First off, I have followed for years and made decent money. Thanks to all. I have decided to break my silence and give back. I am a SoCal Native and obviously LA and SD are looking pretty good this season. (Vintage square statement, I know). So how about a Parlay with the Pads and Dodgers every time they both play on the same day? Would have gone 21 - 23 last year, without the additions of Darvish, Snell, Bauer, etc.
Straight play could be a small profit, but why not make it a chase like the successfully proven NHL 2 Team Road Parlay?
Thanks again for the .470, .525, Magna, and then some
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
88
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
First off, I have followed for years and made decent money. Thanks to all. I have decided to break my silence and give back. I am a SoCal Native and obviously LA and SD are looking pretty good this season. (Vintage square statement, I know). So how about a Parlay with the Pads and Dodgers every time they both play on the same day? Would have gone 21 - 23 last year, without the additions of Darvish, Snell, Bauer, etc.
Straight play could be a small profit, but why not make it a chase like the successfully proven NHL 2 Team Road Parlay?
Thanks again for the .470, .525, Magna, and then some
There does appear to be an imbalance this year so the inverse could work as well. I was also thinking about 3 two-teamers all season with SD, LAD, and NYY. The inverse would be going against Col, Pit, and Det. Not sure on the Yanks though. Shaky pitching behind Cole.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
48
There does appear to be an imbalance this year so the inverse could work as well. I was also thinking about 3 two-teamers all season with SD, LAD, and NYY. The inverse would be going against Col, Pit, and Det. Not sure on the Yanks though. Shaky pitching behind Cole.
So tomorrow is opening day. I'm going with SD/LAD to win and against Col/Tex. No Yankees. This system is for squares but I'm pretty sure anyone who can find and understand the Covers Forum is too sharp to bet the Yankees all year.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
47
So tomorrow is opening day. I'm going with SD/LAD to win and against Col/Tex. No Yankees. This system is for squares but I'm pretty sure anyone who can find and understand the Covers Forum is too sharp to bet the Yankees all year.
Ok...so you're losing both parlays if the Dodgers lose - in the 1st game of the year in Colorado with a total over 10 and a Rockies pitcher that can both suck and pitch like an All-Star.???
Maybe better discipline needed....
Hope you sweep.
59
@Surfer2
Ok...so you're losing both parlays if the Dodgers lose - in the 1st game of the year in Colorado with a total over 10 and a Rockies pitcher that can both suck and pitch like an All-Star.???
Systems like this work best if you wait for 4 or 5 losses in a row and then jump on. You miss a lot of winners but you cut your risk of ruin to almost nothing.
69
Systems like this work best if you wait for 4 or 5 losses in a row and then jump on. You miss a lot of winners but you cut your risk of ruin to almost nothing.
Huh????? This isn't betting on a 50/50 proposition like Banker/Player in Baccarat. The previous outcomes have no effect - especially in a parlay where any kind of staggered results could be as lethal as an extended losing streak by one or both teams.
68
@Dutch1976
Huh????? This isn't betting on a 50/50 proposition like Banker/Player in Baccarat. The previous outcomes have no effect - especially in a parlay where any kind of staggered results could be as lethal as an extended losing streak by one or both teams.
This is baseball, not cards or dice. Previous outcomes have every effect. If anything, teams will get up to knock off SD or LAD. For example Mr. Lindor and the Mets and their $341M contract. While obviously not on the field, the contract is proof that others will get up for these two teams. Will they succeed? I doubt it. Both lineups are ridiculously stacked. Five at-bats for Tatis and Betts means they are up every other inning. That is too many chances for them.
Regarding the other parlay, look for Tex to wind up with a top 3 pick. They traded their #1 starter and they have maybe 2 players just below the All-Star level, Davis (currently injured), and Gallo (.209 career average). Their pitching looks awful on paper. The farm system is near the bottom and they need a good draft or two. MLB teams know this already and I guarantee you that previous outcomes, or weak off-seasons, will definitely effect future performance. Col is likely to trade their best player, Trevor Story, and possibly Jon Gray and Charlie Blackmon. They are in full rebuild mode and they are still tearing down the team. Big Leaguers sense teams like these similar to a shark sensing a drop of blood 50 miles away. I bet I will win.
Another thing dude, bear in mind I could have kept this to myself. Experts say that most Jr. High bullies are either Irish or German so back up.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
5
@Irish7878
This is baseball, not cards or dice. Previous outcomes have every effect. If anything, teams will get up to knock off SD or LAD. For example Mr. Lindor and the Mets and their $341M contract. While obviously not on the field, the contract is proof that others will get up for these two teams. Will they succeed? I doubt it. Both lineups are ridiculously stacked. Five at-bats for Tatis and Betts means they are up every other inning. That is too many chances for them.
Regarding the other parlay, look for Tex to wind up with a top 3 pick. They traded their #1 starter and they have maybe 2 players just below the All-Star level, Davis (currently injured), and Gallo (.209 career average). Their pitching looks awful on paper. The farm system is near the bottom and they need a good draft or two. MLB teams know this already and I guarantee you that previous outcomes, or weak off-seasons, will definitely effect future performance. Col is likely to trade their best player, Trevor Story, and possibly Jon Gray and Charlie Blackmon. They are in full rebuild mode and they are still tearing down the team. Big Leaguers sense teams like these similar to a shark sensing a drop of blood 50 miles away. I bet I will win.
Another thing dude, bear in mind I could have kept this to myself. Experts say that most Jr. High bullies are either Irish or German so back up.
"Experts say that most Jr High bullies are either Irish or German, so back up"
What a bizarre statement to post in S&S....are you posting a system? or looking for an argument with anyone who is not in agreement with your strategy?
Why Jr High ? Why Irish ? or German? who are the so called experts?
to each his own, say, and post as you please....
Westgate SuperBookLV
82
@Surfer2
"Experts say that most Jr High bullies are either Irish or German, so back up"
What a bizarre statement to post in S&S....are you posting a system? or looking for an argument with anyone who is not in agreement with your strategy?
Why Jr High ? Why Irish ? or German? who are the so called experts?
Umm...nice close by playing the ethnic card DUDE. I'm neither, but have known lots of bullies that fit every possible age, status, ethnicity, etc. test of whatever wokeism you prefer to generalize idiotically about.
In terms of my post, did I say that baseball was like cards or dice? Huh? Try reading next time. They DO have commonality in mathematical probability which was my point. Again try reading.
As for your post, you do more to agree with me than disagree. For example, you wrote "Previous outcomes have every effect. If anything, teams will get up to knock off SD or LAD." Ok....so if teams will "get up" to knock off SD /LAD, then what effect would LAD/SD losing their prior game(s) have on them winning subsequent games if their opponents will "get up" for them anyway due to the factors you so eloquently (lol) stated?
Try a little harder. Hope you sweep your board.
71
@Surfer2
Umm...nice close by playing the ethnic card DUDE. I'm neither, but have known lots of bullies that fit every possible age, status, ethnicity, etc. test of whatever wokeism you prefer to generalize idiotically about.
In terms of my post, did I say that baseball was like cards or dice? Huh? Try reading next time. They DO have commonality in mathematical probability which was my point. Again try reading.
As for your post, you do more to agree with me than disagree. For example, you wrote "Previous outcomes have every effect. If anything, teams will get up to knock off SD or LAD." Ok....so if teams will "get up" to knock off SD /LAD, then what effect would LAD/SD losing their prior game(s) have on them winning subsequent games if their opponents will "get up" for them anyway due to the factors you so eloquently (lol) stated?
Actually Dutch...I was referring to 50/50 situations - which is for sure not dice (at least when you throw 2 of them at the same time)! I'm referring to mathematical probabilities and in a vacum, they are not affected by previous events. What IS affected by previous events is called handicapping.
You made a generalized statement that by merely waiting for a prescribed number of certain outcomes, you have a better chance of getting a future outcome you desire. Without even addressing if the past outcomes you refer to are individual team losses (for SD/LAD) or wins (for TX/COLO) or parlay losses, your statement by itself (which is how you presented it) is mathematically false. Any source on probability will tell you that only objective outcomes can be measured this way, not outcomes as subjective as baseball game results - and especially not parlay outcomes!
I think you meant to convey that you were applying handicapping metrics to your statement - which is fine, but merely your handicapping opinion on a team somehow getting better results after losing a few.....or getting worse after winning a few. I disagree with both of these, but that is merely my opinion.
In any event, I hope you sweep your board!
72
@Dutch1976
Actually Dutch...I was referring to 50/50 situations - which is for sure not dice (at least when you throw 2 of them at the same time)! I'm referring to mathematical probabilities and in a vacum, they are not affected by previous events. What IS affected by previous events is called handicapping.
You made a generalized statement that by merely waiting for a prescribed number of certain outcomes, you have a better chance of getting a future outcome you desire. Without even addressing if the past outcomes you refer to are individual team losses (for SD/LAD) or wins (for TX/COLO) or parlay losses, your statement by itself (which is how you presented it) is mathematically false. Any source on probability will tell you that only objective outcomes can be measured this way, not outcomes as subjective as baseball game results - and especially not parlay outcomes!
I think you meant to convey that you were applying handicapping metrics to your statement - which is fine, but merely your handicapping opinion on a team somehow getting better results after losing a few.....or getting worse after winning a few. I disagree with both of these, but that is merely my opinion.
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