         .5u     loss-.5u

 

YTD:  +17.96units

(high= +46.97, low= -24.78)
 
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Posted: #122

YTD:  +17.96units

5/12 Plays:       Risk Amt:

Braves   +120         .5u

Padres    +124        .5u

Mets        +215        .5u

Royals     +121        .5u

 

Total At Risk:              2units

 

Filtering out:

Tigers       O's are streaking

Astross     Red Sox are streaking

Angels      SLUMP 

 
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Posted: #123

5/12 Results:  -.88 units 

 

5/12 Plays:       Risk Amt:

Braves   +120         .5u loss   -.5u

Padres    +124        .5u won +.62u

Mets        +215        .5uloss     -.5u

Royals     +121        .5uloss     -.5u

YTD:  +17.08units

(high= +46.97, low= -24.78)

 
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Posted: #124
YTD:  +17.08units

5/13 Plays:       Risk Amt:

Pirates   +125           .5u

Marlins   +158           .5u

Reds      +110            1u

Padres   +125           .5u

Rocks     +110          .5u

D Bax     +135           1u

Cards     +115           .5u

Braves   +155            1u

Yanks    +132            .5u

Rangers -103          .52u

 

Total At Risk:           6.52units

 

Filtering out:

Tigers       O's are streaking

Twins        SLUMP

Astross     Red Sox are streaking

Athletics    SLUMP

Angels      SLUMP 
 
 
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Posted: #125

5/13 Results:       -5.47units

Pirates   +125           .5u  loss -.5u

Marlins   +158           .5u  loss -.5u

Reds      +110            1u  loss  -1u

Padres   +125           .5u  loss -.5u

Rocks     +110          .5u  won+.55u

D Bax     +135           1u   loss  -1u

Cards     +115           .5u  loss -.5u

Braves   +155            1u   loss  -1u

Yanks    +132            .5u  loss -.5u

Rangers -103          .52u loss -.52u

YTD:  +11.61units

(high= +46.97, low= -24.78)
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