I understand what you are saying, but I have a few points to make. Regarding bankroll, yes you should not do this unless you can absorb the loss. In your scenario, anyone with a $600 or so bankroll shouldn't even consider it for $10 a unit as a 4-5 game chase would be a significant % of bankroll.
Not that your scenario of 3 series starting the year all go under for 3 games can't happen, but it hasn't happened in the last 5 years. In 2012 only 1 team went to 4 games or more, 2011 had 2 teams, and 2010 had 4 teams.
In the 2012 chase if you stopped after 3 games you would have been up $290 on your wins less $82.61 on the 3 game loss at -110 each. Still a decent 3-4 day profit of $207.39 if you use $10 as a unit size. 20.7 units. In 2011 you'd be up $114.78 if you never went to game 4. If you walked after 3 games in 2010, you'd be down $70.44.
Really though, is this chase any different than the numerous chase systems on here that have you lay big odds on a 3-5 game chase? I like the low or no juice that O/U come with.
If this system worries you, I suggest you don't try my pro football and college football O/U chase thread in the fall. lol. College is a fun 120 or so team chase of up to 6 games. 
BOL to you!
I understand what you are saying, but I have a few points to make. Regarding bankroll, yes you should not do this unless you can absorb the loss. In your scenario, anyone with a $600 or so bankroll shouldn't even consider it for $10 a unit as a 4-5 game chase would be a significant % of bankroll.
Not that your scenario of 3 series starting the year all go under for 3 games can't happen, but it hasn't happened in the last 5 years. In 2012 only 1 team went to 4 games or more, 2011 had 2 teams, and 2010 had 4 teams.
In the 2012 chase if you stopped after 3 games you would have been up $290 on your wins less $82.61 on the 3 game loss at -110 each. Still a decent 3-4 day profit of $207.39 if you use $10 as a unit size. 20.7 units. In 2011 you'd be up $114.78 if you never went to game 4. If you walked after 3 games in 2010, you'd be down $70.44.
Really though, is this chase any different than the numerous chase systems on here that have you lay big odds on a 3-5 game chase? I like the low or no juice that O/U come with.
If this system worries you, I suggest you don't try my pro football and college football O/U chase thread in the fall. lol. College is a fun 120 or so team chase of up to 6 games.
BOL to you!
Don't get me wrong, Bruin does raise a legit concern for those with a limited bankroll. Any chase system could wipe out a small bankroll.
I moved to Vegas in August and am fortunate that I was able to keep my job and work from home. I fully believe in the axiom that you should never bet what you can't afford to lose, so we paid off our house and managed to come up with a 10k bankroll for my sports betting. Admitedly, I will probably bet much less than most would with a 10k bankroll but that's ok. I'm sure as time goes on I will be more comfortable with bigger bets in relation to bankroll size and increase as needed.
I tracked it last year in the thread and there was 1 loss, TCU. I said in that thread that I would have stopped a few weeks before that and just walked with a nice profit. Even if played all the way through you would have gone 123-1, up 44.6 units. Yes it does take a big bankroll.
In 2012 only 1 team went to 4 games or more
There were 2 teams (CWS, TEX). It would be impossible for just one team to be left. It has to be an even number.
[quote]Really though, is this chase any different than the numerous chase systems on here that have you lay big odds on a 3-5 game chase? I like the low or no juice that O/U come with.
It's different because you're chasing 30 teams at once. I never chase more than 3 things under any system at one time. And I never chase for more than 3 games. Just makes more financial sense to me. I'm in this for the long haul, not to get rich quick. I'll gladly take a small profit, or a minor ding in bankroll, then have this be the time the system completely fails. What I'll probably do is pick 3 series, to start, that I feel will have at least one game go over. After one wins (hopefully), I'll add another series that's still open. If all goes well, I'll pick up 12 units that way. Good enough for me after only 4 or 5 days.
It's different because you're chasing 30 teams at once. I never chase more than 3 things under any system at one time. And I never chase for more than 3 games. Just makes more financial sense to me. I'm in this for the long haul, not to get rich quick. I'll gladly take a small profit, or a minor ding in bankroll, then have this be the time the system completely fails. What I'll probably do is pick 3 series, to start, that I feel will have at least one game go over. After one wins (hopefully), I'll add another series that's still open. If all goes well, I'll pick up 12 units that way. Good enough for me after only 4 or 5 days.
I tracked it last year in the thread and there was 1 loss, TCU. I said in that thread that I would have stopped a few weeks before that and just walked with a nice profit. Even if played all the way through you would have gone 123-1, up 44.6 units. Yes it does take a big bankroll.
I play the O/U totals at -110.
Off weeks and when a DIV 1 team plays a DIV 2 team are no plays, that team stays at whatever status they were the week prior. Same with a Push. It wasn't my system, I just stumbled upon the thread that seemed to die the year before and I tracked it for last year to see how it would do. I would have a hard time betting it all the way to the end, which is why I said in that thread that I would have walked away up way before it got down to playing games 5 and 6. Profit is profit, take it when you can.
Simple concept, at the start of the season do up to a 5 game chase on each team to get one OVER. The last 3 years this went a combined 90-0 (148-2 over 5 years, both losses won on game 6). Pushes are considered a no play
In the last 3 years the results:
A 53-37
B 18-19
C 12-7
D 3-4
E 4-0
Might be a good way to pocket 30 or more units in the first week.
In 2012 only 1 team went to 4 games or more
There were 2 teams (CWS, TEX). It would be impossible for just one team to be left. It has to be an even number.
[quote]Really though, is this chase any different than the numerous chase systems on here that have you lay big odds on a 3-5 game chase? I like the low or no juice that O/U come with.
It's different because you're chasing 30 teams at once. I never chase more than 3 things under any system at one time. And I never chase for more than 3 games. Just makes more financial sense to me. I'm in this for the long haul, not to get rich quick. I'll gladly take a small profit, or a minor ding in bankroll, then have this be the time the system completely fails. What I'll probably do is pick 3 series, to start, that I feel will have at least one game go over. After one wins (hopefully), I'll add another series that's still open. If all goes well, I'll pick up 12 units that way. Good enough for me after only 4 or 5 days.
Sounds like a solid strategy.
Sounds like a solid strategy.
Just tested for NHL, it works too. 149-1 over the last 5 years with only 14 going to a game 4, only 2 of those to game 5.
In 2012 only 1 team went to 4 games or more
There were 2 teams (CWS, TEX). It would be impossible for just one team to be left. It has to be an even number.
[quote]Really though, is this chase any different than the numerous chase systems on here that have you lay big odds on a 3-5 game chase? I like the low or no juice that O/U come with.
It's different because you're chasing 30 teams at once. I never chase more than 3 things under any system at one time. And I never chase for more than 3 games. Just makes more financial sense to me. I'm in this for the long haul, not to get rich quick. I'll gladly take a small profit, or a minor ding in bankroll, then have this be the time the system completely fails. What I'll probably do is pick 3 series, to start, that I feel will have at least one game go over. After one wins (hopefully), I'll add another series that's still open. If all goes well, I'll pick up 12 units that way. Good enough for me after only 4 or 5 days.
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