Posted:
#126
Quote Originally Posted by grabbitt:
how strict should we be on where we get odds from?
how strict should we be on where we get odds from?
like mike7002, I have TB at at -110 and -1.5(+140) which allows them to fit all criteria. I use a local book so I have no clue where the odds comes from.
What I'd like some advice on is whether this makes sense for me to play? For example, our odds are clearly different or else you'd be making the TB play right now. Since you are basing this system on your odds, should we be only making plays when your odds say to make them (since that is what the system is based on)? AKA would you advise against playing this system with any odds other than the consensus odds?
The system was built off the Sports Database historical odds, and I don't know which book they use.
That database has TB at -102 right now, but I've seen it change in the past while the game is live. The TB game does not currently show up for the system query because TB is the dog in their database.
I tend to be more strict with the picks by requiring a consensus, so the pick is basically independent of the book.
From an ROI standpoint, this system profits at 12% for away favorites, and at about 8% with away teams having a negative money line. So, it's still a profitable play at -102 as the consensus odds.
Best of luck if you decide to bet it!
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