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Posted: #301
explain your system....
 
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Posted: #302
I just found out posts of sports_network, and I am going to follow him. Good luck to all of us.
 
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Posted: #303
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

cut version

I hope I did not understand this incorrectly because I bet the these 3 and it's 6-4 in the 2 inning of the Oak/Det game?! I hope that is one of the two loses today. Tor just put 3 on the board in the 4th to take a 4-2 lead I had huge juice on that one. Was just tied it 3-3 in the 1st. Come'on Nats !!

 
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Posted: #304
Quote Originally Posted by HeaVin-Cent:

Opinions or insight on any of these?

OAK/DET UNDER 9.5
COL/PIT OVER 8.5
MIL/STL OVER 9
CIN/SD OVER 7.5

I dont really do sides but I have interest in:

STL
BOS
NYM

Nothing locked in yet but would like to compare with the others who have a version of the formula to figure out the stronger plays and widdle out the weak ones
 
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Posted: #305
BillWag27 , Sports_Network
I ran some numbers and got tonights Mets / SF game at :
SF Pitcher Cain - 2.55
MEts Pitcher Pelfrey - 2.85
 
SF Team runs - 4.00
Mets Team runs - 5.73
 
How do I interpret this into over under totals. I cansee formthe numbers the paly is the NY Mets tonights, based on the MEts superior Team batting totals.
 
Help please.
 
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Posted: #306
[Quote: Originally Posted by GimmieTheCash]
BillWag27 , Sports_Network
I ran some numbers and got tonights Mets / SF game at :
SF Pitcher Cain - 2.55
MEts Pitcher Pelfrey - 2.85
 
SF Team runs - 4.00
Mets Team runs - 5.73
 
How do I interpret this into over under totals. I cansee formthe numbers the paly is the NY Mets tonights, based on the MEts superior Team batting totals.
 
Help please.

[/Quote

9.7 game total

 
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Posted: #307
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

Quote Originally Posted by GimmieTheCash:

BillWag27 , Sports_Network
I ran some numbers and got tonights Mets / SF game at :
SF Pitcher Cain - 2.55
MEts Pitcher Pelfrey - 2.85
 
SF Team runs - 4.00
Mets Team runs - 5.73
 
How do I interpret this into over under totals. I cansee formthe numbers the paly is the NY Mets tonights, based on the MEts superior Team batting totals.
 
Help please.

[/Quote

9.7 game total

 

The game ended 2-0 SF. These predictions were not even close?

 
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Posted: #308
QUOTE Originally Posted by HeaVin-Cent:

Opinions or insight on any of these?

OAK/DET UNDER 9.5
 
 
CIN/SD OVER 7.5

I dont really do sides but I have interest in:

STL
 
 

"Nothing locked in yet but would like to compare with the others who have a version of the formula to figure out the stronger plays and widdle out the weak ones"
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

cut version

Ok I must have gotten this backwards because it appeared to me that these were the games to play after the cut. But they all lost? Did I get this wrong? It was a expensive mistake on my part to say the least.

 
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Posted: #309
ydtw I recommend you review the thread from the begining, to receive an understanding of concept.It will answer all your questions.
 
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Posted: #310
Quote Originally Posted by bobbyzzz:

explain your system....

It's explained in complete detail through out the thread.......

 
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Posted: #311
Quote Originally Posted by youdothework:

Ok I must have gotten this backwards because it appeared to me that these were the games to play after the cut. But they all lost? Did I get this wrong? It was a expensive mistake on my part to say the least.


Those were the games that SN cut from my original list. I personally do not know how to "cut" the games. Personally I try to keep the ones that have a large difference and most data that to me makes the play stronger. 

As for the METS/SF I did not play but you also have to understand this is by no way a fool proof system and sometimes you get unexpected performances by the Offense and well as the pitchers.
 
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Posted: #312
Quote Originally Posted by HeaVin-Cent:


Those were the games that SN cut from my original list. I personally do not know how to "cut" the games. Personally I try to keep the ones that have a large difference and most data that to me makes the play stronger. 

As for the METS/SF I did not play but you also have to understand this is by no way a fool proof system and sometimes you get unexpected performances by the Offense and well as the pitchers.

Ok thanks. Man that sucks. I really thought the way he wrote it out he was saying keep those because I saw them on his list of games. Well he was VERY correct in cutting all of them! I would have had an amazing day if I did not bet those plays. I did bet SF based on something entirely different. It is a theory that no home team will lose all home games during a 4 game stand. I will start posting the plays here. Tonight 4 teams begin a 4 game series and if any of the home teams lose then tomorrow's game will be game "A". It is sort of based on the JM Chase. Which by the way gets it's first play tomorrow! There are filters to help prevent a series loss because it can happen. Like you said no system is fool proof. I'm just a fool for systems.

 
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Posted: #313
Quote Originally Posted by youdothework:

Ok thanks. Man that sucks. I really thought the way he wrote it out he was saying keep those because I saw them on his list of games. Well he was VERY correct in cutting all of them! I would have had an amazing day if I did not bet those plays. I did bet SF based on something entirely different. It is a theory that no home team will lose all home games during a 4 game stand. I will start posting the plays here. Tonight 4 teams begin a 4 game series and if any of the home teams lose then tomorrow's game will be game "A". It is sort of based on the JM Chase. Which by the way gets it's first play tomorrow! There are filters to help prevent a series loss because it can happen. Like you said no system is fool proof. I'm just a fool for systems.


I too am a fool. But to clear something up I do believe that SN was saying that of my list that I put up those were the games that made the cut. I personally played all of my plays because I didnt have the time to check back before they started. I try to hold myself accountable for my plays because it is my money that I am throwing around not anyone else. 

For tonight I have 2 plays:
LAD OVER
LAA OVER

Any opinions??
 
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Posted: #314
Quote Originally Posted by GimmieTheCash:

BillWag27 , Sports_Network
I ran some numbers and got tonights Mets / SF game at :
SF Pitcher Cain - 2.55
MEts Pitcher Pelfrey - 2.85
 
SF Team runs - 4.00
Mets Team runs - 5.73
 
How do I interpret this into over under totals. I cansee formthe numbers the paly is the NY Mets tonights, based on the MEts superior Team batting totals.
 
Help please.


Sorry, I've been out of town with limited internet access.

I will catch up with everything tonight.
 
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Posted: #315
Tonight, 5/18/09

My numbers are leaning St. Louis.  It is difficult to beat a team that knows you as well as the Cards know Looper.

Even thought the "Brew Crew" is hot, I am not sold on Looper.

St. Louis ML .75 units -135
St. Louis RL .25 units +155
 
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Posted: #316
No other baseball as I will be riding my Penguins tonight!!

GL to everyone
 
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Posted: #317
Welcome back Bill,

I am on the Penguins -1.5 myself !!!

Lets get the week started right!!!


 
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Posted: #318
NY Mets =  3.87 runs per game
LA Dodgers = 3.74 runs per game

Fine tuning my numbers!

Playing the Mets on the ML!
 
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Posted: #319
when adding bullpen #s i came up with this:

NY Mets = 5.31
LA Dodgers = 5.17

Lets see how this one plays out.
 
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Posted: #320
Angels OVER was hit very early but both offenses for the LAD/METS are being slowed by good pitching so that is not looking good. 
 
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Posted: #321
MLB system releases Tuesday05/19/09: un-cut version...
 
                              Nationals-145
                              Phillies-129
                              Braves-191
                              Marlins-167
                              Padres-143
                              RedSox-138
                              Yankees+105 RL
                              WhiteSox-120
                              Mariners-150
 
                              Indians vs Royals UNDER 9
                              A's vs DevilRays UNDER 10
                              Rangers vs Tigers OVER 10.5
                              Brewers vs Astro's OVER 9
                              Cubs vs Cardinals UNDER 9.5
                              Mets vs Dodgers UNDER 8.5
 
 
gp:15
projected "cut" wins:10
 
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Posted: #322
Yankees-125 RL
+105 typo error....
 
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Posted: #323

Quote Originally Posted by HeaVin-Cent:

Angels OVER was hit very early but both offenses for the LAD/METS are being slowed by good pitching so that is not looking good. 

Did not see these last night but I would have avoided both of them. The STL game was a no play for me too. One thing I have learned that is you don't mess with a hot team.

Today the play is Tex -138 (JM Chase)

Sea -150 (lost game one for a 4 game home stand).

Others to consider but got filtered out are Wash and Atl. Both are risky. I personally am taking Wash at -150 for the 1st 5 innings. Don't trust their bull-pen. I love Atl but hate their Offense or lack of I should say. -210 is a lot of juice.

 
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Posted: #324
ydtw / this is Base_Runs / Runs_Created thread, please post plays handicapped from these systems only, for discussion purposes...There's no substance, posting (JM Chase) picks.. there are many threads catering to JM system, this is not one of them...thank you in advance for your cooperation please continue, your contribution is welcomed....
 
 
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Posted: #325
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

MLB system releases Tuesday05/19/09: un-cut version...
 
                              Nationals-145
                              Phillies-129
                              Braves-191
                              Marlins-167
                              Padres-143
                              RedSox-138
                              Yankees+105 RL
                              WhiteSox-120
                              Mariners-150
 
                              Indians vs Royals UNDER 9
                              A's vs DevilRays UNDER 10
                              Rangers vs Tigers OVER 10.5
                              Brewers vs Astro's OVER 9
                              Cubs vs Cardinals UNDER 9.5
                              Mets vs Dodgers UNDER 8.5
 
 
gp:15
projected "cut" wins:10

I still for the life of me can't figure out how to take this "uncut" version, and arrive at the "cut" plays to wager on.

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