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I know what you´re gonna say, its just another chase system...

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Posted: #126
good start to the year ... lets keep it rolling .... thankgod we saved some units on hustons horrible start
 
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Posted: #127
Quote Originally Posted by jakeandba:

Ok been reading the thread and just wanted to make sure i understand the system:

 

When a level 1 team is playing a level 1 team take the home team to win and chase until they win one of the three or four game series or the series ends correct?

When a level 2 home team is playing a level 1, then wait for the result for the 1st game. If there is a win, the chase stops.  If the home team loses, the chase is on.  When a level 2 home team is either playing a level 2 or 3, play the first game until the home team wins or the series wins.

If group 3 plays a higher group, then wait to play after the first game.  If the result from 1st game is a win, the series is closed.  If 1st game is a loss then the chase is on.  If group 3 plays each other, play the first game and the chase is on.

 When playing Favs above -175 or higher,play the RL. 

Question, if this -175 is a group 1 vs a group 2 or 3, is this when the RL is played?

If the -175 RL is played and team from group 1 wins by 1 the series is closed correct?

Anything i missed? 

 

Dont see anything on the first glance that you could have missed, just read the other posts regarding the special situations with some clubs during the first weeks because of having the same win% last year...just come back to check the plays, you should be save then

 
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Posted: #128
Quote Originally Posted by Blue_Chips:

 

2 out of 3

 

 

Yeah, its still rollin...but have to be honest, I would have never expected HOU to screw it up sooooooo bad...wow...saw the game yesterday and I was shocked...

 
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Posted: #129

YTD 20-10

+11.62 UNITS

Yesterday 2-1

+ 2.4 UNITS

 

Yesterday was a good round-up of the week, making us 11.62 UNITS within the first week of the system...when you ask me was that a good week compared to last year, I would say yes...

 

Lets hope it keeps on rolling like this, todays picks will follow later...

 

BOL folks

 
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Posted: #130

Quote Originally Posted by payday000:

good start to the year ... lets keep it rolling .... thankgod we saved some units on hustons horrible start

 

Yeah, HOU is definately a fade-team as of now...I dont see them winning a game on the road either...lets see and make some

 
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Posted: #131

YTD 20-10

+11.62 UNITS

Yesterday 2-1

+ 2.4 UNITS

 

Allright, ready for the start into week 2 with unfortunately a lot of RL games due to high home favs...dont play FLA, MIN and TOR due to the discussed win%-problem from last year, should be solved within the next 2 weeks...

 

Ok, here we go:

 

CHC -143 @ Matchbook, Risking 1.43 UNTIS to win 1 UNIT

PHI (RL), -126 @ Matchbook, Risking 1.26 UNITS to win 1 UNIT

STL (RL), even @ Matchbook, Risking 1 UNIT to win 1 UNIT

SF (RL), +128 @ Matchbook, Risking 1 UNIT to win 1.28 UNITS

DET (RL), +112 @ Matchbook, Risking 1 UNIT to win 1.12 UNITS

SEA -116 @ Matchbook, Risking 1.16 UNITS to win 1 UNIT

 

The one line that does definately not have any Value in a classical way is PHI, but a system is a system...lets hope we can clear the board pretty quickly...

 

BOL everyone, comments welcome!

 
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Posted: #132

Oh man, I would love to play MIN...I really think they will win here...so if anyone is looking for a play besides the system...getting +140 at home is just looking to good to be passed....

not a system play though...

 
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Posted: #133

I made a mistake, I also have to take FLO to win 1 UNIT @ -138.

They are a team that could be in two groups, but since they are the home team and could be in 1 or 2 and the visitor (CIN) is definately in 2 it doesnt make a difference...

 

Sorry for that!

 
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Posted: #134
 
Prospect
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Posted: #135
JUST ASKING WHY NOT SANDOG
 
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Posted: #136

Quote Originally Posted by jay1234:

JUST ASKING WHY NOT SANDOG

 

Unfortunately once again not a clear setup, SD, OAK and TOR are all the same and you can argue wether group 2 or 3...it piss*s me off too, hope this phase is over soon...although those decisions not to take some games has paid off so far...I will just stick to this, give us 10 more games and we can get into the current standings...and we can get rid of the old ones...

 

GL everyone

 
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Posted: #137
 
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Posted: #138
so the plays will be listed here all season?
 
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Posted: #139

GOOD JOB CALL82  BOL 

 
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Posted: #140
Quote Originally Posted by jakeandba:

so the plays will be listed here all season?


Thats my plan, no promisses but I will try my best...

@ all: I hope someone took advantage of that weird MIN line....as said before, that one seemed pretty nice...anyway, with SF leading 6-2 in the bottom of the 6th, I guess we can count that night as a 4-3 victory...lets see how it ends...
 
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Posted: #141

YTD 24-13

+12.36 UNITS

Yesterday 4-3

+ 0.74 UNITS

 

Another solid day without any major changes in the bankroll...I am glad 3/4 of the RL came in, those can get nasty over the course of a series...(Look back at TB). Todays plays will follow later,

 

GL everyone

 
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Posted: #142

Call 82,

Really like the system, following along and also trying to use your principles as a filter in my other two systems.  The hardest part this early in the season is that teams haven't really revealed themselves as great, good, or crap.  There are a lot of inflated lines right now.. Anyway, wanted to ask you one question.  What have you found when tier 1 teams go on the road, esp vs. a tier 2 or 3 team, sorry if you have already addressed this but I didn't see it as I was going through the previous posts.

 
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Posted: #143
Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

Call 82,

Really like the system, following along and also trying to use your principles as a filter in my other two systems.  The hardest part this early in the season is that teams haven't really revealed themselves as great, good, or crap.  There are a lot of inflated lines right now.. Anyway, wanted to ask you one question.  What have you found when tier 1 teams go on the road, esp vs. a tier 2 or 3 team, sorry if you have already addressed this but I didn't see it as I was going through the previous posts.

 

To be honest I havent filtered the results in such a detailed form...what I figured during the course of last season is that the distribution of the UNITS won is basically pretty eaqual with all three groups, mainly due to the lines given. i hope that helps....

 

The more I think about it I would say (only guts feeling though), that you should make the most money with these kind of set-ups where a tier 1 team is on the road...the sweeping %age ist much higher but the lines should be much better in total...what do you think?

 
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Posted: #144

Wow folks, today is going to be the biggest card as of now...I had only 1 day during the whole last season where more UNITS were on the table...and that one was a blast, having 7 games in the series final fro 4 units each and 6 made it...with 5 beeing dogs...that was the best payday ever for me...lets see how things are going today...heres the card:

LAD RL +125; Risking 1 UNIT to win 1.25 UNITS

FLO -120; Risking 2.4 UNITS to win 2 UNITS

COL -140; Risking 1.4 UNITS to win 1 UNIT

DET -131; Risking 2.62 UNITS to win 2 UNITS

NYY RL +105; Risking 1 UNIT to win 1.05 UNITS

BAL +108; Risking 1 UNIT to win 1.08 UNITS

TOR -111; Risking 1.11 UNITS to win 1 UNIT

SEA +115; Risking 2 UNITS to win 2.3 UNITS

 

We are definately due for a bad day...System has been running hot lately,I really hope it wont be in this series and especially not today...lets see how things will come out...

 

BOL for everyone...

 

 
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Posted: #145
Quote Originally Posted by Call82:

 

To be honest I havent filtered the results in such a detailed form...what I figured during the course of last season is that the distribution of the UNITS won is basically pretty eaqual with all three groups, mainly due to the lines given. i hope that helps....

 

The more I think about it I would say (only guts feeling though), that you should make the most money with these kind of set-ups where a tier 1 team is on the road...the sweeping %age ist much higher but the lines should be much better in total...what do you think?

Yea, that is what I was thinking.  Just more opportunity to make money off of the good teams.  Might be something to keep an eye on for a couple of weeks to see how it hits.  Looks like anytime a tier 1 goes into houston may want to strongly consider it???

 
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Posted: #146
So far this season playing Tier 1 on the road vs Tier 3 teams would be undefeated with all hitting at least one game on the -1.5 line
 
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Posted: #147
Good job,82.  With you on all but 2 today, as the LAD pick clashes with another system I use, and the BAL pick doesn't pass my filter rule. 
 
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Posted: #148

One more thing I just realised I havent been talking about that is really important: Postponed Games and Double-Headers!

 

Double-Headers shouldnt be a problem for you guys since its daytime in the US when these are held. In Germany its night when these games are played and I always have problems taking care of those, but I think there is something like if-bets, would be great if someone could give me a little help here, dont really know much about the way they work.

 

Postponed games are a bigger problem, as they might be played at a totally different time. Once a game of a series is postponed, I will stop playing this series and wont bet that game at a later time, since we might have a completely new situation. I hope you know what I am talking about.

 

That just came to my mind and I havent talked about it yet...

 

Anyway, GL everyone...

 

 
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Posted: #149

Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

So far this season playing Tier 1 on the road vs Tier 3 teams would be undefeated with all hitting at least one game on the -1.5 line

 

I think you are definately up to something there, would be great if you could keep that in mind and track it...might be a nice adding...

 
 
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Posted: #150
IF BETS   THEY HAVE      IF WIN OR TIE    OR JUST IF WIN       I CAN DO UP TO 5 TEAMS   IF TEAM 1 WINS THEN U HAVE A BET ON TEAM 2 IF TEAM 2 WINS THEN U HAVE A BET ON TEAM 3 AND JUST REPEAT IT U CAN CHANGE THE AMOUNT U BET ON ALL GAMES MORE OR LESS IF U PLAY IF WIN AND THERE IS A TIE THEN U HAVE NO BETS ON THE REST OF YOUR GAMES AND IN ANY OF THE IF WIN BETS A  TEAMS LOSES U HAVE NO BETS ON THE REST
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