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Kreatture's Playbook 2011

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Posted: #801
Good luck on GB! Big game for you!
 
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Posted: #802
BANKROLL: $11,183.77
OVERALL RECORD: 132-131-8  (50.19%)

INVESTED: $67,750.13
RETURNED: $68,933.90
PROFIT: +$1,183.77
ROI %: +1.75%


NHL

Atlanta Thrashers  ML (+145)
1% $111.84 to win $162.17


 
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Posted: #803
Looks like the D will have to do it for Chicago.  Should be much more than 14-0.  C'mon GB, quit with the turnovers!
 
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Posted: #804
What a sweet win at +225! 

Beautiful call on that one, very creative! 
 
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Posted: #805
Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:


BANKROLL: $11,183.77
OVERALL RECORD: 132-131-8  (50.19%)

INVESTED: $67,750.13
RETURNED: $68,933.90
PROFIT: +$1,183.77
ROI %: +1.75%


NHL

Atlanta Thrashers  ML (+145)    
1% $111.84 to win $162.17


NFL FUTURES - NFC CHAMPIONSHIP

Green Bay Packers  (+238)    
3% $398.49 to win $948.41



BANKROLL: $12,418.83
OVERALL RECORD: 133-132-8  (50.19%)

INVESTED: $67,861.97
RETURNED: $70,280.80
PROFIT: +$2,418.83
ROI %: +3.56%


Really looking forward to this Jets/Steelers game, it should be amazing! I picked the Steelers to go to the Superbowl but I'm not a fan.. I'm cheering for the Jets!! But I'm not betting on the game.. LoL

No value on the Tennis tonight, even with Parleys. May do some Live Betting, we'll see. Other than that, will be a relaxing night enjoying the football game.

Cheers 
 
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Posted: #806
Nice comeback Kreatture.  And good work on GB futures.  I picked PIT to go to SB too, but rooting for NYJ (from NYC), so didn't bet it either.  And looked at tennis slate and had same view - think favorites gonna win but no value in crazy lines.

I bet Schianove yesterday (don't understand how she was +210) - that was a crazy match to watch - probably among top tennis matches ever (back and forth like crazy in 3rd set - and she saved 7 match points, including being down 0-40 in one game).  Sick.
 
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Posted: #807
I have Pitt - 4, and O38.  One of the two is guaranteed at this point, and both look very solid.  Another major by Pitt and I think they're both in the bank.  Fingers crossed!
 
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Posted: #808
 I am on board for the first time kreatture, I want to thank you for having this site and taking the time...
It looks awesome and I am sure I will learn a lot
Go with your own ideas instead of the "experts" here, I noticed at the beginning you tuned out the noise...

Thanks again for doing this..
 
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Posted: #809
Quote Originally Posted by eyeball:

 I am on board for the first time kreatture, I want to thank you for having this site and taking the time...
It looks awesome and I am sure I will learn a lot
Go with your own ideas instead of the "experts" here, I noticed at the beginning you tuned out the noise...

Thanks again for doing this..


Thanks eyeball, much appreciated. And thank you for bringing that Avatar to my thread! Wowsers! HaHa

Will have a couple of picks posted shortly..
 
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Posted: #810
I'm currently typing up the card, but the 1st play is at 7:05 EST (15min away) and it'll be too close to then by the time I finish, so going to just post this one now..

AUSTRALIAN OPEN  -  QUARTER FINALS

Parley  (-133)
Li Na  (-250)
Roger Federer  (-400)
3% $372.56 to win $280.12



 
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Posted: #811
Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

I'm currently typing up the card, but the 1st play is at 7:05 EST (15min away) and it'll be too close to then by the time I finish, so going to just post this one now..

AUSTRALIAN OPEN  -  QUARTER FINALS

Parley  (-133)
Li Na  (-250)
Roger Federer  (-400)
3% $372.56 to win $280.12






Hi,'
          Is this available on Sports Interaction..I dont see it
 
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Posted: #812
Is this available on Sports interaction...I dont see it
 
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Posted: #813
I don,t see LI  Na maybe it started
 
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Posted: #814
BANKROLL: $12,418.83
OVERALL RECORD: 133-132-8  (50.19%)

INVESTED: $67,861.97
RETURNED: $70,280.80
PROFIT: +$2,418.83
ROI %: +3.56%


AUSTRALIAN OPEN  -  QUARTER FINALS

Parley  (-133)
Li Na  (-250)
Roger Federer  (-400)
3% $372.56 to win $280.12


NHL

Like the Capitals tonight but can't bet it at that price.. and don't like it enough to take regulation at -money either.. So doing something a little different on the ice tonight. I really like the 3 late games to all be close and possibly go to OT. Pinnacle has a DRAW option and it pays huge. If one of these games is tied after regulation there will be a profit, and if 2 hit then it'll be great. I'll play these 3 at 1% and see what happens..

St. Louis Blues/Colorado Avalanche  DRAW (+301) (regulation)
1% $124.19 to win $373.81

Dallas Stars/Vancouver Canucks  DRAW (+318) (regulation)
1% $124.19 to win $394.92

Boston Bruins/Los Angeles Kings  DRAW (+299) (regulation)
1% $124.19 to win $371.33


NCAAB

Baylor Bears  +5.5 (+102)
3% $372.56 to win $380.01

Baylor Bears  ML (+222)
1% $124.19 to win $275.70

 
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Posted: #815
Quote Originally Posted by eyeball:

Is this available on Sports interaction...I dont see it


It started at 7:05 EST, which I stated when I made the post..

You can Live Bet it right now and still get a good price since Petkovic went up a break early.. +money right now to win the 1st Set.. well you could have.. as I type this Na has a double break point herself now. Annnnnnd.. there's the break back.
 
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Posted: #816
Like the draw plays - GL
 
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Posted: #817
Looks like a pretty miserable night.. those F'in kids from Baylor really pissed me off. How hard is it to grab a Defensive Rebound or hit a Free Throw in the final 5 minutes?! Even still, they could have covered if they would have shot a wide open 3 in the final seconds instead of just driving to the hoop for an easy layup - which was blocked.

UGH! St. Louis just missed the tying goal twice in the final 20 seconds.. can't believe Budaj actually made a good save. One Draw missed.. Canucks are way up, 2 Draws missed.. Kings up 1, but will probably blow it in the 3rd and loss in regulation. 

Headin to sleep.. will update the losses tomorrow.
 
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Posted: #818

Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

BANKROLL: $12,418.83
OVERALL RECORD: 133-132-8  (50.19%)

INVESTED: $67,861.97
RETURNED: $70,280.80
PROFIT: +$2,418.83
ROI %: +3.56%


AUSTRALIAN OPEN  -  QUARTER FINALS

Parley  (-133) 
Li Na  (-250)
Roger Federer  (-400)
3% $372.56 to win $280.12


NHL

St. Louis Blues/Colorado Avalanche  DRAW (+301) (regulation) 
1% $124.19 to win $373.81

Dallas Stars/Vancouver Canucks  DRAW (+318) (regulation) 
1% $124.19 to win $394.92

Boston Bruins/Los Angeles Kings  DRAW (+299) (regulation) 
1% $124.19 to win $371.33


NCAAB

Baylor Bears  +5.5 (+102) 
3% $372.56 to win $380.01

Baylor Bears  ML (+222) 
1% $124.19 to win $275.70

BANKROLL: $12,418.83
OVERALL RECORD: 134-137-8  (49.45%)

INVESTED: $69,103.85
RETURNED: $70,933.48
PROFIT: +$1,829.63
ROI %: +2.65%

It was the first losing night in awhile, so I'll have to accept that and move on. I hit Wozniacki In-Game when she was down 1 Set and a break in the 2nd for +200 'To Win Match' but as soon as I put it in she proceeded to break back the next game and the line went to -odds very quickly, so I didn't see the point of posting it here as no one else would be able to get even close to that line by then.

I'm not having the best day, so there won't be any picks until tonight, if any at all.

Cheers

 
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Posted: #819

BANKROLL: $11,829.63
OVERALL RECORD: 134-137-8  (49.45%)

INVESTED: $69,103.85
RETURNED: $70,933.48
PROFIT: +$1,829.63
ROI %: +2.65%

Corrected.

 
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Posted: #820

I hiti the in-game Wozniacki also, I figured it was a play you would be on also.  I took Wozniacki in straight sets prior to that when it was 3-3 in the 1st set.  Glad I got the opportunity to find that value later in the 2nd set to get that back. 

Get your poop in a group and get your picks in today.

 
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Posted: #821
 
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Posted: #822
Quote Originally Posted by alldayinvestor:

I hiti the in-game Wozniacki also, I figured it was a play you would be on also.  I took Wozniacki in straight sets prior to that when it was 3-3 in the 1st set.  Glad I got the opportunity to find that value later in the 2nd set to get that back. 

Absolutely, was very interested in watching that match. There was zero value in betting Wozniacki before the match at -833. Schiavone was coming off that marathon (longest Grand Slam match ever) so had to figure she would tire as the match went on. Credit to her for playing so great, but eventually you could tell when the arm looked to be getting tired and the momentum was about to shift. Timed it perfect as the very next game the wheels fell off.

It's pretty much impossible to post a pick like that here cuz by the time anyone would have seen it, the line was back to -400! It hurts my Overall numbers here, but it's something I'll have to live with for record keeping purposes on this forum. It also makes it trickier to post the proper dollar amounts next to the percentages, since the actual accounts don't 100% matchup with what is posted here anymore, so I have to do a separate set of calculations. For record keeping purposes tho (which is very important) I'll have to continue with the way things are and will continue to only post the Live In-Games where I believe there will be enough time for others to see.  

Doesn't look like much value tonight either, as I expect the favorites to roll. I'll look for another opportunity for the Dog to maybe get an early break take an early set then dial in on a better price for the favorite. The Semi's will be great to watch tho and I believe I'll be taking 3 upsets of the possible 4 matches.

Personally, this Australian Open has been some of the greatest tennis I've watched in quite a long time. Very entertaining!

Cheers   

 
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Posted: #823
Agreed with the Aussie Open being incredible this year... very enjoyable so far!
 
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Posted: #824
BANKROLL: $11,829.63
OVERALL RECORD: 134-137-8  (49.45%)

INVESTED: $69,103.85
RETURNED: $70,933.48
PROFIT: +$1,829.63
ROI %: +2.65%


NHL

Florida Panthers  ML (+120) (OT included)
1% $118.30 to win $141.96

Florida gets a boost with the return of 3 players, including Tomas Vokoun and Chris Higgins. The Rangers are coming off a big shootout win in Washington but are still missing several key players. I think Florida will just want this game more as the more desperate team, who even tho are in last place in the Southwest, are still a .500 team.

Buffalo Sabres/Ottawa Senators  Under 5 (+130)
3% $354.89 to win $461.36

Too many key players are out of the lineup tonight for both Buffalo and Ottawa to have a strong opinion for either side, altho Vanek and Stafford will both suit up after being originally questionable. Ottawa shouldn't be counted on to score in this one and I think Elliott (altho horrible) will hold the Sabres under 5 goals. Sell a 1/2 Goal here if possible.

Toronto Maple Leafs  ML (+185) (OT included)
2% $236.59 to win $437.69

Original lean was for the Over in this game but the announcement of James Reimer in goal for the Leafs and Ryan Malone out was enough to erase the lean. This play is for 2 reasons - One.. James Reimer has given the Leafs a chance to win each time he has started and the team obviously feels more confident with him in their as opposed to Gustavsson. He's pretty excited to be getting another start tonight and the team has to at least feel better coming off their 3rd period last night where they dominated Carolina to almost complete the big comeback. Two.. This is Tampa's final game before the Break and there's a chance some of the guys could be looking forward to their extended time off and fail to mentally show up tonight. The team did not skate on their off day (they played basketball) so the Leafs might be able to get a jump early and then who knows. Big value on Toronto tonight where there's at least a chance for a win here, so I have to take a shot at the Value Play.

Chicago Blackhawks  -0.5 (-116) (regulation)
3% $354.89 to win $305.94

Phoenix Coyotes  -0.5 (-121)
2% $236.59 to win $195.53




 
 
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Posted: #825
NCAAB

Kansas Jayhawks  -7.5 (-101)
2% $236.59 to win $234.25

Connecticut Huskies  +5 (-103)
3% $354.89 to win $344.55

Virginia Tech Hokies  -3 (-102)
4% $473.19 to win $463.91
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