I know I said I wasn't going to make any picks today but I'm shitfaced and feeling some CFL love on Canada Day! Take the Montreal Alouettes ML [-146] $50 to win 34.25 and the U53.5 [-103] $25 to win 24.25 plus add in Toronto/Calgary U47.5 [-111] $50 to win 45.05.
Martingale vs. Flat betting -- Supereagle vs. dj_destroyer
I know I said I wasn't going to make any picks today but I'm shitfaced and feeling some CFL love on Canada Day! Take the Montreal Alouettes ML [-146] $50 to win 34.25 and the U53.5 [-103] $25 to win 24.25 plus add in Toronto/Calgary U47.5 [-111] $50 to win 45.05.
I know I said I wasn't going to make any picks today but I'm shitfaced and feeling some CFL love on Canada Day! Take the Montreal Alouettes ML [-146] $50 to win 34.25 and the U53.5 [-103] $25 to win 24.25 plus add in Toronto/Calgary U47.5 [-111] $50 to win 45.05.
I'll be up and down anyways... The goal is to just keep steadily moving along.
Actually, NO! I would love to see both of you prosper. I just saw a urinating contest at first. I Kind of like the fact you two are being cordial.
My take is that DJ will make slow progress and Eagle will win in bunches. Who will win 1st? IDK? BOL fellas. The world is watching.![]()
![]()
I'll be up and down anyways... The goal is to just keep steadily moving along.
Actually, NO! I would love to see both of you prosper. I just saw a urinating contest at first. I Kind of like the fact you two are being cordial.
My take is that DJ will make slow progress and Eagle will win in bunches. Who will win 1st? IDK? BOL fellas. The world is watching.![]()
![]()
-29.95 yesterday going 1-2 with the drunk CFL plays haha.
This is Friday, July 2nd, it's time to Destroy the Books!
Dodgers [-115] $230 to win 200
Phillies/Pirates U8.5 [-106] $106 to win 100
Padres [-162] $162 to win 100
Braves [+106] $50 to win 53
Giants [-107] $50 to win 46.75
Angels -1.5 [+128] $50 to win 64
Indians [+110] $50 to win 55
White Sox/Rangers O9.5 [+105] $50 to win 52.5
Athletics/Indians O8.5 [-110] $25 to win 22.73
Tigers -1.5 [+126] $25 to win 31.5
Nationals [+103] $25 to win 25.75
White Sox [+173] $10 to win 17.3
CFL Special
Hamilton Tigers -3 [-110] $25 to win 22.73
-29.95 yesterday going 1-2 with the drunk CFL plays haha.
This is Friday, July 2nd, it's time to Destroy the Books!
Dodgers [-115] $230 to win 200
Phillies/Pirates U8.5 [-106] $106 to win 100
Padres [-162] $162 to win 100
Braves [+106] $50 to win 53
Giants [-107] $50 to win 46.75
Angels -1.5 [+128] $50 to win 64
Indians [+110] $50 to win 55
White Sox/Rangers O9.5 [+105] $50 to win 52.5
Athletics/Indians O8.5 [-110] $25 to win 22.73
Tigers -1.5 [+126] $25 to win 31.5
Nationals [+103] $25 to win 25.75
White Sox [+173] $10 to win 17.3
CFL Special
Hamilton Tigers -3 [-110] $25 to win 22.73
__________________________________________
Actually.. (I come back to write this after I have all ready written the rest of this post) DJ said he is an Action junkie and has to have action on a lot of games.. while this is the typical attitude of most gamblers, I'm disappointed DJ falls into this category. He's all ready said MULTIPLE times, that the big money plays are winners, while the action junkie plays are losers. So.. come on DJ.. just give us the Winners.. an fuck the junkie plays. I challenge you, to that.
_______________________________
At this rate tho, with DJ playing $50, $100, and $200 Unit games.. even if he only goes like 50%, he'll absolutely DESTROY Supereagle while he plays for his $10 Units..
Therefore.. this makes this "contest" completely unfair.. Eagle should be able to play similar Unit sizes, or DJ should be restricted to smaller maximum wagers.. way smaller than $700.. altho I have to give credit, once again, to DJ for his discipline of not having a huge play, thus far. I think his Dodgers play tonight is his largest play, yet?
Either way.. This WILL be a bloodbath by the end, and DJ will roll.. however, this does NOT mean his style is best.. it just means it's better than Eagles.. That doesn't mean Eagle's is bad. There's many ways to skin a calf....
That being said.. it looks like Eagle is going on a level 4 or 5 play, I think?? That is the only way Eagle has a chance of winning this contest.. by losing 5 or 6 in a row, then hitting the 6th or 7th wager for a big grand martingale win.. multiple times.... the grand martingale fucking sucks by the way.. ride it while it's hot, but like DJ said (reluctantly agree, considering my own approach to Martingale).. it's destined to fail, and will bankrupt you in the end. Bottom Line. Period. Enough Said.
Eagle I know you'll be mad at this, considering I Pm'ed you about DJ's philosophy.. but in the end, this style in shit. The argument you do have, however, is that DJ clearly relates his Martingale experience to Roulette (it's clearly obvious this way because he doesn't even change the word "spins" from his copy an paste efforts..) So this clearly exemplifies that DJ has no CURRENT understanding of the Martingale System. It's OK.. neither do 90% of the general population. While Martingale is a "destined to fail" System for ROULETTE.. people don't seem to realize the benefit of this money management when you have an edge over the house. And having a proven System GIVES YOU AN EDGE OVER THE HOUSE. I think DJ will agree (actually I think he all ready has, previously) that a Martingale System will prosper, if you have an edge over the house. However, rarely will you ever see such a case.. Therefore I give DJ credit on his analysis.. altho not in MY particular case.... I continue (and will continue), to prove that a MODIFIED MARTINGALE can be a successful Money Management System when you know what you're doing. Sports Investing is in no way, shape or form, similar to roulette.. if you are a successful handicapper, you often have an edge over the house. Therefore, comparing a Martingale System between Roulette, and Sports Investing, is really - to be blunt - stupid.
Like I said before.. it sucks cheering for a System to lose 4 or 5 in a row, before hitting a big win.
Someone bit off more than they can chew.. just to try and prove a point.. an it is gonna come back to bite them in the ass, in the end. But who really cares.. it's not like this "contest" is for anything other than bragging rights..
I would be more interested in this if there was actually something on the line..
Where the fuck is sportsbath when you need him.. He called me out.. I think we could have a much more interesting contest....
If you're out there, sportsbath buddy, create another account and pm me.. well do it up right ;)
Mmm.. cereal is good.
__________________________________________
Actually.. (I come back to write this after I have all ready written the rest of this post) DJ said he is an Action junkie and has to have action on a lot of games.. while this is the typical attitude of most gamblers, I'm disappointed DJ falls into this category. He's all ready said MULTIPLE times, that the big money plays are winners, while the action junkie plays are losers. So.. come on DJ.. just give us the Winners.. an fuck the junkie plays. I challenge you, to that.
_______________________________
At this rate tho, with DJ playing $50, $100, and $200 Unit games.. even if he only goes like 50%, he'll absolutely DESTROY Supereagle while he plays for his $10 Units..
Therefore.. this makes this "contest" completely unfair.. Eagle should be able to play similar Unit sizes, or DJ should be restricted to smaller maximum wagers.. way smaller than $700.. altho I have to give credit, once again, to DJ for his discipline of not having a huge play, thus far. I think his Dodgers play tonight is his largest play, yet?
Either way.. This WILL be a bloodbath by the end, and DJ will roll.. however, this does NOT mean his style is best.. it just means it's better than Eagles.. That doesn't mean Eagle's is bad. There's many ways to skin a calf....
That being said.. it looks like Eagle is going on a level 4 or 5 play, I think?? That is the only way Eagle has a chance of winning this contest.. by losing 5 or 6 in a row, then hitting the 6th or 7th wager for a big grand martingale win.. multiple times.... the grand martingale fucking sucks by the way.. ride it while it's hot, but like DJ said (reluctantly agree, considering my own approach to Martingale).. it's destined to fail, and will bankrupt you in the end. Bottom Line. Period. Enough Said.
Eagle I know you'll be mad at this, considering I Pm'ed you about DJ's philosophy.. but in the end, this style in shit. The argument you do have, however, is that DJ clearly relates his Martingale experience to Roulette (it's clearly obvious this way because he doesn't even change the word "spins" from his copy an paste efforts..) So this clearly exemplifies that DJ has no CURRENT understanding of the Martingale System. It's OK.. neither do 90% of the general population. While Martingale is a "destined to fail" System for ROULETTE.. people don't seem to realize the benefit of this money management when you have an edge over the house. And having a proven System GIVES YOU AN EDGE OVER THE HOUSE. I think DJ will agree (actually I think he all ready has, previously) that a Martingale System will prosper, if you have an edge over the house. However, rarely will you ever see such a case.. Therefore I give DJ credit on his analysis.. altho not in MY particular case.... I continue (and will continue), to prove that a MODIFIED MARTINGALE can be a successful Money Management System when you know what you're doing. Sports Investing is in no way, shape or form, similar to roulette.. if you are a successful handicapper, you often have an edge over the house. Therefore, comparing a Martingale System between Roulette, and Sports Investing, is really - to be blunt - stupid.
Like I said before.. it sucks cheering for a System to lose 4 or 5 in a row, before hitting a big win.
Someone bit off more than they can chew.. just to try and prove a point.. an it is gonna come back to bite them in the ass, in the end. But who really cares.. it's not like this "contest" is for anything other than bragging rights..
I would be more interested in this if there was actually something on the line..
Where the fuck is sportsbath when you need him.. He called me out.. I think we could have a much more interesting contest....
If you're out there, sportsbath buddy, create another account and pm me.. well do it up right ;)
Mmm.. cereal is good.
1. Just because these are my 'action' plays does not mean they are any less credible. Gambling is my biggest hobby and I spend a lot of time capping trying to find my 'big unit' plays... During the course of this, I stumble along plays that are good, they just aren't great. These are my action plays -- they are not less handicapped by any means and I stand behind my picks 100%.
2. The reason the limit is $700 a play, is because at some point, supereagle may need to bet that much in his chase... so why can't I? Seems pretty fair to me.
3. I agree with the argument that if you have +EV, then a martingale can work... but if you have +EV then you don't need a martingale, you can make your money betting straight. If you don't have +EV, then you most certainly CAN compare capping to roulette...
4. My 'big unit' plays are so far and few between that it would be so boring to track only those... and I seem to always lose anytime I post the big wagers (like I did last night with 2.5k on the Dodgers)... I swear it's a posting curse lol. Most people don't believe me anytime I post a big unit play anyways and others will bash so it's not even worth it. I like to keep these plays to myself and avoid letting my friends (or covers posters) persuade me off of it -- I don't need to impress anybody.
5. Cereal is the best.
1. Just because these are my 'action' plays does not mean they are any less credible. Gambling is my biggest hobby and I spend a lot of time capping trying to find my 'big unit' plays... During the course of this, I stumble along plays that are good, they just aren't great. These are my action plays -- they are not less handicapped by any means and I stand behind my picks 100%.
2. The reason the limit is $700 a play, is because at some point, supereagle may need to bet that much in his chase... so why can't I? Seems pretty fair to me.
3. I agree with the argument that if you have +EV, then a martingale can work... but if you have +EV then you don't need a martingale, you can make your money betting straight. If you don't have +EV, then you most certainly CAN compare capping to roulette...
4. My 'big unit' plays are so far and few between that it would be so boring to track only those... and I seem to always lose anytime I post the big wagers (like I did last night with 2.5k on the Dodgers)... I swear it's a posting curse lol. Most people don't believe me anytime I post a big unit play anyways and others will bash so it's not even worth it. I like to keep these plays to myself and avoid letting my friends (or covers posters) persuade me off of it -- I don't need to impress anybody.
5. Cereal is the best.
-203.2 on the day... My biggest wager for this system loses which could have turned this losing night of $200 into a winning night of $200 if Kuroda would have brought his testicles to the game. Other than that, the bigger unit plays faired better once again which leaves my record looking a little wonky. On to better days and more profit!
Dodgers [-147] $147 to win 100
Rockies -1.5 [+111] $100 to win 111
Rays/Twins O8.5 [-109] $50 to win 45.85
Phillies/Pirates O8.5 [+103] $10 to win 10.3
Pirates [+103] $10 to win 10.3
Parlay Special:
BoSox -1.5, Cards -1.5 [+260] $25 to win 65
-203.2 on the day... My biggest wager for this system loses which could have turned this losing night of $200 into a winning night of $200 if Kuroda would have brought his testicles to the game. Other than that, the bigger unit plays faired better once again which leaves my record looking a little wonky. On to better days and more profit!
Dodgers [-147] $147 to win 100
Rockies -1.5 [+111] $100 to win 111
Rays/Twins O8.5 [-109] $50 to win 45.85
Phillies/Pirates O8.5 [+103] $10 to win 10.3
Pirates [+103] $10 to win 10.3
Parlay Special:
BoSox -1.5, Cards -1.5 [+260] $25 to win 65
My plays are +EV, thats why I have had such good success.
Betting 50% of the bankroll on one play means you should have at least a 25% edge according to Kelly (assuming even odds at 10 cent vig)... I don't believe you're getting a 25% edge EVER... Nice try.
My plays are +EV, thats why I have had such good success.
Betting 50% of the bankroll on one play means you should have at least a 25% edge according to Kelly (assuming even odds at 10 cent vig)... I don't believe you're getting a 25% edge EVER... Nice try.
Anyways, +$21.15 on the day... Tally now looks like:
29-32 (47.3%) +$442.05
I work tomorrow morning, soccer in the aft, cottage for the evening to get some fishing... Wake up, fish in the morning -- hangout all day and drink -- fish at night. come back. Soooooo no plays tomorrow or Monday! Cheers.
Anyways, +$21.15 on the day... Tally now looks like:
29-32 (47.3%) +$442.05
I work tomorrow morning, soccer in the aft, cottage for the evening to get some fishing... Wake up, fish in the morning -- hangout all day and drink -- fish at night. come back. Soooooo no plays tomorrow or Monday! Cheers.
I know what my edge is. Its prolly different from yours. By the way, I concede. I dont want to do this anymore. You win. Im gonna go back to posting for free for fun on the other thread. Lets lay this to rest.
Im still doing it on my thread. The race is still on. I am just gonna post there though.
I know what my edge is. Its prolly different from yours. By the way, I concede. I dont want to do this anymore. You win. Im gonna go back to posting for free for fun on the other thread. Lets lay this to rest.
Im still doing it on my thread. The race is still on. I am just gonna post there though.
Netherlands [-135] $135 to win 100
Rangers -1.5 [-109] $109 to win 100
Padres/Nats U7.5 [+102] $100 to win 102
Dodgers [-166] $100 to win 60.25
Royals -1.5 [+119] $75 to win 89.25
Tigers -1.5 [+108] $50 to win 54
Jays [+123] $25 to win 30.75
Destroy the Books!
Netherlands [-135] $135 to win 100
Rangers -1.5 [-109] $109 to win 100
Padres/Nats U7.5 [+102] $100 to win 102
Dodgers [-166] $100 to win 60.25
Royals -1.5 [+119] $75 to win 89.25
Tigers -1.5 [+108] $50 to win 54
Jays [+123] $25 to win 30.75
Destroy the Books!
I agree with Kreature that the contest is unfair because one contestant is outspending the other. One mathematical solution to even the playing field is to calculate rate of return on investment based on the following formula.
ROI equals net profit (or loss) divided by total stakes.
When stakes are low, the irony is that Martingale is closer to flat betting than Kelly criterion.
.
I agree with Kreature that the contest is unfair because one contestant is outspending the other. One mathematical solution to even the playing field is to calculate rate of return on investment based on the following formula.
ROI equals net profit (or loss) divided by total stakes.
When stakes are low, the irony is that Martingale is closer to flat betting than Kelly criterion.
.
I'm down to use ROI as an indicator but it would mean changing my style to grab as many dollars per win... instead of simply racing to $5000.
PS. For all of you saying supereagle is disadvantaged, I KNOW. That's why I accepted HIS challenge. It was his idea, not mine -- he laid the rules; I'm simply playing by them. Anyways, +$114.25 on the day brings us to:
33-35 (48.5%) +$556.3
Rangers -1.5 [-120] $120 to win 100
Tigers -1.5 [-117] $117 to win 100
Angels/White Sox U9.5 [+100] $100 to win 100
Royals [+137] $75 to win 102.75
Astros [-120] $75 to win 62.5
Giants [-122] $50 to win 41
Twins [+107] $50 to win 53.5
Padres [-106] $50 to win 47.15
Reds/Mets U8.5 [-110] $50 to win 45.45
Orioles/Tigers O9.5 [-108] $50 to win 46.3
Soccer Special
Spain/Germany U1.5 [+216] $25 to win 54
I'm down to use ROI as an indicator but it would mean changing my style to grab as many dollars per win... instead of simply racing to $5000.
PS. For all of you saying supereagle is disadvantaged, I KNOW. That's why I accepted HIS challenge. It was his idea, not mine -- he laid the rules; I'm simply playing by them. Anyways, +$114.25 on the day brings us to:
33-35 (48.5%) +$556.3
Rangers -1.5 [-120] $120 to win 100
Tigers -1.5 [-117] $117 to win 100
Angels/White Sox U9.5 [+100] $100 to win 100
Royals [+137] $75 to win 102.75
Astros [-120] $75 to win 62.5
Giants [-122] $50 to win 41
Twins [+107] $50 to win 53.5
Padres [-106] $50 to win 47.15
Reds/Mets U8.5 [-110] $50 to win 45.45
Orioles/Tigers O9.5 [-108] $50 to win 46.3
Soccer Special
Spain/Germany U1.5 [+216] $25 to win 54
40-39 (50.6%) +$792
Made +$235.7 yesterday while missing a bunch of close games. Also, I'm finally up over the 50% mark, but still up lots of units. This means my money management has been good so far. On to today:
Padres [-165] $165 to win 100
Marlins [-108] $108 to win 100
Rangers -1.5 [-115] $75 to win 65.2
Indians/Rays O9 [-116] $75 to win 64.65
Reds [-103] $50 to win 48.55
Angels/White Sox U8.5 [-107] $50 to win 46.75
Brewers [-122] $50 to win 40.95
Destroy the Books!
40-39 (50.6%) +$792
Made +$235.7 yesterday while missing a bunch of close games. Also, I'm finally up over the 50% mark, but still up lots of units. This means my money management has been good so far. On to today:
Padres [-165] $165 to win 100
Marlins [-108] $108 to win 100
Rangers -1.5 [-115] $75 to win 65.2
Indians/Rays O9 [-116] $75 to win 64.65
Reds [-103] $50 to win 48.55
Angels/White Sox U8.5 [-107] $50 to win 46.75
Brewers [-122] $50 to win 40.95
Destroy the Books!
Hot Forum Topics
-
🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵
448,684
-
🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets
302,165
-
Thursday 09/17/2026
733
-
🏈🏈🏈 Fubah2's risky CFB bets
257,779
-
Couple Beers
5,005
-
I'm embarrassed for Trump supporters
58,314
-
PART DEUX
176
-
NFL LOCKED IN!
97,700
-
DET@BUFF Under 55 Small Write up
3,158
-
***Macwesties * Thur. Sept. 17, 2026 * NFL * TNF * Football Plays***
3,881
Warning - External Link
Report User
This post is spam
Delete Post
Remove Thread
Scan Results
Login/Register
Accounts are free and easy to create.
Search
