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MLB system releases...

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Posted: #551
I'll try 3 underdogs today

Detroit +140
Pittsburgh -101
SF +111

CHC/Atl Under 8
Cin/Stl Under 8
Phil/Sdg Under 7.5


 
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Posted: #552
MLB system releases Wed,06/03/09 Base_Runs formula....
 
                                Mets+103
                                Rockies-105
                                Reds+120
                                Tigers+135
                                Rangers+170
                                Royals+135
 
six pac/
dogs&value
 
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Posted: #553
SN, can you live me a little more detail into your Detroit pick.  Besides home field, and Adam Everett's strong performance historically against Beckett, I couldn't find much advantage at all for the Tigers.  The Boston lineup has only faced Galarraga once, but they hit him pretty hard in that game.  The Detroit lineup has slightly more exposure to Beckett, but Beckett handled them well.
 
Also, if you look at recent trends, Beckett has really come into form over his last few outings, while Galarraga has been getting hit rocked.
 
For the record, my BaseRuns calculations for Bos and Detroit in the first five innings was BOS 3.2, DET 1.8
 
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Posted: #554
Quote Originally Posted by UsaSurfer:

SN, can you live me a little more detail into your Detroit pick.  Besides home field, and Adam Everett's strong performance historically against Beckett, I couldn't find much advantage at all for the Tigers.  The Boston lineup has only faced Galarraga once, but they hit him pretty hard in that game.  The Detroit lineup has slightly more exposure to Beckett, but Beckett handled them well.
 
Also, if you look at recent trends, Beckett has really come into form over his last few outings, while Galarraga has been getting hit rocked.
 
For the record, my BaseRuns calculations for Bos and Detroit in the first five innings was BOS 3.2, DET 1.8

your calculation for the first 5innings are on target for a 3-2 BOS win..added variables such as 'home' dog value+135 is your advantage for the game..Galarraga got hit hard his last two outings, He's 'up' for the Sox, and I doubt he'll lose 5 in a row..Look for the Tigers to rally behind their ace, who's in a slump, nothing more; Beckett will leave the game in the 6th, enter Tiger bats...This game has over written on it...

 
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Posted: #555
Awesome extra insight there.  I need to start evaluating relief pitchers more thoroughly before I can call my calculations complete.
 
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Posted: #556
Love some of the dog picks. I have been checking out the Reds quite a bit today. My online book does not have odds nearly this good. I wish I could get Cinci on +120 - on my site it is +105. And the Mets are favorites on my site.

What are your numbers telling you about the Royals game. That one is also intriguing to me, even though I do not like Bannister all that much. Thanks.
 
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Posted: #557
what do your numbers tell you about the Giants today with UNIT trying to pick up #300. They blew the game last night and Zimmerman has good stuff. But will UNIT go 2-0 vs. Washington this year for #300??

By the way, we had been talking about dogs. Had DBacks yesterday. Brutal beat with Dodgers plating 5 with two outs in the 8th. A wasted GEM by Haren.
 
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Posted: #558
nice 4-1 night walrus
 
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Posted: #559
No plays today for me. No time had to cover at work for someone today and no time to run the numbers. BOL 
 
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Posted: #560
[Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network]
MLB system releases Wed,06/03/09 Base_Runs formula....
 
                                Mets+103...........ppd
                                Rockies-105.......loss
                                Reds+120..........win
                                Tigers+135........loss
                                Rangers+170.....win
                                Royals+135.......loss
 
 
six pac/
dogs&value
 
FINAL RESULTS:
2-3
units:+2
 
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Posted: #561
You have + 2 units. I come up with - .15 units.
 
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Posted: #562
Quote Originally Posted by the-profit:

You have + 2 units. I come up with - .15 units.

the +2units is the result of applied formulated MM, attached to the value; Rangers+170  Reds+120 as a winning base...I have discussed this form in the above threads, for review..good question, thx for bringing it to the forefront of understanding..best regards

 
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Posted: #563
Quote Originally Posted by walrus_78:

I'll try 3 underdogs today

Detroit +140 
Pittsburgh -101  PPD
SF +111  PPD

CHC/Atl Under 8 
Cin/Stl Under 8 
Phil/Sdg Under 7.5 




2-2

10-8-1 in june
 
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Posted: #564
June 4

Pittsburgh +106
Cleveland +142
Cincinnati +172
Dodgers +100


 
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Posted: #565
June 4

SF +125
 
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Posted: #566
Based on the based runs formula, with a little bit of extra handicapping on the side....
 
Highest Value
BlueJays
 
Secondary
Tigers
Nationals Game 1
 
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Posted: #567
SN
 
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Posted: #568
the +2units is the result of applied formulated MM, attached to the value; Rangers+170  Reds+120 as a winning base...I have discussed this form in the above threads, for review..good question, thx for bringing it to the forefront of understanding..



Can you please  refer me to the thread #.

Thanks
 
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Posted: #569
MLB system releases Thursday 06/04/09 Base_Runs formula...
 
                          Cubs+130
                          Cardinals+130 RL
                          Dodgers+105
 
                          Royals vs Rays UNDER 8.5
 
RL/DOG value play
 
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Posted: #570
Quote Originally Posted by the-profit:

the +2units is the result of applied formulated MM, attached to the value; Rangers+170  Reds+120 as a winning base...I have discussed this form in the above threads, for review..good question, thx for bringing it to the forefront of understanding..



Can you please  refer me to the thread #.

Thanks

#508

 
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Posted: #571
[Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network]
MLB system releases Thursday 06/04/09 Base_Runs formula...
 
                          Cubs+130.................ppd
                          Cardinals+130 RL......win
                          Dodgers+105............loss
 
                          Royals vs Rays UNDER 8.5....win
 
RL/DOG value play
 
 
 
FINAL RESULTS:
2-1
RL:1-0
units:+5
 
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Posted: #572
MLB/NBA/NHL combined formulated releases Thursday06/O4/09
 
    Penguins+190 PL...........win
    DET/PIT+120 OVER 5.5.....win
    LAL-6...............................win
    LAL/ORL UNDER 205....... win
    Cardinals+130 RL.............win
    Cubs+130 ML..................ppd
    Dodgers+105...................loss
 
3 sport value pac/Stanley Cup,NBA Finals,MLB....
 
 
FINAL RESULTS:
5-1-ppd
units:+16
   
 
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Posted: #573
MLB system releases Friday 06/05/09 Base_Runs formula....
 
        Mets+115
        Marlins+150 RL
        Dodgers-129
        Tigers+130 RL
        WhiteSox-126
        Cardinals+120 RL
 
        Cubs vs Reds UNDER 9.5
        Pirates vs Astros OVER 9
        Rangers vs RedSox UNDER 10.5
        Royals vs BlueJays UNDER 8
 
 
ten-pac/3 RL base
form:unit management, attached to the runline..
 
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Posted: #574
NY Mets +115  Cincinnati +120 San Francisco +142 Cleveland +118 Baltimore +108 Arizona +106 Philadelphia +127 Mil/Atl Under 8 
 
 
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Posted: #575
Quote Originally Posted by walrus_78:

NY Mets +115  
Cincinnati +120 
San Francisco +142 
Cleveland +118 
Baltimore +108 
Arizona +106 
Philadelphia +127 
Mil/Atl Under 8 


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