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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    DegenGamble's NFL handicapping method

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    DegenGamble
    Danrules24
    Jeremylynn21
    rivermonsterz
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    DegenGamble
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2017 - 1:53 PM ET #26

    CAR -3 L

    ATL -10.5

    NYJ +9.5

    MIN +3.5

    SF +11

    CHI +6.5

    CLE +10.5

    NOR -4

    ARI +2.5

    LAR +2.5

    KC -3.5

    LAC +3.5

    NYG +12

    TEN -1.5

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    CAR -3 L

    ATL -10.5

    NYJ +9.5

    MIN +3.5

    SF +11

    CHI +6.5

    CLE +10.5

    NOR -4

    ARI +2.5

    LAR +2.5

    KC -3.5

    LAC +3.5

    NYG +12

    TEN -1.5

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2017 - 3:56 AM ET #27

    Nice bounce back week. 
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Nice bounce back week. 
     
    Jeremylynn21
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2017 - 4:09 PM ET #28

    So what's the pick tonight with the line change to Tenn -7

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    So what's the pick tonight with the line change to Tenn -7

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2017 - 4:37 PM ET #29

    So for tonight - if the line is -1.5 up to minus 5, the play was Tennessee, but since the line moved to minus 7.5, it flipped to Indy plus the points.  I'm going to double check tonight before the game to see if the fantasy projections have changed but so far it looks like

    Indy +7.5

     

     

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    So for tonight - if the line is -1.5 up to minus 5, the play was Tennessee, but since the line moved to minus 7.5, it flipped to Indy plus the points.  I'm going to double check tonight before the game to see if the fantasy projections have changed but so far it looks like

    Indy +7.5

     

     

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2017 - 11:42 PM ET #30

    Not a shabby week - 9-5 - 64% but should have been 10-4 Henry should have went down and Tennessee should kneeled it.  I don't know about you guys but I never see someone do that with a minute left.

    CAR -3 L

    ATL -10.5 L

    NYJ +9.5 W

    MIN +3.5 W

    SF +11 W

    CHI +6.5 W

    CLE +10.5 L

    NOR -4 W

    ARI +2.5 W

    LAR +2.5 W

    KC -3.5 L

    LAC +3.5 W

    NYG +12 W

    IND +7.5 L

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    Not a shabby week - 9-5 - 64% but should have been 10-4 Henry should have went down and Tennessee should kneeled it.  I don't know about you guys but I never see someone do that with a minute left.

    CAR -3 L

    ATL -10.5 L

    NYJ +9.5 W

    MIN +3.5 W

    SF +11 W

    CHI +6.5 W

    CLE +10.5 L

    NOR -4 W

    ARI +2.5 W

    LAR +2.5 W

    KC -3.5 L

    LAC +3.5 W

    NYG +12 W

    IND +7.5 L

     
    rivermonsterz
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2017 - 1:54 AM ET #31

    NOT TOO SHABBY?!?!?!

    9-5 64% is fucking fantastic - well done.

    What does that leave this method at for the season?

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    NOT TOO SHABBY?!?!?!

    9-5 64% is fucking fantastic - well done.

    What does that leave this method at for the season?

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2017 - 9:22 AM ET #32

    Season results:

    Week 1: 8-7 53%
    Week 2: 9-7 56%
    Week 3: 12-4 75%
    Week 4: 11-5 69%

    Week 5: 7-7 50%

    Week 6: 9-5 64%

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    Season results:

    Week 1: 8-7 53%
    Week 2: 9-7 56%
    Week 3: 12-4 75%
    Week 4: 11-5 69%

    Week 5: 7-7 50%

    Week 6: 9-5 64%

     
    therealdutch
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2017 - 10:25 AM ET #33

    61.5% on the season.  nicely done. 
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    61.5% on the season.  nicely done. 
     
    jeremylynn
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2017 - 5:41 PM ET #34

    Who ya got tonight bud?

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    Who ya got tonight bud?

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2017 - 6:48 PM ET #35

    Tonight's play per the method:

    OAK +3

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    Tonight's play per the method:

    OAK +3

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2017 - 11:56 PM ET #36

    Raiders had like 5 chances to lose and win that game on that last drive - crazy!

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    Raiders had like 5 chances to lose and win that game on that last drive - crazy!

     
    jeremylynn
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2017 - 8:19 AM ET #37

    Yea it was. Definitely on the edge of my seat 

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    Yea it was. Definitely on the edge of my seat 

     
    rivermonsterz
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    Posted: Oct. 20, 2017 - 9:29 AM ET #38

    That was fun!!!
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    That was fun!!!
     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Oct. 21, 2017 - 1:52 PM ET #39

    OAK +3 W

    NOR -4.5

    NYJ +3.5

    CIN +5.5

    IND +3.5

    BAL +5.5

    CHI +3.5

    ARI +3.5

    CLE +6.5

    BUF -3

    DAL -5.5

    NYG +6.5

    DEN +1.5

    ATL +3.5

    WAS +5.5

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    OAK +3 W

    NOR -4.5

    NYJ +3.5

    CIN +5.5

    IND +3.5

    BAL +5.5

    CHI +3.5

    ARI +3.5

    CLE +6.5

    BUF -3

    DAL -5.5

    NYG +6.5

    DEN +1.5

    ATL +3.5

    WAS +5.5

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Oct. 24, 2017 - 9:09 PM ET #40

    Tough square week with 10 favorites covering.  Rough one...

    OAK +3 W

    NOR -4.5 W

    NYJ +3.5 W

    CIN +5.5 L

    IND +3.5 L

    BAL +5.5 L

    CHI +3.5 W

    ARI +3.5 L

    CLE +6.5 W

    BUF -3 PUSH

    DAL -5.5 W

    NYG +6.5 L

    DEN +1.5 L

    ATL +3.5 L

    WAS +5.5 L

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    Tough square week with 10 favorites covering.  Rough one...

    OAK +3 W

    NOR -4.5 W

    NYJ +3.5 W

    CIN +5.5 L

    IND +3.5 L

    BAL +5.5 L

    CHI +3.5 W

    ARI +3.5 L

    CLE +6.5 W

    BUF -3 PUSH

    DAL -5.5 W

    NYG +6.5 L

    DEN +1.5 L

    ATL +3.5 L

    WAS +5.5 L

     
    Jeremylynn21
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    Posted: Oct. 26, 2017 - 5:44 AM ET #41

    I was really liking the dogs in them late games. Just didn't pan out. Hopefully a bounce back week. Mostly been looking at the picks and only taking the teams with less than 50% of the public on them and been doing pretty good. Last few weeks went 16-10-1 with that strategy. 

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    I was really liking the dogs in them late games. Just didn't pan out. Hopefully a bounce back week. Mostly been looking at the picks and only taking the teams with less than 50% of the public on them and been doing pretty good. Last few weeks went 16-10-1 with that strategy. 

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Oct. 26, 2017 - 5:18 PM ET #42

    Thursday night game

    MIA +3.5

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    Thursday night game

    MIA +3.5

     
    Jeremylynn21
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    Posted: Oct. 26, 2017 - 5:28 PM ET #43

    Who ya got tonight?

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    Who ya got tonight?

     
    Jeremylynn21
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    Posted: Oct. 26, 2017 - 5:29 PM ET #44

    Lol never mind 

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    Lol never mind 

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Oct. 28, 2017 - 10:26 PM ET #45

    MIN -9.5

    IND +10

    BUF -2.5

    NYJ +6

    CAR +2

    PHI -12

    LAC +7.5

    CHI +8.5

    SEA -5.5

    DAL -2

    PIT -3

    KC -7

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    MIN -9.5

    IND +10

    BUF -2.5

    NYJ +6

    CAR +2

    PHI -12

    LAC +7.5

    CHI +8.5

    SEA -5.5

    DAL -2

    PIT -3

    KC -7

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Oct. 30, 2017 - 11:44 PM ET #46

    Decent week 10-3 (77%) - still salty about last week though.

    MIA +3.5 L

    MIN -9.5 W

    IND +10 W

    BUF -2.5 W

    NYJ +6 W

    CAR +2 W

    PHI -12 W

    LAC +7.5 L

    CHI +8.5 W

    SEA -5.5 L

    DAL -2 W

    PIT -3 W

    KC -7 W

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    Decent week 10-3 (77%) - still salty about last week though.

    MIA +3.5 L

    MIN -9.5 W

    IND +10 W

    BUF -2.5 W

    NYJ +6 W

    CAR +2 W

    PHI -12 W

    LAC +7.5 L

    CHI +8.5 W

    SEA -5.5 L

    DAL -2 W

    PIT -3 W

    KC -7 W

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Oct. 31, 2017 - 10:43 AM ET #47

    Season results:

    Week 1: 8-7 53%
    Week 2: 9-7 56%
    Week 3: 12-4 75%
    Week 4: 11-5 69%

    Week 5: 7-7 50%

    Week 6: 9-5 64%

    Week 7: 6-8-1 43%

    Week 8: 10-3 77%

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    Season results:

    Week 1: 8-7 53%
    Week 2: 9-7 56%
    Week 3: 12-4 75%
    Week 4: 11-5 69%

    Week 5: 7-7 50%

    Week 6: 9-5 64%

    Week 7: 6-8-1 43%

    Week 8: 10-3 77%

     
    therealdutch
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    Posted: Oct. 31, 2017 - 11:32 AM ET #48

    keep up the good work. 

    question for you Degen - is it possible to run these earlier in the week?  lines seem to move by sunday making these hard to get in some cases.


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    keep up the good work. 

    question for you Degen - is it possible to run these earlier in the week?  lines seem to move by sunday making these hard to get in some cases.


     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Oct. 31, 2017 - 4:04 PM ET #49

    Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:

    keep up the good work.  question for you Degen - is it possible to run these earlier in the week?  lines seem to move by sunday making these hard to get in some cases.

    thanks therealdutch - so the problem with posting them earlier in the week is the fantasy projections change up to the day of the game - and sometimes that changes the pick

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    Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:

    keep up the good work.  question for you Degen - is it possible to run these earlier in the week?  lines seem to move by sunday making these hard to get in some cases.

    thanks therealdutch - so the problem with posting them earlier in the week is the fantasy projections change up to the day of the game - and sometimes that changes the pick

     
     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2017 - 6:41 PM ET #50

    Thursday nights night pick is a close one - so the pick is

    BUF -3

     

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    Thursday nights night pick is a close one - so the pick is

    BUF -3

     

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