All Forums | Systems & Strategies

MLB UNDER System

Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 13736
Posts: 139
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #101
Plays for 5/21

Unfiltered System Only
CLE/HOU: 8.0U +100


Close But Not Quite
PHI/PIT: Total holding 8.5. Needs 8.0 or less.
LAA/NYM: Total split between 8.0 and 8.5. Needs consensus 8.0 or less.
NYY/TB: Total holding 8.0. Needs 7.5 or less based on Archer ERA of 3.70.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #102
Results from 5/21/2017

Unfiltered System Only
CLE/HOU: 8.0U +100 LOSS (-1.0u)


Year-To-Date

Unfiltered System (5% ROI)
April SDQL Record: 22-8-0 (SDQL Profit = +13.05 units)
May Actual Plays: 13-11-6 (+1.21u)

Filtered System (13% ROI)
May Actual Plays: 4-3-1 (+0.78u)
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #103
Possible Play for 5/22

Only one potential play today ...

Unfiltered System Only
PHI/COL: 8.0U
     ERA's and WHIP's are very close to the higher ROI Filtered System values, but total is trending 8.5. Needs 8.0 or less.

As I've mentioned before, 8.5U has historically been profitable for home favorites using these systems, and PHI is the home favorite. I'm sticking with the 6.5 to 8.0 totals originally defined for the systems in this thread, but this is shaping up to be a good UNDER side bet if the total stays at 8.5.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #104
No Plays for 5/22

PHI/COL total stayed at 8.5.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #105
Plays for 5/23

Filtered and Unfiltered System
SF@CHC: 7.0U +103
     Lester's ERA of 3.57 requires total of 7.0 or less. Grabbing positive odds here and hoping 7.0 holds.

Unfiltered System
SD@NYM: 8.0U +100
     All totals 6.5 to 8.0 are good here. Not worried about total moving to 8.5 with Mets as home favorite.
     This is very close to a filtered play. Harvey's 5.56 ERA is just a bit too high for the 5.25 filter.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #106
In the results the ROI for Filtered and Unfiltered are always the same at 13% and 5%. Is there a reason they are not changing? They also do not seem to be correct. I'm assuming I'm missing something here
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #107
Quote Originally Posted by smurph_daddy:

In the results the ROI for Filtered and Unfiltered are always the same at 13% and 5%. Is there a reason they are not changing? They also do not seem to be correct. I'm assuming I'm missing something here


Sorry for the confusion. The unfiltered system has a historical ROI of 5% and the filtered system has a historical ROI of 13%. Those numbers were originally used in the results to more easily identify the systems.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #108
Gotcha. Thanks for the clarification. BOL 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #109
Quote Originally Posted by smurph_daddy:

Gotcha. Thanks for the clarification. BOL 


No problem at all. Speaking of ROI, that 16.91% you've got going on your chase system is nice. Your records on games 1-3 are tracking to your average odds. You're doing something right to get that 5-0 record on those game 4's.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2015
Posts: 432
Posted: #110
Quote Originally Posted by nfl_huskers:



No problem at all. Speaking of ROI, that 16.91% you've got going on your chase system is nice. Your records on games 1-3 are tracking to your average odds. You're doing something right to get that 5-0 record on those game 4's.

cheers indeed brotha
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #111
Results from 5/23/2017

Filtered and Unfiltered System
SF@CHC: 7.0U +103     WIN (+1.03u)

Unfiltered System Only
SD@NYM: 8.0U +100     LOSS (-1.0u)


Year-To-Date
Unfiltered System
April SDQL Record: 22-8-0 (SDQL Profit = +13.05 units)
May Actual Plays: 14-12-6 (+1.24u)

Filtered System
May Actual Plays: 5-3-1 (+1.81u)
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #112
5/24 - nothing close to meeting parameters at this point. SF/CHC is a play if total drops from 7.0 to 6.5 due to Hendricks' 3.35 ERA.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #113
Play for 5/26

Unfiltered and Filtered Systems

ATL/SF: 8.0U -115
     Any total 6.5 to 8.0 is valid.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 3641
Posted: #114
       

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 2726
Posted: #115
Good luck huskers.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 528
Posted: #116
Hey Huskers... thanks for your work.

I'm trying to understand why the play doesn't show up when I do the query.. I am putting the following in, do I have the right one ? 

REG and H and 6.5 <= total <= 8 and total / 2 <= STDSERA <= 5.25 and total / 2 <= o:STDSERA <= 5.25 and 1.25 <= STDSWHIP <= 1.55 and 1.25 <= o:STDSWHIP <= 1.55 and season = 2017
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #117
Quote Originally Posted by Goodsy:

Hey Huskers... thanks for your work.

I'm trying to understand why the play doesn't show up when I do the query.. I am putting the following in, do I have the right one ? 

REG and H and 6.5 <= total <= 8 and total / 2 <= STDSERA <= 5.25 and total / 2 <= o:STDSERA <= 5.25 and 1.25 <= STDSWHIP <= 1.55 and 1.25 <= o:STDSWHIP <= 1.55 and season = 2017


Yep, that's it. Looks like the SDQL database has Cain's WHIP as 1.55244755245, which technically is greater than 1.55. You can use the round() function to eliminate some of that, so replace o:STDSWHIP with round(o:STDSWHIP,2).

I usually just start with this query to see if anything is close to the parameters:
H and REG and total / 2 <= STDSERA and total / 2 <= o:STDSERA and season=2017

Then, I go check the ERA, WHIP, and Total stats for each game for final verification.


 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 528
Posted: #118
Quote Originally Posted by nfl_huskers:



Yep, that's it. Looks like the SDQL database has Cain's WHIP as 1.55244755245, which technically is greater than 1.55. You can use the round() function to eliminate some of that, so replace o:STDSWHIP with round(o:STDSWHIP,2).

I usually just start with this query to see if anything is close to the parameters:
H and REG and total / 2 <= STDSERA and total / 2 <= o:STDSERA and season=2017

Then, I go check the ERA, WHIP, and Total stats for each game for final verification.



Perfect, I changed them both and now it comes up.

Thanks for your help.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #119
Results from 5/26/2017

Filtered and Unfiltered System
ATL/SF: 8.0U -115     WIN (+1.0u)



Year-To-Date
Unfiltered System
April SDQL Record: 22-8-0 (SDQL Profit = +13.05 units)
May Actual Plays: 15-12-6 (+2.24u)

Filtered System
May Actual Plays: 6-3-1 (+2.81u)
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #120
Plays for 5/27

Unfiltered System Only

CHC @ LAD: 7.5U -105
     Total 7.5 or lower is valid due to McCarthy's 3.76 ERA.

ATL @ SF:  7.5U -110
     Total 7.5 or lower is valid due to Foltynewicz's 3.86 ERA.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #121
Play for 5/29

Filtered and Unfiltered System

ATL@LAA:  8.0U -115

     ATL: Teheran has 4.88 ERA and 1.46 WHIP
     LAA: Nolasco has 4.37 ERA and 1.30 WHIP


Getting caught up after Memorial Day holiday weekend activities. Missed out on some better lines earlier in the day.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #122
Getting caught up on my results. Busy weekend.

Results from 5/27/2017

Unfiltered System Only
CHC @ LAD: 7.5U -105     WIN (+1.0u)
ATL @ SF: 7.5U -110     LOSS (-1.10u)


Year-To-Date

Unfiltered System
April SDQL Record: 22-8-0 (SDQL Profit = +13.05 units)
May Actual Plays: 16-13-6 (+2.14u)

Filtered System
May Actual Plays: 6-3-1 (+2.81u)
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #123
I was away from my computer most of the weekend. Just went back to check yesterday's games to see if I missed any plays. Looks like SF/ATL and WAS/SD would have been 8.0U plays on the unfiltered system. That SF/ATL game just missed being a filtered play.

Both plays would have been a PUSH, so no real impact to the YTD record.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #124
Results from 5/29/2017

Filtered and Unfiltered System
 ATL@LAA: 8.0U -115     LOSS (-1.15u)


Year-To-Date

Unfiltered System
April SDQL Record: 22-8-0 (SDQL Profit = +13.05 units)
May Actual Plays: 16-14-6 (+0.99u)

Filtered System
May Actual Plays: 6-4-1 (+1.66u)
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 279
Posted: #125
Not seeing anything close to a play for 5/30. Very low ERA's or high totals today.
All Forums | Systems & Strategies
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.