Posted:
#101
Hi Just wanted to Congrat. you on all your hard,you are the best.Hammer69
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MLB system releases...
Posted:
#102
Quote Originally Posted by gambool:
Cool, i'll try to do it again for today's games and will see what you come up with. I'm wondering how you make the decision of playing for the O/U or for the game.
Nice picks for yesterday by the way...5/7
Cool, i'll try to do it again for today's games and will see what you come up with. I'm wondering how you make the decision of playing for the O/U or for the game.
Nice picks for yesterday by the way...5/7
Both are derived from the Base_Runs system...initiated through the Runs_Earned formula...
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Posted:
#104
Ok, i've done it for 2 games but have to go out for now :
Braves vs Phillies O 9.5
Mariners vs Twins O 7.5
I'm guessing you bet on game when there is a big difference on the score and on O/U when you're well over or under the number.
For the Brave/Phillies game I have a tight score but big numbers. For the Mariners/Twins one, I miss some data for the Mariners but the Twins are gonna score more than 7.5 by themselves and Mariners are gonna get some runs too.
Braves vs Phillies O 9.5
Mariners vs Twins O 7.5
I'm guessing you bet on game when there is a big difference on the score and on O/U when you're well over or under the number.
For the Brave/Phillies game I have a tight score but big numbers. For the Mariners/Twins one, I miss some data for the Mariners but the Twins are gonna score more than 7.5 by themselves and Mariners are gonna get some runs too.
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Posted:
#105
Quote Originally Posted by gambool:
Ok, i've done it for 2 games but have to go out for now :
Braves vs Phillies O 9.5
Mariners vs Twins O 7.5
I'm guessing you bet on game when there is a big difference on the score and on O/U when you're well over or under the number.
For the Brave/Phillies game I have a tight score but big numbers. For the Mariners/Twins one, I miss some data for the Mariners but the Twins are gonna score more than 7.5 by themselves and Mariners are gonna get some runs too.
Ok, i've done it for 2 games but have to go out for now :
Braves vs Phillies O 9.5
Mariners vs Twins O 7.5
I'm guessing you bet on game when there is a big difference on the score and on O/U when you're well over or under the number.
For the Brave/Phillies game I have a tight score but big numbers. For the Mariners/Twins one, I miss some data for the Mariners but the Twins are gonna score more than 7.5 by themselves and Mariners are gonna get some runs too.
these games have the figures, but not the strength, their are more ahead of them, with stronger equations....
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Posted:
#112
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:
gambool / You might want to re-apply, it appears you have drifted from the formula dramatically, (6.2+3.6~~9.8)
Could you please post a clear example of your complete process for a given game. I'm lost, have done calculations for 5 hours and can't find not even close to the same results as yours for todays games.
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Posted:
#117
[Quote: Originally Posted by headcoach66] wow! 
100 more plays with the same winning ratio and you can start serious and very successful business as the sports adviser
. I'd be the first subscriber!
great job! thank you
100 more plays with the same winning ratio and you can start serious and very successful business as the sports adviser
. I'd be the first subscriber!great job! thank you
[/Quote
my motive was strictly documentation, for verification purposes ...I will use the Base_Runs system as an added tool, in successful MLB handicapping......
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Posted:
#119
Quote Originally Posted by clint2463:
u still gonna post picks sport...or are u finished posting...just wondering since u said it was finalized......either way thank u for your hard work on this
u still gonna post picks sport...or are u finished posting...just wondering since u said it was finalized......either way thank u for your hard work on this
Only unit management, and strategy discussion, I explained at the conception,this would be a 100 play post to determine success of the system, and the final results....which is published above in detail ..best regards
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Posted:
#123
Hey guys can we all work together to figure this out ourselves and someone continue to post system plays??It sounds like some of you have been working the numbers and still haven't figured it out correctly yet.maybe SN can give us an detailed example of a game he has calculated if he has the time?Once we learn could we form a posting group and each member run the numbers for a few games each day and post them on OUR thread?
Any suggestions??I'm willing to learn but would need some help timewise to analyze all the games each day.
Sportsnetwork ......any comments on that idea would be appreciated
and congrats on the 70% advantage ....amazing and hope you continue to post........
and congrats on the 70% advantage ....amazing and hope you continue to post........
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Posted:
#124
Im all for it PUCK. I am on here like the rest of us with the goal of making a good profit from the books.
With that said when I use the basic version:
Base Runs = A*B/(B+C) +D.
Here is the Basic version:
A = H + BB - HR
B = [1.4*TB -.6*H -3*HR +.1*BB] *1.02
C = AB - H
D = HR
I continue to come up with numbers that dont seem to be right. Most of the time the total runs are either in or close to double digits for each team.
With this version:
Here is a version which includes some minor categories in which certain players excel:
A = H + BB + HBP - HR - .5*IBB
B = [1.4*TB -.6*H -3*HR +.1*(BB+HBP-IBB) +.9*(SB-CS-GDP)] *1.1
C = AB - H + CS + GDP
D = HR
I have trouble finding some of the stats and not sure if the numbers are that much more accurate.
I hope we can figure this out soon so we can get a good profit for the season.
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