I do like the PIT bet - if they stay a DOG i'm all over it. Let's hope.
You got McDonald (PIT) - ranked 3rd in Cat A on Sagarin Rating
VS
Vades ranked 6th in Cat B on Sagarin Rating.
Irage - do you think instead of ERA filter - it would be better to use the Sagarin ranking filter?
So basically use all the other filters you outlined and use the Sagarin Ratings to make the final cut.
So for example today
MIL vs CIN - would have taken MIL is the DOG with Greinke having the better rank AND CIN was going for the sweep.
Result:W
NYM vs CHC - Cubs were the DOG but they were going for the sweep - plus NYM had a slighlty better pitcher rating
Result: Would have laid off because of sweep and pitching ADV
OAK vs SEA - SEA the DOG - has better pitching edge
Result: TBD - but I took em
PIT vs PHI - PIT the DOG - Mcd has a huge pitching edge on Valdes - as long as PIT stays the DOG - i'm all over it
Result: TBD
SDP vs HOU - SDP the DOG - but only has a slight edge per Sagarin rating on HOU - this would be a use your discretion - but probably lay off
Result: Prob lay off
I do like the PIT bet - if they stay a DOG i'm all over it. Let's hope.
You got McDonald (PIT) - ranked 3rd in Cat A on Sagarin Rating
VS
Vades ranked 6th in Cat B on Sagarin Rating.
Irage - do you think instead of ERA filter - it would be better to use the Sagarin ranking filter?
So basically use all the other filters you outlined and use the Sagarin Ratings to make the final cut.
So for example today
MIL vs CIN - would have taken MIL is the DOG with Greinke having the better rank AND CIN was going for the sweep.
Result:W
NYM vs CHC - Cubs were the DOG but they were going for the sweep - plus NYM had a slighlty better pitcher rating
Result: Would have laid off because of sweep and pitching ADV
OAK vs SEA - SEA the DOG - has better pitching edge
Result: TBD - but I took em
PIT vs PHI - PIT the DOG - Mcd has a huge pitching edge on Valdes - as long as PIT stays the DOG - i'm all over it
Result: TBD
SDP vs HOU - SDP the DOG - but only has a slight edge per Sagarin rating on HOU - this would be a use your discretion - but probably lay off
Result: Prob lay off
HEY, you know what I love about this strategy. ALL THE WINNERS! Juice is low, so we make coin.
It's far rom perfect, but we will get dialed in.
THE DOG AND PONY SHOW!
1. No bet if the line is higher than -110 for either team.
Some exceptions made for -111, but I'll review as needed.
2. Wait for the line movements to stop, some times moves happen up to 2-3 minutes before game time.
3. Take the DOG
4. Avoid games where the DOG is going to sweep a series.
5. Avoid games where there is a lot of line movement.
6/3 - Phillies - LOSS
6/3 - Brewers - LOSS
6/3 - Rangers - WIN
6/3 - Cardinals - LOSS
6/5 - Toronto - WIN
6/5 - Padres - WIN
6/8 - Washington - WIN
6/8 - Tampa Bay - WIN
6/10 - Cleveland - WIN
6/10 - Dodgers - WIN
6/12 - Oakland - WIN
6/12 - Philly - LOSS
6/13 - Boston v Miami - NO PLAY Weird Line Movements
6/13 - Brewers - LOSS
6/15 - Brewers - WIN
6/16 - Phillies - LOSS
6/18 - Brewers - WIN
6/18 - Giants - WIN
6/22 - St. Louis - WIN
6/22 - Seattle - LOSS
6/23 - Houston - WIN
6/25 - Kansas City - WIN
6/25 - Minnesota - WIN
6/25 - Oakland - WIN
6/27 - Cincinnati - LOSS
6/27 - Pittsburgh - WIN
HEY, you know what I love about this strategy. ALL THE WINNERS! Juice is low, so we make coin.
It's far rom perfect, but we will get dialed in.
THE DOG AND PONY SHOW!
1. No bet if the line is higher than -110 for either team.
Some exceptions made for -111, but I'll review as needed.
2. Wait for the line movements to stop, some times moves happen up to 2-3 minutes before game time.
3. Take the DOG
4. Avoid games where the DOG is going to sweep a series.
5. Avoid games where there is a lot of line movement.
6/3 - Phillies - LOSS
6/3 - Brewers - LOSS
6/3 - Rangers - WIN
6/3 - Cardinals - LOSS
6/5 - Toronto - WIN
6/5 - Padres - WIN
6/8 - Washington - WIN
6/8 - Tampa Bay - WIN
6/10 - Cleveland - WIN
6/10 - Dodgers - WIN
6/12 - Oakland - WIN
6/12 - Philly - LOSS
6/13 - Boston v Miami - NO PLAY Weird Line Movements
6/13 - Brewers - LOSS
6/15 - Brewers - WIN
6/16 - Phillies - LOSS
6/18 - Brewers - WIN
6/18 - Giants - WIN
6/22 - St. Louis - WIN
6/22 - Seattle - LOSS
6/23 - Houston - WIN
6/25 - Kansas City - WIN
6/25 - Minnesota - WIN
6/25 - Oakland - WIN
6/27 - Cincinnati - LOSS
6/27 - Pittsburgh - WIN
Degen,
Is there a site where you can see Sagarin ratings on a day to day basis (to backtest)? I can only seem to find the ratings that are updated
Degen,
Is there a site where you can see Sagarin ratings on a day to day basis (to backtest)? I can only seem to find the ratings that are updated
Irage, I am also loving this system. It is money. Thanks for the filters and thanks to Degen for the updates.
Any thoughts on Pitt becoming the dog by game time? The pitching match-up sure favours Pit.
Irage, I am also loving this system. It is money. Thanks for the filters and thanks to Degen for the updates.
Any thoughts on Pitt becoming the dog by game time? The pitching match-up sure favours Pit.
Pit was off for me, but I agree with gbpack, had Pitt become the Dog I might have taken it.
If you don't see it listed here, it's off for me.
Watch that Pads v Astros game. If Houston becomes the DOG they will be the play. The only reason they are favored is because of that ERA. Either way I think Houston is the play, at least they can get to the ball.
The other game is Boston v Seattle. Seattle sucks and Boston has been slumping. Pitching is near even, but hitting favors the Sox. Right now the line is even, Boston is the play if the line stays even or if they become the DOG. I don't expect much line movement, because most gamblers aren't going to see any value in this game, but I do.
Pit was off for me, but I agree with gbpack, had Pitt become the Dog I might have taken it.
If you don't see it listed here, it's off for me.
Watch that Pads v Astros game. If Houston becomes the DOG they will be the play. The only reason they are favored is because of that ERA. Either way I think Houston is the play, at least they can get to the ball.
The other game is Boston v Seattle. Seattle sucks and Boston has been slumping. Pitching is near even, but hitting favors the Sox. Right now the line is even, Boston is the play if the line stays even or if they become the DOG. I don't expect much line movement, because most gamblers aren't going to see any value in this game, but I do.
HEY, you know what I love about this strategy. ALL THE WINNERS! Juice is low, so we make coin.
It's far rom perfect, but we will get dialed in.
THE DOG AND PONY SHOW!
1. No bet if the line is higher than -110 for either team.
Some exceptions made for -111, but I'll review as needed.
2. Wait for the line movements to stop, some times moves happen up to 2-3 minutes before game time.
3. Take the DOG
4. Avoid games where the DOG is going to sweep a series.
5. Avoid games where there is a lot of line movement.
HEY, you know what I love about this strategy. ALL THE WINNERS! Juice is low, so we make coin.
It's far rom perfect, but we will get dialed in.
THE DOG AND PONY SHOW!
1. No bet if the line is higher than -110 for either team.
Some exceptions made for -111, but I'll review as needed.
2. Wait for the line movements to stop, some times moves happen up to 2-3 minutes before game time.
3. Take the DOG
4. Avoid games where the DOG is going to sweep a series.
5. Avoid games where there is a lot of line movement.
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