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my 3 systems final numbeers

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Posted: #1

 

I shut down August 31 when the roster is expanded.

Home Favorite 29-0 +29-0 units

5-run 217-6 +99.62 units

Dog Chase 193-3 +132.81

Total +261.43 units

 

 
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Posted: #2
great job Cisco...see you next year!
 
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Posted: #3
Cisco - if you dont mind me asking, do you play your systems starting in Spring Training? I thought you did last year, but can't seem to find any of those results. Thank you


 
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Posted: #4
hey cisco do you have the results of your under .470 2011 mlb still? i would like to see the results if possible. Thanks.
 
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Posted: #5
Get it here

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdG9LNjE1MzVBWTNXOU5mRnlLUlpVdlE
 
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Posted: #6
thanks jolive. that takes me to the page with the rules. However I did find the page I was looking for in my history.
Can't wait til baseball season!
 
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Posted: #7
Cisco awesome job man. I remember watching you back a while ago. Anyway I can find how your systems worked again? I forgot
 
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Posted: #8
Home Favorite Chase System

Play on a +.470 team that has lost their last 3 or more home games as a favorite of -110 or more, and is again favored at home by -110 or more. I chase for up to 4 games
These are official plays
 
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Posted: #9
Dog chase

The chase:
We are playing home dog and road dogs. We play on or against as long as they are a system play.
We are betting for a repeat of a win or loss before the streak was broken.
If the streak was wwwwL then we will be betting for a win. If it was LLLLLLLLW we will be betting against.
The system:
Wait until a streak of 3 or more is broken. Either as a home or a road dog. Either wins or losses.
wait 2 games after the streak is broken. A total of 3 games.
Start a 4-game chase to win one unit.
Examples:
Home Dog: WWWWWL. The winning streak is broken. Open the chase. Wait/skip the next two games. (total of 3 games) Begin the chase to get a win.
LLLW. You win on game 4.
Road Dog: Same as Home dog. LLLLW. Open, skip-skip. Place bet. WL win on game 2
Filters:
Home dogs and road dogs to win. The system will play the RL+1.5. You can play RL+1 or ML if you like.
When playing favorites we will pass on all games under -110. You need to monitor Pinnacle odds. At times right up until the last minute.
https://www.pinnaclesports.com/
All games are graded using Pinnacle/Wagerline closing odds. 6/27/11
https://scores.covers.com/baseball-scores-matchups.aspx
hdw=home dog to win
hdl=home dog to lose
rdw=road dog to win
rdl=road dog to lose
no new chases after 8/15 and shut down 8/31
 
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Posted: #10
Will you be posting plays this year? I am a little confused still, but thanks for responding.
 
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Posted: #11
5 run chase

Bet against a team with under a .470 win % in a 4-game chase.
Chase begins when a team wins by 5 or more runs. (Marked in the GOLD Box). These are the teams we will be betting AGAINST.
Games marked in Blue are for all other 5+ games.
1) Wait two games after the win. If the team wins again by +5 or more within the 2 game wait we skip another 2 games.
The games marked in yellow are for people that want to folllow all the plays. It made +55 units last year.
The under .470 games are marked in GOLD color. It went 74-0 last year.
Filter. Don't play dogs over +150.
Filter. Favorites from -160 to -200 we will play RL-1. Games over -200 no play. (changed 6/8/11)
Filter: Play RL +1.5 with underdogs. (added 6/12/2001)
I use wagerline closing lines to grade all games.
To find how to play RL-1 go here:
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=tjLa-MP0BuNAX9Qb_rFXfzA#gid=0
I like to use #2
example: ML -172 RL-1.5 +120
Risk ML 78.18 to win 45.45. RL -1.5 Risk 45.45 to win 54.55. Your RL-1 is -123
removed from the rules 6/12/2011
2) If a team loses the first two games following the 5+ run win, that team is dropped from the chase.
 
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Posted: #12
hopefully cisco will be coming back to post plays. these are his systems.
 
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Posted: #13
Didn't he say last year was his last year of the systems? I think he wanted someone to take over..
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by Jolive:

Didn't he say last year was his last year of the systems? I think he wanted someone to take over..


yes I believe he said he might not come back this year. I know the home favorite system. and the 5 run system but the dog system confuses me.
 
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Posted: #15

Hello. I haven't been in here for a while. Glad to see some people are still interested in the systems.

I'll be 70 on Friday. I don't think I will be running the systems this year. I make too many mistakes. Garbage in, garbage out. I don't want to anyone lose money because I made a data entry mistake or missed a play.

If someone want to run with the systems be my guest. You can send me a friend request and I'll be glad to help you along.

Links for last year with the rules..

Dog Chase:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdEc2VDJHVFAwaW13NW81NERLckc0bHc#gid=1

5 run and under.470

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdG9LNjE1MzVBWTNXOU5mRnlLUlpVdlE#gid=0

Home Favorite

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdFZUVVdNcUUwT1cxRFI3b09sR2ZuNVE#gid=0

All MLB Games with closing odds and scores

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdGxOd0ZROE9lXy1BM25ZaFJCdTVnVWc#gid=0

 

 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by cisco:

Hello. I haven't been in here for a while. Glad to see some people are still interested in the systems.

I'll be 70 on Friday. I don't think I will be running the systems this year. I make too many mistakes. Garbage in, garbage out. I don't want to anyone lose money because I made a data entry mistake or missed a play.

If someone want to run with the systems be my guest. You can send me a friend request and I'll be glad to help you along.

Links for last year with the rules..

Dog Chase:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdEc2VDJHVFAwaW13NW81NERLckc0bHc#gid=1

5 run and under.470

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdG9LNjE1MzVBWTNXOU5mRnlLUlpVdlE#gid=0

Home Favorite

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdFZUVVdNcUUwT1cxRFI3b09sR2ZuNVE#gid=0

All MLB Games with closing odds and scores

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdGxOd0ZROE9lXy1BM25ZaFJCdTVnVWc#gid=0

 

 

Happy Birthday!!

 
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Posted: #17

Spring Training 2011

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdGEwZmRXdzZOU3VqMmJOVE13RmRxTmc#gid=0

I started to use the RL+1.5 sometime in mid-season. Using the RL+1.5 would have saved two losses. (Baltimore & Cleveland)

 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by ringneck82:

 

Happy Birthday!!

Thank you

 
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Posted: #19
Un. Fucking. Real.

I can't wait for April.  Friend request sent.
 
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Posted: #20
Bump
 
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Posted: #21

working on automating something for cisco's 5 run system.

hoping if I get it working, that I'll post plays on @5runMLBchase (twitter)

 

If he can't get it going I'm ready to start.

 
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Posted: #22

2008 -240-14 -11.22

2009- I was at +99.32 when I shut down for the seaon on 8/31.

 After I shut down the system it went down big time. September results were -84.97 units.

2010- 220-11 +54.24... un .470 73-0 +73.0

2011 217-6 +99.62... un .470 64-1 +23.49

2012 ? No new chases after Sept 15! August 31 is even better. The roster is expanded on Sept 1. That's when trouble starts.

We lost 57 units on 8/19 and 8/21 last year. My un.470 streak of 178-0 (2 years) ended on Sep 19.

Use the RL+1.5 or RL+1 on dogs if you can afford to. It will pay dividends.

Good luck this year. Remember, we are gambling. Just trying to get an edge on the man. You don't have to play every game. You must preserve the bankroll! Take one or two and see them through and then start with another one or two. I play every un.470 chase as that's where I'm most comfortable.

 
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Posted: #23
Thanks for this Cisco! Are there records only for 5 run chase? Or everything you run?
 
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Posted: #24

Quote Originally Posted by stickbit:

Thanks for this Cisco! Are there records only for 5 run chase? Or everything you run?

My post #22 is for the 5 run system.

 
 
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Posted: #25

Here is my Home Favorite system.

In 2005 it went 45-0 in a 4 game chase

In 2006 it went 40-0 using a 4 game chase.

In 2007 it went 39-0 using a 4 game chase.

In 2008 it went 23-1 using a 4 game chase

In 2009 official plays went 36-2 -33.0 units

In 2009 un official plays went 20-0

In 2010 official plays went 36-0

In 2010 un official plays went 20-0

In 2011 Official plays went 29-0

In 2011 un official plays went 23-0. Minnesota failed to finish (3gms) -13.95 units.

Last year was the first year for the dog chase.

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