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Kreatture's Playbook 2011

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Posted: #776
the Tsonga match is up at bet365
 
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Posted: #777
Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

BANKROLL: $10,139.12
OVERALL RECORD: 121-124-8  (49.39%)

INVESTED: $64,545.25
RETURNED: $64,684.37
PROFIT: +$139.12
ROI %: +0.22%


NHL

Montreal Canadians  -0.5 (+126) (regulation)
3% $304.17 to win $383.25

Dallas Stars  ML (+110) (OT included)
1% $101.39 to win $111.53


NBA

Parley  (-149)
San Antonio Spurs  ML (-476)
Golden State Warriors  ML (-263)
3.5% $354.87 to win $238.17

NY Knicks/San Antonio Spurs  Under 213.5 (-110)
2% $202.78 to win $184.35

Sacramento Kings/Golden State Warriors  Over 214.5 (-110)
2% $202.78 to win $184.35


NCAAB

Siena Saints/St. Peters Peacocks  Over 122 (-110)
1.5% $152.09 to win $138.26


AUSTRALIAN OPEN  -  4th Round

Parley  (+518)
Jo Wilfried Tsonga  (-200) (men's)
Nadia Petrova  (-175) (women's)
Samantha Stosur  (-200) (women's)
Jurgen Melzer  (-133) (men's)
1.5% $152.09 to win $787.83


Couldn't help the late posting tonight.. all are still available except the Spurs game which just began. I'll be Live Betting Tennis tonight instead of playing Individual Matches. It will likely be Set Betting involving possibly Chasing Tsonga and Petrova to win Sets, depending on what kind of odds are up.

Back above Even.. Let's Do This 
 
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Posted: #778
Hey K, did you get my PM from the other day, I know your busy, I was just wondering if you had a chance to read it.
 
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Posted: #779
The Tsonga match is the early one I wanted.. damn. If Zvonareva loses this 2nd Set Tiebreak, there may be an opportunity for the 3rd Set..

Yes I'm sure I did, altho I don't remember it right off. I've received a number of PM's this week and it'll probably be tomorrow afternoon or Sunday before I have a chance to go over them and reply. I definitely will tho.
 
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Posted: #780
I'm sure you do receive a tonne of PM's.  I appreciate you taking the time to read, thanks!

You see any opportunity with the Knicks/Spurs 2nd half?
 
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Posted: #781
Zvonareva just escaped with her life after a controversial call goes her way and the chair umpire makes a crucial judgment call (albeit it seems like the correct call). She wins the Tiebreak 11-9, pretty awesome rallies. There has been some incredibly entertaining tennis is these early rounds of this Australian Open. It should only get better!

The Andy Murray and Kim Clijsters matches are coming up next for Live Betting on Sports Interaction and neither will likely present any value unless one loses the 1st Set.. even then I doubt the odds will be worthwhile.
If the Nadia Petrova match is available to anyone, my plan for that was to play 'Petrova To Win 1st Set' for 1%.. followed by 'To Win 2nd Set' for another 1%. If she loses a Set, then play 'To Win Next Set' for 3%.
Same plan for the Jurgen Melzer and Samantha Stosur matches later tonight (3am EST) but I definitely will not be awake then.

Doesn't look like much opportunity for the Live Betting on Sports Interaction tonight, so I'm going to log off and watch a movie, then hit the hay. I have a splitting headache anyway.

Picks tomorrow will be posted by 4pm EST with no additions as I'm going out tomorrow night.

Good Luck and have a good night 


 
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Posted: #782
Quote Originally Posted by oilcountry99:



You see any opportunity with the Knicks/Spurs 2nd half?


Haven't watched even a second of any other game tonight, don't even know any scores other than Montreal was up 5-1 in the 2nd.
I don't usually make Halftime Wagers without having watched the last 5min of the 2nd Quarter, but if the Spurs are trailing I would take them to cover the 2nd Half. Other than that, no.

Head is poundin, headin to the bedroom for a quiet movie. Black Swan sounds good tonight, been wanting to see it.

Cheers 
 
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Posted: #783
Habs cruising 6-1.  Gotta figure this is it for Clouston after tonight.  Two spankings back to back, when he was already on the hot seat.
 
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Posted: #784

Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

BANKROLL: $10,139.12
OVERALL RECORD: 121-124-8  (49.39%)

INVESTED: $64,545.25
RETURNED: $64,684.37
PROFIT: +$139.12
ROI %: +0.22%


NHL

Montreal Canadians  -0.5 (+126) (regulation)    
3% $304.17 to win $383.25

Dallas Stars  ML (+110) (OT included)    
1% $101.39 to win $111.53


NBA

Parley  (-149)    
San Antonio Spurs  ML (-476)
Golden State Warriors  ML (-263)
3.5% $354.87 to win $238.17

NY Knicks/San Antonio Spurs  Under 213.5 (-110)    
2% $202.78 to win $184.35

Sacramento Kings/Golden State Warriors  Over 214.5 (-110)    
2% $202.78 to win $184.35


NCAAB

Siena Saints/St. Peters Peacocks  Over 122 (-110)    
1.5% $152.09 to win $138.26


AUSTRALIAN OPEN  -  4th Round

Parley  (+518)    
Jo Wilfried Tsonga  (-200) (men's)
Nadia Petrova  (-175) (women's)
Samantha Stosur  (-200) (women's)
Jurgen Melzer  (-133) (men's)
1.5% $152.09 to win $787.83

 

 
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Posted: #785

BANKROLL: $11,014.02
OVERALL RECORD: 126-126-8  (50%)

INVESTED: $66,015.42
RETURNED: $67,029.44
PROFIT: +$1,014.02
ROI %: +1.54%

Was a great night, despite finally getting crushed in Tennis! Was watching the Tsonga match and he had complete momentum after winning the 3rd Set to go up 2-1, so I was quite shocked to see him then get steamrolled 6-1, 6-1 in 4 and 5. I was even more shocked to see Petrova lose and then Stosur when I woke up this morning. Those were 2 pretty big upsets, imo. It's a good thing I was unable to Live Bet those matches!

That Golden State was crazy, down 99-90 with 3:03 to play, it didn't look good.. but the Kings missed so many free throws at the end and allowed the Warriors to hit a jumper with 0.9secs left to force OT. It was an OT rout from there as I have to say it was "lucky" to hit the Side and Total on that one. Hey, I'll take lucky anyday.

Back up over 11K now and don't forget the Future on Green Bay winning tomorrow is still there. A Packers victory adds another $1200 onto things. It's been a very profitable week after hitting a low point during NFL Sunday. It's nice to be able to have the ability to focus and bounce back after admitting you've made a mistake on a few selections. I always try to tell it like it is and I don't shy away from things when I was wrong about something.

Not sure what I'll have today, I have a feeling I'm not going to have much free time.. and my cut-off tonight is 4pm EST (4hours from now) as I won't be home tonight. I know I have 2 Tennis Upsets for tonight (Na/Verdasco) and a 2-man UFC126 Parley (Jones/Silva), and I'll try to get to work on some other things.

Cheers 

 
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Posted: #786

I" know I have 2 Tennis Upsets for tonight (Na/Verdasco) and a 2-man UFC126 Parley (Jones/Silva)"

 

Are you just locking it in now since both those lines will likely go up?  Those fights aren't until February 5th.

 
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Posted: #787

For some reason I thought the UFC was tonight.. have actually thought it was this weekend for about 2 weeks now for some reason 

I have not locked the Tennis picks in yet, will be doing that shortly.

 
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Posted: #788

BANKROLL: $11,014.02
OVERALL RECORD: 126-126-8  (50%)

INVESTED: $66,015.42
RETURNED: $67,029.44
PROFIT: +$1,014.02
ROI %: +1.54%

NHL

Chicago Blackhawks  ML (+105) (OT included)
2% $220.28 to win $231.29

Boston Bruins  ML (-104) (OT included)
1% $110.14 to win $105.90

 

These are afternoon starts.

 
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Posted: #789

BANKROLL: $11,014.02
OVERALL RECORD: 126-126-8  (50%)

INVESTED: $66,015.42
RETURNED: $67,029.44
PROFIT: +$1,014.02
ROI %: +1.54%

NHL

Chicago Blackhawks  ML (+105) (OT included)
2% $220.28 to win $231.29

Boston Bruins  ML (-104) (OT included)
1% $110.14 to win $105.90

AUSTRALIAN OPEN  -  Round of 16

Li Na  (-118) (women's)
1.25% $137.68 to win $116.68

Fernando Verasco  (+140) (men's)
1% $110.14 to win $154.20

 
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Posted: #790
The Tennis is 4th Round play, sorry.
 
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Posted: #791
I'm wondering if you have any feel for a futures bet on the outright winner, either men or women.

Much appreciated!
 
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Posted: #792
Fight for the troops tonight... I like Matt the Meathead Mitrione tonight but the price is insane so I'll just be enjoying it without wagers.
 
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Posted: #793
I really like the line on Pens -.5 regulation on Pinny at +119.  What do you think?
 
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Posted: #794

NHL

Anaheim Ducks  ML (+115)
2% $220.28 to win $253.32

Carolina Hurricanes  ML (+125)
1% $110.14 to win $137.68

NY Rangers/Atlanta Thrashers  Over 5.5 (+105)
1% $110.14 to win $115.65

Los Angeles Kings  ML (+110)
1% $110.14 to win $121.15

San Jose Sharks  -1.5 (+170)
2% $220.28 to win $374.48

San Jose Sharks  Team Total Over 2.5 (-147)
1.5% $165.21 to win $112.39

 
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Posted: #795

Quote Originally Posted by mickjam:

I'm wondering if you have any feel for a futures bet on the outright winner, either men or women.

Much appreciated!

I have little doubt Kim Clijsters will take the crown on the women's side.. I should have grabbed a Future before now on it, as it's lost a lot of value now (just +125ish).

I like Federer at +170 on the men's side, but again I don't feel there's much value there.

Those were my 2 picks to start the Open, but I didn't jump on the Futures at that point. I'm not typically a Futures player, unless I really like a long shot to go the distance.

 
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Posted: #796

Quote Originally Posted by mickjam:

I really like the line on Pens -.5 regulation on Pinny at +119.  What do you think?

I'd say I don't like it much at all, seeing how I'm on Carolina at +120 

 
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Posted: #797

NBA

Dallas Mavericks  -4.5 (-105)
2% $220.28 to win $209.79

That's going to be it, no more time to cap the NBA, and I have a lean for Notre Dame -3.5 in NCAAB but out of time to complete the thought process.

Chicago looking good in the 3rd period now up 4-1 to start the day!

Good Luck tonight.

Cheers 

 
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Posted: #798
I loved Chicago/Boston but sometimes, lines just look too fishy for me. (Example: Dallas last night).
 
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Posted: #799
Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:

I loved Chicago/Boston but sometimes, lines just look too fishy for me. (Example: Dallas last night).

aka  "too good to be true" lines
 
 
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Posted: #800
Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

BANKROLL: $11,014.02
OVERALL RECORD: 126-126-8  (50%)

INVESTED: $66,015.42
RETURNED: $67,029.44
PROFIT: +$1,014.02
ROI %: +1.54%

NHL

Chicago Blackhawks  ML (+105) (OT included) 
2% $220.28 to win $231.29

Boston Bruins  ML (-104) (OT included) 
1% $110.14 to win $105.90

Anaheim Ducks  ML (+115) 
2% $220.28 to win $253.32

Carolina Hurricanes  ML (+125) 
1% $110.14 to win $137.68

NY Rangers/Atlanta Thrashers  Over 5.5 (+105) 
1% $110.14 to win $115.65

Los Angeles Kings  ML (+110) 
1% $110.14 to win $121.15

San Jose Sharks  -1.5 (+170) 
2% $220.28 to win $374.48

San Jose Sharks  Team Total Over 2.5 (-147) 
1.5% $165.21 to win $112.39

NBA

Dallas Mavericks  -4.5 (-105) 
2% $220.28 to win $209.79

AUSTRALIAN OPEN  -  Round of 16

Li Na  (-118) (women's) 
1.25% $137.68 to win $116.68

Fernando Verasco  (+140) (men's) 
1% $110.14 to win $154.20



BANKROLL: $11,183.77
OVERALL RECORD: 132-131-8  (50.19%)

INVESTED: $67,750.13
RETURNED: $68,933.90
PROFIT: +$1,183.77
ROI %: +1.75%
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