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NBA O/U Pick Documentation

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Prospect
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Posts: 163
Posted: #1
So I've been picking the NBA o/u's for the past couple weeks and have been on a good run. I just thought that I would start posting my picks to document my success/failure. Since I started, only been December 27, I'm sitting at 67-43 (60.9%). I obviously don't believe to continue at that rate, but would sure love to. I'm also not betting these myself yet, as I want to try to develop this a little further to weed out some of the picks because I do basically every game. 

Thanks for watching.

1-12-10

ATL/TOR U 205.5 
CHI/CHAR O 185.5 
DAL/IND O 190.5 
SAC/BOS U 196 
MEM/DET O 192.5 
SA/MIL O 187.5 
ORL/NO U 191 
OKC/HOU U 210 
NJ/PHO O 201.5 
NY/UTAH U 210.5 
MIA/LAC O 194 
LAL/GS U 208 

And just an fyi, I will do my best to post my picks long before game time, but I won't always be able to. For some reason my phone hates posting in this forum. It won't let me backspace and correct my typing, and one time it even triple posted my message. Once again, thanks for watching. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #2
7-5 yesterday, not the best day, but a win is a win. Only 3 games on the card today, and one is a no play for me.

ORL/OKC U 203.5
WASH/MIN U 207.5

7-5 (58.33%) Start of thread
74-48 (60.66%) Start of system 


 
Prospect
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Posts: 163
Posted: #3
Just as a side note, I was looking back to try to find some trends and since January 4th my overs have went 28-10 while the unders have went just 16-16. Also, the 4th is when I actually started the system, the numbers before that are from back testing, which aren't necessarily the most accurate results due to having to use the current data instead of the data from that time.

But please note, I'm not trying to claim that my over picks will continue to hit at 73%, I'm just pointing out the current hot streak. Which, I will say, that I just decided to try and actually ride for a bit with some actual betting. Wish me luck
 
Prospect
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Posted: #4
So a lowly 1-1 last night, I'll hope for a better day today.

MIL/PHI U 187
DET/TOR U 206.5
CHI/IND O 190.5
CHA/BOS O 189.5
SAC/NY U 219.5
DAL/SAS O 192.5
NOR/HOU O 196.5
CLE/UTA U 199
NJ/LAL O 191.5
POR/PHO O 195.5
LAC/GSW U 213.5

So, I'm gonna play the 6 overs myself and see how it goes. Wish me luck.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #5

I actually had 7 overs, i mistyped the MIL/PHI game as an under, when I actually had it as an over. So with that error the overs went 4-3 last night, and overall 6-5. I threw the a bet on CHI -1.5 and that hit too, but of course won't be counting that here.

TOR/WAS U 209

HOU/ATL U 203.5

NOR/CHA O 184.5

SAC/DEET U 198.5

MIA/CHI O 188.5

ORL/MIN U 209.5

DAL/MEM O 192

CLE/DEN U 213.5

NJ/POR O 184.5

I plan on taking the overs again, it looks like there are just 4 tonight. Wish me luck.

 

14-11 Start of thread

81-54 Start of system

 
Prospect
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Posted: #6
Bad night at 4-5, but on the bright side the overs went 2-2, so I only lost the juice. Only two games tonight, and one over for me to play.

LAL/LAC O 196
DEN/SAS U 209.5


 
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Posted: #7
1-1 yesterday and 0-1 on the overs. I know I'm running late today and I'm sorry, numbers are the numbers regardless of what the current score is.

PHO/NY U 224
CHI/MEM O 186.5
UTA/WAS O 197
CHA/PHI O 189.5
TOR/NOR O 193.5
MIL/HOU O 194.5
DAL/DET O 188.5
IND/LAC U 199.5
NJN/GSW U 205
SAC/ATL U 200.5
ORL/BOS O 192.5
MIN/POR O 200
OKC/LAL U 203.5

I doubt that I will be playing any of these today since I missed so many games already.

19-17 Start of thread
86-60 Start of system

Definitely gotten a lot worse since I started posting. Looks like the good ride is over, for now at least. But I plan on still posting and hoping it gets better. Any day could be a sweep, up or down, preferably up though.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #8
Horrible start to the day, but luckily swept the last four games to finish at 6-7. Overs split at 4-4.

ATL/MIA O 189
CHA/CHI O 191

I'm gonna make a play on both of these games. Wish me luck

25-24 Start of thread
92-67 Start of system
 
Prospect
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Posted: #9
Uta/NJ O 192 
PHI/ORL _U 200 
PHO/CLRE U 214.5
DET/BOS O 191.5
WAS/MIL O 188 
MEM/NOR O 184NY.5

NYN/HOU U 221 
TOR/SAS U 204.5 
LAL/DAL O 187.5 
OKC/DEN U 219.5 
POR/SAC U 196.5 
IND/GSW U 213.5 
MIN/LAC U 213.5 

Sorry about the typos, this is posted from my phone that hates this forum.

 
Prospect
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Posted: #10
Uta/NJ O 192 
PHI/ORL _U 200 
PHO/CLRE U 214.5
DET/BOS O 191.5
WAS/MIL O 188 
MEM/NOR O 184NY.5

NYN/HOU U 221 
TOR/SAS U 204.5 
LAL/DAL O 187.5 
OKC/DEN U 219.5 
POR/SAC U 196.5 
IND/GSW U 213.5 
MIN/LAC U 213.5 

Sorry about the typos, this is posted from my phone that hates this forum.

 
Prospect
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Posted: #11
Good day yesterday at 9-4, overs were 3-2. I really wish I would have take all of the games. Also, the day before was 1-1, 0-1 on overs. Again sorry for the typos, and now I see stupid double post! I really don't understand why my phone hates this sites forum so much. Maybe when covers updates their mobile version with the forum it'll get better, but for now please bear with me. Especially because my computer took a dump, and I'm getting the bsod and can only run in safe mode. Haven't had much chance to mess with it as I've been busy. Anyway, on to the picks for tonight.

PHI/CHA O 186.5
DAL/CHI O 184
LAC/POR O 194.5

29-22 Start of thread
96-65 Start of system

 
Prospect
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Posted: #12
Picks went 2-1 with all 3 being overs. But, I also took PHI +5, I liked them to win, but I decided to play it safe and take the points. Looking back I'm definitely glad I didn't get greedy. On a side note, looking at how far off I was on the DAL/CHI pick, I definitely gotta get my computer going again so I can get busy on refining this system. They put up the numbers from the past couple games between these two teams, and it seems like they always go under. Anyway on to tonights picks.

DET/NJ O 190.5
TOR/ORL U 206.5
PHO/WAS U 213.5
UTA/BOS O 194
MIL/CLE O 189
NOR/ATL O 190
NY/SAS U 212.5
HOU/MEM U 204.5
LAL/DEN U 211.5
SAC/GSW U 214.5

10 Games with 4 overs.

31-23 (57.4%) Start of thread
98-66 (59.8%) Start of system

 
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Posted: #13
Looks like 6-4 last night, and only 2-2 on the overs. But I ended up throwing a 4 team together and hitting it, so a good night overall for me.

BOS/WAS O 191
DAL/NJ O 187.5
ATL/CHA O 185
UTA/PHI U 198
TOR/MIA O 199.5
PHO/DET U 206.5
NY/OKC U 220.5
CLE/CHI O 191.5
SAS/NOR O 185.5
MEM/MIL O 186
ORL/HOU U 208.5
IND/POR U 193
GSW/LAC U 215

Looks like 13 games with 7 overs, lets hope for a 13-0 night!!!
 
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Posted: #14
Ok, a losing night at 6-7, and what's worse was the overs were 2-5. I think the overs winning streak is definitely come to an end. But on the other hand the unders hit at 4-2 (4-2 and 6-2 the past couple days as well). I'll leave nba alone tonight as it's a football only night for me. But here's my pick for tonights game.

IND/DEN U 214.5

43-34 Start of thread (55.8%)
110-77 Start of system (58.8%)


 
Prospect
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Posted: #15
0-1 on the lone game of the night. Didn't have the best feeling about that game anyway. Definitely glad I'm stopping betting these picks for now, lol. I did have a great night in football thought. Went 3-1, and the one loss(pit under) I had I only bet for half and put that on pit. But back to basketball.

CLE/NJ O 189.5
PHO/PHI U 207.5
MEM/TOR U 203.5
DET/ORL O 193
WAS/NY U 210
MIL/CHI O 178.5
HOU/MIN U 219
OKC/NOR O 192
SAC/POR O 193.5
SAS/GSW U 210.5


 
Prospect
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Posted: #16
A bad night at 4-6, but atleast I wasn't betting. I would have to say for now this is strictly documentation again, at least until I get my computer back up and rework some numbers.

DEN/WAS U 211
CLE/BOS U 197
LAC/DAL O 193.5
CHA/SAC O 193
UTA/LAL O 197.5

 
Prospect
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Posted: #17
Looks like another negative night at 2-3.

MEM/NJ O 191.5
PHI/TOR U 200
ORL/IND U 203.5
DEN/DET U 203.5
ATL/MIL O 180.5
OKC/MIN U 220
LAC/HOU U 214.5
CHA/PHO O 198.5
SAS/UTA O 196.5
NOR/GSW U 198.5

 
Prospect
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Posted: #18
Once again a losing night at 4-6. But like I said this is just for documentation. I will crunch some numbers based off these results and see if I can tighten things up a bit. I think I'm gonna go pick up a new computer tonight as I figured out the problem with my laptop is a fried video card, and a replacement costs at least 200 and that's used/refurbished. But back to basketball.

MIA/NY U 212
HOU/DAL U 200
BOS/POR O 191

 
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Posted: #19
Sorry about the late post, had other things to do on my first lunch break today. A quick looks says I went 1-2 last night. Gotta break through this soon, or maybe I should just bet and fade my picks. Also, no computer last night, gf got called into work. One of these days maybe, lol.

NJN/IND NO PLAY (THAT'S A FIRST IN THIS THREAD)
MEM/PHI O 194.5
MIL/TOR O 192.5
NY/ATL U 206
DEN/CLE U 215.5
DET/MIA O 191
ORL/CHI O 187
WAS/OKC U 210.5
MIN/UTA U 215
BOS/PHO O 200
CHA/GSW U 208.5
SAC/LAL O 199.5

 
Prospect
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Posted: #20
Looks like 3-8 last night. Guess I really should have faded my picks yesterday, would have been an awesome night!!!

TOR/MIN U 218
IND/CHI O 192
WAS/MEM O 197
NJ/MIL O 181
ATL/DAL O 189
HOU/SAS U 210.5
NOR/SAC O 186.5
CHA/LAC O 195

 
Prospect
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Posted: #21
Nice Job last night!

Any Plays today CF82?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #22
Finally a good night at 6-2. Maybe I can get on a hot streak again.

MIA/OKC O 198
BOS/LAL O 183.5
DEN/PHI U 208.5
CLE/ORL U 204.5
DET/NY NO PLAY
NOR/PHO O 196
UTA/GSW U 215.5

 
Prospect
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Posted: #23
Had a great night at 5-1, but I also picked 3 and parlayed them and hit it. I'm definitely glad I decided to bet the hot streak. Running short on time, so here's the picks.

DEN/NJ U 205.5
TOR/IND U 210
CLE/MIA U 200.5
ORL/MEM U 196.5
WAS/DAL ONCE AGAIN A NO PLAY
CHA/UTA O 189
MIL/LAC O 189
 
On the no play I do have a slight lean on the under, but I don't think I'll bet it.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by cardsfan82:

Finally a good night at 6-2. Maybe I can get on a hot streak again.

MIA/OKC O 198
BOS/LAL O 183.5
DEN/PHI U 208.5
CLE/ORL U 204.5
DET/NY NO PLAY
NOR/PHO O 196
UTA/GSW U 215.5



Great Work CF82.   Been lurking in your thread from the beginning.  Here's to continued success.
 
 
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Posted: #25
Best of Luck.
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