All Forums | Systems & Strategies

Hello all, anyone playing Stoffo's MLB dog system?

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 8476
Posts: 94
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2006
Posts: 1506
Posted: #76
Well needless to say yesterday sucked; 0-3 with all three games losing by one run......two plays for Thursday:

KC +119
Padres +128

Good luck tonight
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2006
Posts: 1506
Posted: #77
1-1 Thursday, I see four plays for Friday action:

Reds +109
Padres +130
Rockies +108
Cards +115

Good luck tonight
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2006
Posts: 1506
Posted: #78
Saturday plays:

Astros +120
A's +134
Padres +130
Rockies +123
Giants +121

Angels depending on the line movement....

Good luck
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 1033
Posted: #79
Hi Ken,
From memory last time Dan was tracking this system he used a filter called the dog eff score. Have you considered applying this your plays?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2006
Posts: 1506
Posted: #80
Nice 4-2 day Saturday, three plays today:

Twins +118
Padres +117
Rockies +130

Good luck guys
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2006
Posts: 1506
Posted: #81
[Quote: Originally Posted by rivermonsterz] Hi Ken,
From memory last time Dan was tracking this system he used a filter called the dog eff score. Have you considered applying this your plays? [/Quote
Hey River, I'm pretty much just going by the rules of the system. I may look into some filters as the season progresses.....if you or anyone out there have any suggestions in terms of improvement, lets hear it! Lol....good luck today.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2006
Posts: 1506
Posted: #82
System had a nice weekend going 6-3.....the week finished at 11-13 with .55 units lost. Week 5 starts today, 3 plays so far:

Phils +118
Yanks +108
Rangers +109

Reds are +153 at the moment, just over the +150 threshold.....they could turn into a play.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2012
Posts: 5921
Posted: #83
Quote Originally Posted by rivermonsterz:

Hi Ken,
From memory last time Dan was tracking this system he used a filter called the dog eff score. Have you considered applying this your plays?

I was using the Dog spreadsheet that Degan produced. No idea if that has been updated for 2016 but if someone has an updated copy of it, that would be great to share. I'd maybe even use that for a dog 2 team parlay system. 
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2006
Posts: 1506
Posted: #84
Bad Monday, system goes 0-3....three plays for Tuesday:

Twins +110
White Sox +117
Yanks +123

Good luck tonight
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2006
Posts: 342
Posted: #85
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:


"I'd maybe even use that for a dog 2 team parlay system". 
A parlay system , i might stay up tonight and update that sheet. I think I was probably 80% done early on in the season but was trying to automatically be able to fill in the # hits allowed columns so everything was automated. I will bring it up and have a look and send it to you DR to make sure it works properly
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2012
Posts: 5921
Posted: #86
Sounds good, I'll be happy to take a look. 
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2006
Posts: 1506
Posted: #87
Alright, 4 plays for Wednesday:

Rays +101
Reds +110
D'backs +134
Royals +134

Good luck
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2006
Posts: 1506
Posted: #88
System plays now 1-9 for the week starting Monday. Is it time to abandon ship? Or does anyone have any ideas or suggestions? 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 0
Posted: #89
Quote Originally Posted by kenkean89:

System plays now 1-9 for the week starting Monday. Is it time to abandon ship? Or does anyone have any ideas or suggestions? 

I'm new to the system and trying to tweak it a little for a little extra juice but from these last 3 days I have eliminated 3 games you picked for a few reasons:

Tuesday: No White Sox (playing Keuchel, top 40 pitcher last year)
Wednesday: No Royals (playing Price, top 40 pitcher last year)
Wednesday: No Reds (Indians scored 10+ the night before)

Obviously the more criteria you add in the harder and more time consuming it gets but I obviously am tracking top 40 pitchers last year and 10+ runs the night before.

All that being said, that would take your record to 1-6 (Still not good) and my record for the week isn't much better (2-12) so I think it's just a garbage week and I'm hoping it turns around


 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 1033
Posted: #90
Hi Ken,
A good way to determine how succesful an underdog system is, is to compare it to the overall performance of underdogs for the week. If dogs performed well, but your system performed poorly, then yes maybe it is time to abandon ship.
On the other hand if dogs performed poorly and the system also performed poorly, the verdict would still be out, and will depend on your risk tolerance whether you wish to continue playing.
Baseball is a long season with a lot of games and this can mean 3 things for a gambler.
1. There are loads of money making opportunities.
2. There will be a high degree of variance in results . 9-1 weeks but also 1-9 weeks. This is why any wagering for MLB should be statistically sound, and sufficent bankroll exists that you can afford to lose.
3. Following on from point 2 - there are lots of oppourtunites to lose your money. This one hurts the most.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2006
Posts: 1506
Posted: #91
Good points landphil and River......as I mentioned weeks ago I've read everything from this system kills to you'll be living under a bridge! Lol...

Three plays tonight:

Rockies
Dodgers
Yankees

Rockies obviously started, sorry running around getting ready to head to Pimlico tomorrow for the weekend....good luck tonight!
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2006
Posts: 1506
Posted: #92
Anyone gonna be at the Preakness Saturday?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 51
Posted: #93
Quote Originally Posted by jenjay23:

...makes sense, wish i could get USAToday's sagarin to import properly so I don't have to look it up.
Thanks DR


jenjay I use the following links in my excel spreadsheet using web data import for a daily look at sagarin's ratings. When you set it up, say yes to all script errors; scroll down the page about halfway to the selection arrows on left margin for each league. Also if you want more info. BOL

https://www.usatoday.com/sports/mlb/sagarin/2016/al-pitcher/
https://www.usatoday.com/sports/mlb/sagarin/2016/nl-pitcher/
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 51
Posted: #94
I have used this system for many years. Some years are better than others. If you are looking for fast big bucks this is not for you. Play a constant amount always; don't rate your plays as one is better than another. It supplements other plays you make and can be a great boost to your overall bottom line but follow the rules and you should be OK. Many have tried to add filters and some work for awhile and many don't for long.
All Forums | Systems & Strategies
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.