I know what you´re gonna say, its just another chase system...

Call 82,

I will be keeping an eye on those games.  Will also be interesting to see once the tiers are updated.  Will let you know in a week or so how it is going.

NICE TUESDAY.THANKS CALL82  BOL TODAY

YTD 30-15

+18.56 UNITS

Yesterday 6-2

+ 6.2 UNITS

Wow, that was a wild ride yesterday....was watching the Tigers game until the end of the 6th inning and I was pissed badly...went to bed then (was around 10pm in germany) and when I woke up I check the scores and was like "HELL YEAH"

Both losses came in the extra innings, that sucks but I hope they will be able to turn things around, especially Florida since they are the first 4 UNIT game of the season...last year, the 4 UNIT games went 16-2 in the whole season so hopefully the statistics wont let us down here...dont feel like playing a 8 UNIT one tomorrow...

Anyway, here are the games for today:

BAL +136 Risking 2 UNITS to win 2.72 UNITS

CLE +104 Risking 1 UNIT to win 1.04 UNITS

FLO -127 Risking 5.08 UNITS to win 4 UNITS

BOL everyone, I wont be around for the rest of the day, wish you all the best of luck

Quote Originally Posted by jay1234:

O's told u not to bet them

You said that and you were right in this case, you argued with the non-existent bullpen and said the same about Florida, I really hope you played them though

Anyway, when I look at this play from a statistical/value perspective and I see BAL in a spot of having lost the first 2 games of a series and getting them in the thirs at home for +130, I would always play them again, history tells you that they will win more than 50% of those games and +130 is definately a big value play there...

Anyway, in total it was a plus day again so I wont complain

YTD 31-17

+19.56 UNITS

Yesterday 1-2

+ 1.0 UNITS

Another day, another UNIT made

Things are really going well right now, just checked the history and have to say this was the best start of a season ever since I backtested...

Todays games will follow...

Well obviously I didnt bet it but you are free to count it as you want...I will just bet 1 UNIT since I didnt lose a UNIT on them yet.

BOL everyone

Todays Picks:

OAK -145 Risking 1.45 UNITS to win 1 UNIT

CLE even Risking 1 UNIT to win 1 UNIT

BOL everyone

Call 82, I really love your system.  I hope you don't mind me posting this here but I am a numbers guy so I backtested your system (well sort of...)

Here is what I found.  Last year in the AL I found 82 sweeps. 63 of these were by the Home Team.  In instances where one team was going for a sweep in the last game of the series they were 82-66 (55.4%).  If every team plays about 50 series per year, there was a sweep in about 11% of series.  I ran this until 9/15.

Here are the home teams that were swept by the visiting team

Home Team             Swept by:

BAL (tier 3)--        BOS (1), NYY (1)

TB (2)---              DET(2)

TOR (3)--             FLA (2), BOS (1)

CLE (3)--             DET (2), CHW (2), TEX (1)

DET (2)--            BOS (1)

KC (3)--              TB (2), LAA (1), MIN (2), LAA (1)

MIN (2)---            NYY (1), LAA (1)

OAK (3)--           SEA (2), CLE (3), NYY (1)

TEX (1)--            OAK (3)

**Tier 3 team at home against a visiting tier 1 team= 33/33**

As you can see only 1 team (OAK) would have beaten a team on higher tier at home. 

Playing all home teams = 303-19

Playing all home teams + tier 1 on road vs 3 = 336-19

Playing all Tier 1/2 teams at home = 207-5

"   "  with Tier 1 vs Tier 3 at home =   240-5

Playing all Tier 1 teams at home and road vs 3 = 125-1

Obviously, selection of the tiers is key.  These are some great numbers and this is only accounting for AL games.  Just wanted to send a congrats.  Since I crunched all these numbers I figured I would share them.