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DegenGamble's NFL handicapping method

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Posted: #101

Saturday picks per the method

DET -4.5

SDG -1

 
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Posted: #102

NOR -15.5

JAX -10.5

PHI -7.5

MIA +3.5

BAL -6.5

MIN -11.5

ARI +4.5

CAR -2.5

LAR +1.5

PIT +3

TEN +2.5

DAL -2.5

ATL -6.5

 
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Posted: #103

Was hoping for a little better week 15 - 9-5-1 (60%)

 
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Posted: #104
Season results:
 
Week 1: 8-7 53%
Week 2: 9-7 56%
Week 3: 12-4 75%
Week 4: 11-5 69%
Week 5: 7-7 50%
Week 6: 9-5 64%
Week 7: 6-8-1 43%
Week 8: 10-3 77%
Week 9: 8-4-1 67%
Week 10: 8-6 57%
Week 11: 9-5 64%
Week 12: 13-3 81%
Week 13: 8-8 50%
Week 14 6-10 37%
Week 15 9-5-1 60%
 
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Posted: #105

Hello Degen, I'm all new to NBA-betting. Can I PM you about the excel-file NBA CHASE SYSTEMS V4 please.

I'm a 61 years old from Belgium. Sorry to post it here.

 
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Posted: #106

Quote Originally Posted by peetee9:

Hello Degen, I'm all new to NBA-betting. Can I PM you about the excel-file NBA CHASE SYSTEMS V4 please. I'm a 61 years old from Belgium. Sorry to post it here.

sorry Peetee - I really don’t have the time to update any spreadsheets - in fact I don’t really have time to post on the forum but I felt this method was very revealing and was hoping folks would take it, and develop it over time

 
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Posted: #107

Saturday picks per the method

BAL -12.5

MIN -8

also if your interested - I have been experimenting using the projections for leans on O/U - it’s projecting MIN/GB over 40.5

 
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Posted: #108
good luck this week
 
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Posted: #109

Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

QUOTE Originally Posted by peetee9: Hello Degen, I'm all new to NBA-betting. Can I PM you about the excel-file NBA CHASE SYSTEMS V4 please. I'm a 61 years old from Belgium. Sorry to post it here. sorry Peetee - I really don’t have the time to update any spreadsheets - in fact I don’t really have time to post on the forum but I felt this method was very revealing and was hoping folks would take it, and develop it over time

Hi DegenGamble, thanks for your answer. I'll see what I can do with the spreadsheet. Looked fine to me indeed. Sorry to disturb. 

Wish you al the best and Merry Christmas !!!

 
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Posted: #110

Week 16 Picks per the method

DEN +3.5

NOR -5.5

LAC -6.5

CHI -6.5

BUF +12.5

CAR -9.5

DET -3.5

TEN +6.5

KC -10.5

SF +4.5

NYG +4.5

SEA +5

PIT -9.5

OAK +8.5

 
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Posted: #111
Degen
What site do you use to set up your Fantasy Football League?

Thanks for your contribution and great results.
 
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Posted: #112

I’m getting really sick of these blown covers in the last moments of a game - this OAK one hurt - I was hoping for a 10-6 week

 
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Posted: #113

Week 16 results

9-7 56%

Really pissed about OAK - should have been a 10-6 week.

 
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Posted: #114
Season results:
 
Week 1: 8-7 53%
Week 2: 9-7 56%
Week 3: 12-4 75%
Week 4: 11-5 69%
Week 5: 7-7 50%
Week 6: 9-5 64%
Week 7: 6-8-1 43%
Week 8: 10-3 77%
Week 9: 8-4-1 67%
Week 10: 8-6 57%
Week 11: 9-5 64%
Week 12: 13-3 81%
Week 13: 8-8 50%
Week 14 6-10 37%
Week 15 9-5-1 60%
Week 16 9-7 56%
 
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Posted: #115
Week 17 Picks per the method

JAX +3
ATL -3.5
BAL -9
WAS -3
DET -6.5
MIN -12
CLE +6.5
NOR -6
DAL -2.5
IND -4.5
NE -15
BUF -2.5
SF -3
SEA -8.5
LAC -7.5
DEN -3.5

 
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Posted: #116

Week 17 results

10-6  62.5%

 
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Posted: #117
Season results:  overall 152-100-3 60.3% win rate for the season
 
Week 1: 8-7 53%
Week 2: 9-7 56%
Week 3: 12-4 75%
Week 4: 11-5 69%
Week 5: 7-7 50%
Week 6: 9-5 64%
Week 7: 6-8-1 43%
Week 8: 10-3 77%
Week 9: 8-4-1 67%
Week 10: 8-6 57%
Week 11: 9-5 64%
Week 12: 13-3 81%
Week 13: 8-8 50%
Week 14 6-10 37%
Week 15 9-6-1 60%
Week 16 9-7 56%
Week 17 10-6 62.5%
 
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Posted: #118
So that's all folks - I hope this thread inspires some creative handicapping methods using fantasy football predictive scores to help handicap NFL games.

It's far from perfect - I would love to see some folks track the predictive scores / stats and come up with a better way to translate how many fantasy points equates to real live points.
 
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Posted: #119

bottom line: 60%  (152 WINS)

the thread produced the winning edge

week #12 (13-3)

good job DG

 
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Posted: #120

we going to revive this again this season?

 
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Posted: #121
that was an awesome season!!! looking forward to another great year
 
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Posted: #122
Absolutely amazing!

I'd tip my hat, but that is hard to do over the Internet.
 
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Posted: #123

Hey fellow system/handicapping enthusiasts,

So its tough to post and track every week but i'll try to figure out a way to post my spreadsheet with my picks.  Maybe make it available on G-Drive and provide a link for folks to check it and maybe whoever is using it ca help post the plays from the spreadsheet.

I'll see what I can do.  Either way Thursday's pick is.....

ATL+3.5 - you can go down to ATL+1.5 and ATL is still the play.

 
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Posted: #124
Glad to see you back!
 
 
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Posted: #125

Picks for this weekend until I figure out the best way to share the picks via spreadsheet and g-drive

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